SMCI Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how SMCI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SMCI sees a +7.47% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +14.34% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.50%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
SMCI Key Earning Data
SMCI Earnings Analysis
Positive
Earnings Beat Expectations: Super Micro Computer, Inc. beats earnings expectations with reported EPS of $0.31, exceeding expectations of $0.30.
Q3 Revenue Increase: Fiscal Q3 net revenue totaled $4.6 billion, representing a 19% year-over-year increase despite a decline from the previous quarter.
AI GPU Revenue Dominance: AI GPU platforms accounted for over 70% of revenues, indicating strong demand in the enterprise and cloud service provider markets.
Regulatory Compliance and Innovation: The company successfully fulfilled its commitment to regaining financial regulatory compliance while enhancing technological innovation.
AI Product Volume Shipments: Supermicro achieved volume shipments of new generation AI products, including air-cooled and liquid-cooled systems, demonstrating first-to-market advantage.
Cost Reduction and Performance Improvement: The introduction of the Datacenter Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) is expected to significantly reduce costs and improve performance for customers.
Energy Cost Reduction: Supermicro's DLC solutions have helped customers reduce energy costs by up to 25%, with plans to double this volume in the coming year.
Global Expansion Strategy: The company has expanded its global operations, including new facilities in Malaysia and the U.S., to meet rising demand and enhance quality.
Q4 Revenue Outlook: The outlook for Q4 anticipates revenues of at least $6 billion, reflecting confidence in future growth despite macroeconomic uncertainties.
Negative
Q3 Revenue Shortfall: Fiscal Q3 net revenue totaled $4.6 billion, coming in lower than the original forecast due to customers delaying commitments while evaluating AI platforms.
EPS Decline Analysis: Non-GAAP EPS for fiscal Q3 was $0.31, a significant decline from $0.66 last year, primarily due to a one-time inventory write-down of older-generation GPUs.
Gross Margin Decline: Q3 non-GAAP gross margin was 9.7%, down 220 basis points quarter-over-quarter, attributed to higher inventory reserves and lower volume.
Rising Operating Expenses: Operating expenses increased 34% year-over-year, indicating rising costs despite a slight decrease quarter-over-quarter.
Net Expense Analysis: The company recorded a net expense of $31.7 million in Other Income and Expense, which included significant losses from the amendment of convertible bonds and adverse foreign exchange impacts.
Receivables Collection Challenges: Days Sales Outstanding increased by 9 days quarter-over-quarter, indicating slower collection of receivables, while Days Payables Outstanding decreased, suggesting tighter cash flow management.
Q4 Gross Margin Outlook: The outlook for Q4 anticipates gross margins to be approximately 10%, reflecting continued pressure on profitability amid macroeconomic uncertainties.
SMCI FAQs
How does SMCI typically perform around its earnings report dates?
SMCI's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a +7.47% change leading up to the report and a +14.34% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
SMCI Earning Call Sentiment
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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