GM Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how GM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, GM sees a -1.04% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.52% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.46%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
GM Key Earning Data
GM Earnings Analysis
Positive
EBIT Guidance Update: GM's updated EBIT adjusted guidance for 2025 is now in the range of $10 billion to $12.5 billion, reflecting strong business fundamentals and effective management strategies.
Market Share Increase: In Q1, GM gained almost two full points of market share year-over-year in the US, outperforming every other major automaker, with a total market share of 17.2%.
US EV Market Share Growth: The company achieved a 10% share of the US EV market in Q1, rising to 12% in March, solidifying its position as the number two EV seller in the country.
North America Margin Performance: GM's North America margin was 8.8% in Q1, well within the target range of 8% to 10%, despite additional expenses from Cruise operations.
Strong SUV Sales Performance: Sales of redesigned ICE SUVs, including the Chevrolet Equinox, Traverse, and Tahoe, have been strong, with the Cadillac Escalade achieving its best-ever first quarter sales.
SUV Segment Growth: The Chevrolet Trax and Buick Envista saw exceptional year-over-year growth, contributing to GM's leading position in the US small SUV segment.
Electric Vehicle Sales Surge: GM's EV sales grew over 90% year-over-year, with Cadillac EVs now accounting for 20% of its US sales, indicating strong demand for its electric offerings.
Material Spend Reduction: The company has successfully reduced direct material spend in China for US production to less than 3%, enhancing its supply chain resilience.
Q1 Financial Performance: GM's financial performance included $44 billion in total revenue for Q1, up 2% year-over-year, and $3.5 billion in EBIT adjusted, demonstrating solid financial health.
Strong Q1 Profitability: GM Financial reported Q1 EBT adjusted of almost $700 million, maintaining profitability and consistent capital return to GM with a $350 million dividend paid during the quarter.
Negative
Tariff Exposure Impact: Tariff exposure of $4 billion to $5 billion is a significant concern for GM's financial outlook, impacting overall profitability.
EBIT Performance Decline: Despite a strong market share growth, EBIT adjusted was down slightly from last year’s Q1 performance, indicating potential underlying issues.
Rising Fixed Costs Impact: Fixed costs increased by $400 million year-over-year due to higher depreciation, warranty pressures, and labor costs, which could affect future margins.
Warranty Cost Challenges: Warranty costs are expected to be a headwind, with around $500 million of incremental expenses anticipated in the second quarter due to supplier quality issues.
Inflation Impact on Performance: The company is facing persistent inflation challenges, particularly in warranty costs, which could strain financial performance going forward.
Currency Risk Impact: The impact of foreign exchange fluctuations, particularly with the Mexican peso, resulted in a $300 million headwind in Q1, indicating vulnerability to currency risks.
Planned Downtime Impact: The planned downtime for plant upgrades led to a decline in wholesale volumes of light-duty full-size trucks, which could affect revenue in the short term.
GM FAQs
How does GM typically perform around its earnings report dates?
GM's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -1.04% change leading up to the report and a -0.52% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is General Motors Co (GM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
GM Earning Call Sentiment
General Motors Company (NYSE:GM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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