Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that ASML stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $712.48, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $717.52. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $724.65. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $975.24, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $1944.49. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ASML has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
ASML stock price ended at $705.48 on Tuesday, after losing-1.97%
The ASML Holding NV stock price decreased by -1.97% on the last trading day (22 Jul 2025), dropping from 718.305 to 705.48. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.55% , ranging from a day low of $701.189 to a day high of 719.06. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -11.16% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 772.47K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 3.42M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 2.43B.
ASML Technical Signals
ASML(ASML Holding NV Corp) has 4 buy signals and 6 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-07-15. The total price change during this trend is -14.28%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of ASML over the last 5 trading days is 3.48B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
ASML Moving Average Analysis
ASML Holding NV's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Tuesday, July 22, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $843.15, and $891.04. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $688.19, and $640.30. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
ASML Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of ASML Holding NV(ASML) as of 17 Jul 2025 is 17.82%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 754.45 to 744.91. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
Sell
6
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
2.635
Bullish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-202.306
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
-0
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-96.577
Bullish
6 Bearish Signals
6 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In 2026, ASML Holding NV (ASML) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $519.75 and $1269.00.
ASML Holding NV Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: ASML Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 3.10%
In Jan 2026, ASML Holding NV's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $840.50. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $782.07 and a high of $910.04.
Feb 2026: ASML Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 14.37%
In Feb 2026, ASML Holding NV's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $932.36. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $662.79 and a high of $979.68.
Mar 2026: ASML Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 1.50%
In Mar 2026, ASML Holding NV's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $827.49. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $663.00 and a high of $907.22.
Apr 2026: ASML Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 30.71%
In Apr 2026, ASML Holding NV's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $1065.62. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $1037.38 and a high of $1269.00.
May 2026: ASML Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 7.85%
In May 2026, ASML Holding NV's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $879.21. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $660.94 and a high of $1164.95.
Jun 2026: ASML Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 30.05%
In Jun 2026, ASML Holding NV's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $1060.25. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $1055.62 and a high of $1229.60.
Jul 2026: ASML Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 19.63%
In Jul 2026, ASML Holding NV's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $975.24. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $697.02 and a high of $1057.80.
Aug 2026: ASML Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -5.70%
In Aug 2026, ASML Holding NV's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $768.77. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $526.07 and a high of $867.83.
Sep 2026: ASML Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 30.71%
In Sep 2026, ASML Holding NV's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $1065.62. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $844.31 and a high of $1121.63.
Oct 2026: ASML Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 22.28%
In Oct 2026, ASML Holding NV's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $996.91. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $882.63 and a high of $1214.00.
Nov 2026: ASML Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -5.70%
In Nov 2026, ASML Holding NV's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $768.77. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $519.75 and a high of $952.24.
Dec 2026: ASML Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -5.70%
In Dec 2026, ASML Holding NV's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $768.77. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $656.12 and a high of $987.59.
ASML Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to ASML Holding NV(ASML), our algorithm predicts ASML's 1-month price at $659.07, with an -10.28%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 91.95%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for ASML Holding NV (ASML.O) stock, as of Sunday, July 20, 2025 , forecasts a -10.28% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with MKTX.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 91.95%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
ASML
Future prediction
Up: -10.28%
MKTX
Down: -10.28%Similarity: 91.95%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
MKTX.O
91.95%
-10.28%
HWC.O
90.48%
+0.63%
CBAN.O
90.41%
-0.45%
OPRT.O
90.36%
-22.62%
ASML Seasonality Analysis
Based on ASML's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in July is57.14%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in ASML. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at78.57%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying ASML Holding NV (ASML.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (78.57%), while August has the lowest probability (46.15%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows ASML Holding NV. (ASML)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ASML has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying ASML Holding NV (ASML.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying ASML Holding NV (ASML.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (78.57%), while August has the lowest probability (46.15%).
How has ASML Holding NV. (ASML)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
ASML's stock price rose by 37.73% in 2023,decreased by -3.33% in 2024, and went up by 0.72%in 2025.
Bearish technical signals of ASML include: AO_5_34 < 0, MOM_10 < 0, MACD_12_26_9 < 0, close < fibonacci_S1, 5-day SMA crosses below 60-day SMA, 5-day SMA crosses below 250-day SMA.
Is ASML a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
ASML has 4 buy signals and 6 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for ASML is Sell . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of ASML.
What is the trend of ASML Holding NV (ASML)'s moving average?
ASML Holding NV's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of July 22 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for ASML stock next month?
The price prediction chart for ASML Holding NV (ASML.O) stock, as of July 20 2025, forecasts a -10.28% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with MKTX stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 91.95%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for ASML Stock?
ASML Holding NV (ASML) is expected to reach a price of **$820** by the end of 2025. This prediction is based on strong demand for advanced semiconductor equipment, driven by AI and high-performance computing, as well as positive technical indicators showing an uptrend. However, geopolitical risks could cause volatility.
What is price prediction 2030 for ASML Stock?
ASML stock is projected to reach **$1,200 by 2030**, driven by its dominance in the semiconductor industry and growing demand for advanced lithography machines. The company's strong financials and leadership in EUV technology position it for sustained growth.