Should I Buy ASML Holding NV Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ASML has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
ASML stock price ended at $761 on Friday, after losing -3.21%
The ASML Holding NV stock price decreased by -3.21% on the last trading day (13 Jun 2025), dropping from 766.89 to 761. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.72% , ranging from a day low of $759.87 to a day high of 772.93. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 3.29% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 743.29K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.74M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.34B.
ASML Technical Signals
ASML(ASML Holding NV Corp) has 4 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-06-11. The total price change during this trend is -2.94%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of ASML over the last 5 trading days is 1.18B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
ASML Moving Average Analysis
ASML Holding NV's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, June 14, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $804.1445666666666, and $828.9936666666666. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $723.7427666666667, and $698.8936666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
ASML Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of ASML Holding NV(ASML) as of 09 Jun 2025 is 21.45%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 753.02 to 770.20. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
45.378
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
24.23
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
16.673
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 250-day SMA
--
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Moving Average
Price crosses below 5-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 10-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 250-day SMA
--
Bearish
ASML Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to ASML Holding NV(ASML), our algorithm predicts ASML's 1-month price at $763.94, with an 1.45%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.29%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for ASML Holding NV (ASML.O) stock, as of Sunday, June 8, 2025 , forecasts a 1.45% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AKAM.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.29%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
ASML
No Data
AKAM
Up: 1.45%Similarity: 98.29%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
AKAM.O
98.29%
+1.45%
MLM.N
98.07%
+0.53%
DXCM.O
97.97%
-1.31%
ESP.A
97.94%
+4.32%
LRCX.O
97.93%
+3.67%
AMP.N
97.81%
-3.27%
APTV.N
97.79%
+0.92%
SLAB.O
97.73%
+8.90%
RMCF.O
97.72%
+10.05%
PHG.N
97.71%
-4.15%
ASML Seasonality Analysis
Based on ASML's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in June is66.67%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in ASML. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at78.57%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying ASML Holding NV (ASML.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (78.57%), while August has the lowest probability (46.15%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows ASML Holding NV. (ASML)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy ASML Holding NV (ASML.O) stock?
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