TMC Price Target Raised to $12.25, Shares Surge 15%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 23 2026
0mins
Should l Buy TMC?
Source: stocktwits
- Price Target Increase: H.C. Wainwright raised TMC's price target from $7.50 to $11.75 while maintaining a 'Buy' rating, citing the company's application to NOAA as a critical step in de-risking future operations.
- Positive Market Reaction: TMC shares surged over 15% on Friday, reflecting Wall Street and retail traders' optimistic views on the impact of the latest updates to U.S. deep-sea mining regulations, indicating strong market confidence in the company's prospects.
- Licensing Progress: TMC's application to NOAA covers approximately 65,000 square kilometers for exploration and commercial recovery, a substantial increase of 140% from the initial permit application in April 2025, marking a significant milestone in the company's deep-sea mining ambitions.
- Retail Sentiment Surge: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around TMC shares was in the 'extremely bullish' territory, with users suggesting that the expansion of the recovery zone should ideally lead to a 200% increase in price targets, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future growth.
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Analyst Views on TMC
Wall Street analysts forecast TMC stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 4.420
Low
6.50
Averages
8.33
High
11.00
Current: 4.420
Low
6.50
Averages
8.33
High
11.00
About TMC
TMC the metals company Inc. is a deep-sea minerals exploration company. The Company is focused on the collection and processing of polymetallic nodules found on the seafloor in international waters of the Clarion Clipperton Zone in the Pacific Ocean (CCZ), located approximately 1,300 nautical miles southwest of San Diego, California. The CCZ is a geological submarine fracture zone of abyssal plains and other formations in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, with a length of around 4,500 miles that spans approximately 1,737,000 square miles. These nodules contain high grades of four metals (nickel, copper, cobalt, manganese) which can be used as feedstock for battery cathode precursors (nickel, cobalt and manganese sulfates, or intermediate nickel-copper-cobalt matte) for electric vehicles (EV) and energy storage markets; copper cathode for EV wiring, energy transmission and other applications, and manganese silicate for manganese alloy production required for steel production.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
TMC Stock Volatility and Regulatory Challenges
- Stock Volatility: Although TMC's stock surged over 450% in 2025 to a peak of $11 per share, it has since plummeted to $4.59 as of April 6, indicating significant market uncertainty regarding its future prospects.
- Regulatory Approval Progress: TMC is awaiting approval from the NOAA and recently received an encouraging update from the White House, indicating that the company is in 'substantial compliance,' paving the way for potential commercial operations.
- Severe Financial Condition: By the end of 2025, TMC had $117.6 million in cash, yet its operating losses exceeded $140 million last year, reflecting major challenges in profitability and a significant increase in losses compared to the previous year.
- Environmental and Technological Concerns: While TMC claims its mining methods are 80% less environmentally impactful than others, scientists and environmentalists express concerns about potential negative consequences of deep-sea mining, and no company has successfully conducted commercial harvesting of metals from the deep sea, heightening investment risks.
See More
Deep-Sea Mining Start-Up Faces Challenges
- Application Progress: TMC's deep-sea mining application received substantial compliance from NOAA, indicating no revisions are needed, yet this does not guarantee final approval, highlighting ongoing regulatory challenges for the company.
- International Cooperation: The agreement between the U.S. and Japan to collaborate on deep-sea mining is a positive development; however, it does not alleviate the near-term challenges TMC faces, indicating significant hurdles remain.
- Financial Status: TMC is currently operating at a loss with no revenue generation, as all expenses are investments towards future deep-sea mining operations, underscoring the high-risk nature of its business model.
- Stock Price Volatility: Despite a 150% increase in stock price over the past year, it has fallen over 50% from its 52-week high, suggesting that market sentiment and news flow significantly impact the stock, necessitating cautious investment strategies.
See More
TMC Stock Declines Amid Iran War Turmoil
- Significant Stock Drop: TMC's stock fell 25.5% in March, contrasting sharply with the S&P 500's 5.1% and Nasdaq's 4.8% declines, highlighting the market's sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Market Sentiment Impact: Despite receiving positive news on March 9 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration regarding its exploration license application, TMC's stock was still heavily impacted by broader risk-off sentiment in the market.
- Financial Disclosure: In its fourth-quarter report released on March 27, TMC reported a loss of $0.08 per share with no revenue, operational expenses of $11.4 million, and cash and equivalents totaling $117.6 million, indicating financial pressure during its commercialization phase.
- Future Outlook: TMC anticipates receiving its commercial recovery permit within a year and plans to commence system commissioning in Q4 2027, which could lead to significant growth potential if commercialization timelines are met.
See More
TMC Stock Pullback Amid Market Volatility and Geopolitical Tensions
- Stock Decline: TMC's share price fell by 25.5% in March, contrasting with a 5.1% decline in the S&P 500 and a 4.8% drop in the Nasdaq Composite, indicating a heightened risk-off sentiment among investors leading to reduced exposure to high-risk stocks.
- Geopolitical Impact: Following the U.S. and Israel's joint strikes on Iran on February 28, the market experienced significant bearish volatility; while TMC could benefit from rising geopolitical tensions in critical mineral sourcing, its stock remains highly volatile due to war-related developments.
- Permit Application Progress: On March 9, TMC announced that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration indicated substantial compliance with the guidelines for its joint application for an exploration license and commercial recovery permit, providing a bullish signal for the company's chances of receiving the necessary permits to begin exploratory missions and extract minerals from an area estimated to contain approximately 619 million metric tons of wet nodules.
- Financial Status: In its fourth-quarter results released on March 27, TMC reported a loss of $0.08 per share with no revenue, operational spending of $11.4 million, and cash and equivalents totaling $117.6 million at year-end; despite challenges, the company anticipates receiving a commercial recovery permit within a year and plans to commence system commissioning in Q4 2027.
See More
Metals Royalty Company Makes Strong Nasdaq Debut
- Strong Listing Performance: Metals Royalty Company made a notable debut on Nasdaq with an opening price of $15, and by the time of writing, shares had risen over 15%, indicating strong investor interest.
- Surge in Stock Price: According to Stocktwits data, TMCR's stock price soared 230% from the offering price of $5, reflecting optimistic expectations about its future growth potential among investors.
- Advantages of Royalty Model: The company benefits from a royalty-based business model, acquiring and managing royalties and streams, which allows it to mitigate operational and environmental risks while enjoying long-term cash flows and rising commodity prices through its 2% gross overriding royalty.
- Extremely Bullish Market Sentiment: Retail sentiment for TMCR on Stocktwits is described as 'extremely bullish,' with high message volumes, and some users predict the stock could climb to $25, showcasing strong confidence in its future performance.
See More
REalloys Secures Rare Earth Supply Agreement Ahead of U.S. Defense Deadline
- Supply Agreement: REalloys has signed an agreement with U.S. Critical Materials Corp. to secure up to 10% of production from the Sheep Creek project in Montana, particularly dysprosium and terbium for high-performance magnets, enhancing the autonomy of the U.S. defense supply chain.
- Production Capacity Expansion: REalloys plans to establish a heavy rare earth metallization facility in Ohio, targeting an initial output of 525 tons of NdPr metal per year, with future expansion to 3,000 tons, significantly reducing reliance on Chinese rare earths and boosting U.S. competitiveness in the global market.
- Urgent Defense Needs: With the 2027 ban on Chinese rare earth materials approaching, the construction of REalloys' supply chain is critical, especially as the ongoing conflict in the Middle East drives up demand for rare earth metals, ensuring material supply for U.S. military contractors.
- Strategic Partnerships and Funding: REalloys has secured up to $200 million in federal financing and has brought in former defense officials to its advisory board, underscoring its pivotal role in the U.S. defense materials supply chain and its potential for future growth.
See More
TMC Stock Volatility and Regulatory Challenges
- Stock Volatility: Although TMC's stock surged over 450% in 2025 to a peak of $11 per share, it has since plummeted to $4.59 as of April 6, indicating significant market uncertainty regarding its future prospects.
- Regulatory Approval Progress: TMC is awaiting approval from the NOAA and recently received an encouraging update from the White House, indicating that the company is in 'substantial compliance,' paving the way for potential commercial operations.
- Severe Financial Condition: By the end of 2025, TMC had $117.6 million in cash, yet its operating losses exceeded $140 million last year, reflecting major challenges in profitability and a significant increase in losses compared to the previous year.
- Environmental and Technological Concerns: While TMC claims its mining methods are 80% less environmentally impactful than others, scientists and environmentalists express concerns about potential negative consequences of deep-sea mining, and no company has successfully conducted commercial harvesting of metals from the deep sea, heightening investment risks.
See More
Deep-Sea Mining Start-Up Faces Challenges
- Application Progress: TMC's deep-sea mining application received substantial compliance from NOAA, indicating no revisions are needed, yet this does not guarantee final approval, highlighting ongoing regulatory challenges for the company.
- International Cooperation: The agreement between the U.S. and Japan to collaborate on deep-sea mining is a positive development; however, it does not alleviate the near-term challenges TMC faces, indicating significant hurdles remain.
- Financial Status: TMC is currently operating at a loss with no revenue generation, as all expenses are investments towards future deep-sea mining operations, underscoring the high-risk nature of its business model.
- Stock Price Volatility: Despite a 150% increase in stock price over the past year, it has fallen over 50% from its 52-week high, suggesting that market sentiment and news flow significantly impact the stock, necessitating cautious investment strategies.
See More
TMC Stock Declines Amid Iran War Turmoil
- Significant Stock Drop: TMC's stock fell 25.5% in March, contrasting sharply with the S&P 500's 5.1% and Nasdaq's 4.8% declines, highlighting the market's sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Market Sentiment Impact: Despite receiving positive news on March 9 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration regarding its exploration license application, TMC's stock was still heavily impacted by broader risk-off sentiment in the market.
- Financial Disclosure: In its fourth-quarter report released on March 27, TMC reported a loss of $0.08 per share with no revenue, operational expenses of $11.4 million, and cash and equivalents totaling $117.6 million, indicating financial pressure during its commercialization phase.
- Future Outlook: TMC anticipates receiving its commercial recovery permit within a year and plans to commence system commissioning in Q4 2027, which could lead to significant growth potential if commercialization timelines are met.
See More
TMC Stock Pullback Amid Market Volatility and Geopolitical Tensions
- Stock Decline: TMC's share price fell by 25.5% in March, contrasting with a 5.1% decline in the S&P 500 and a 4.8% drop in the Nasdaq Composite, indicating a heightened risk-off sentiment among investors leading to reduced exposure to high-risk stocks.
- Geopolitical Impact: Following the U.S. and Israel's joint strikes on Iran on February 28, the market experienced significant bearish volatility; while TMC could benefit from rising geopolitical tensions in critical mineral sourcing, its stock remains highly volatile due to war-related developments.
- Permit Application Progress: On March 9, TMC announced that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration indicated substantial compliance with the guidelines for its joint application for an exploration license and commercial recovery permit, providing a bullish signal for the company's chances of receiving the necessary permits to begin exploratory missions and extract minerals from an area estimated to contain approximately 619 million metric tons of wet nodules.
- Financial Status: In its fourth-quarter results released on March 27, TMC reported a loss of $0.08 per share with no revenue, operational spending of $11.4 million, and cash and equivalents totaling $117.6 million at year-end; despite challenges, the company anticipates receiving a commercial recovery permit within a year and plans to commence system commissioning in Q4 2027.
See More
Metals Royalty Company Makes Strong Nasdaq Debut
- Strong Listing Performance: Metals Royalty Company made a notable debut on Nasdaq with an opening price of $15, and by the time of writing, shares had risen over 15%, indicating strong investor interest.
- Surge in Stock Price: According to Stocktwits data, TMCR's stock price soared 230% from the offering price of $5, reflecting optimistic expectations about its future growth potential among investors.
- Advantages of Royalty Model: The company benefits from a royalty-based business model, acquiring and managing royalties and streams, which allows it to mitigate operational and environmental risks while enjoying long-term cash flows and rising commodity prices through its 2% gross overriding royalty.
- Extremely Bullish Market Sentiment: Retail sentiment for TMCR on Stocktwits is described as 'extremely bullish,' with high message volumes, and some users predict the stock could climb to $25, showcasing strong confidence in its future performance.
See More
REalloys Secures Rare Earth Supply Agreement Ahead of U.S. Defense Deadline
- Supply Agreement: REalloys has signed an agreement with U.S. Critical Materials Corp. to secure up to 10% of production from the Sheep Creek project in Montana, particularly dysprosium and terbium for high-performance magnets, enhancing the autonomy of the U.S. defense supply chain.
- Production Capacity Expansion: REalloys plans to establish a heavy rare earth metallization facility in Ohio, targeting an initial output of 525 tons of NdPr metal per year, with future expansion to 3,000 tons, significantly reducing reliance on Chinese rare earths and boosting U.S. competitiveness in the global market.
- Urgent Defense Needs: With the 2027 ban on Chinese rare earth materials approaching, the construction of REalloys' supply chain is critical, especially as the ongoing conflict in the Middle East drives up demand for rare earth metals, ensuring material supply for U.S. military contractors.
- Strategic Partnerships and Funding: REalloys has secured up to $200 million in federal financing and has brought in former defense officials to its advisory board, underscoring its pivotal role in the U.S. defense materials supply chain and its potential for future growth.
See More
