TMC Should I Buy
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TMC The Metals Company Inc is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While the company has significant growth potential in the deep-sea mining industry and positive analyst ratings, its current financials, technical indicators, and lack of immediate positive trading signals suggest a cautious approach. The stock may be worth monitoring for future opportunities, but it does not align with the user's impatience and preference for a clear entry point.
The MACD histogram is negative (-0.142) and contracting, indicating a bearish trend. RSI at 38.845 is neutral, showing no clear momentum. Moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision in the market. Key support and resistance levels are S1: 5.821, Pivot: 6.512, and R1: 7.204, with the stock currently trading below the pivot at 6.19.
Positive analyst ratings with raised price targets (Alliance Global: $12.25, H.C. Wainwright: $11.75).
Significant growth potential in the deep-sea mining industry, with a targeted project valued at $24 billion.
Regulatory progress, including a major permitting milestone and application for exploration and recovery licenses.
Partnership with Korea Zinc for refining polymetallic nodules, which could drive growth in copper and nickel markets.
Financial challenges, including a Q3 2025 loss of $0.46 per share and a high cash burn rate of $10-$11 million per quarter.
High-risk nature of undersea mining and the company's lack of profitability.
No recent congress trading data or significant insider/hedge fund activity, indicating limited institutional confidence.
Stock trend analysis suggests limited short-term upside (-0.43% in the next week, -0.53% in the next month).
In Q3 2025, the company reported zero revenue and a net loss of $184.5 million, representing a 799.21% YoY increase in losses. EPS improved to -0.46 (up 666.67% YoY), but the company remains unprofitable. Gross margin remains at 0%. The company has $116 million in cash but faces sustainability concerns due to its high burn rate.
Analysts are bullish on TMC, with Alliance Global and H.C. Wainwright raising price targets to $12.25 and $11.75, respectively, and maintaining Buy ratings. Analysts highlight regulatory progress and the company's first-mover advantage in deep-sea mining as key strengths.
