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TMC Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy TMC the metals company Inc (TMC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
4.560
1 Day change
-2.36%
52 Week Range
11.350
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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TMC the Metals Company Inc is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. While the company has potential in the deep-sea mining industry and recent regulatory developments are positive, the stock's technical indicators are bearish, insider selling is significant, and financial performance remains weak. It is better to monitor the stock for further developments or wait for a more favorable entry point.

Technical Analysis

The stock is in a bearish trend with MACD below zero and negatively contracting, RSI indicating oversold conditions at 14.678, and bearish moving averages (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The pre-market price is $4.44, down 3.69%. Key support levels are at $4.616 and $4.147, with resistance at $5.375 and $6.134.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
1

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets significantly, citing regulatory tailwinds and the company's first-mover advantage in deep-sea mining.

  • Recent application for exploration and recovery permits is seen as a critical step toward de-risking operations.

  • Positive sentiment shift after U.S.-Japan deep-sea mining agreement.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased by 367.11% over the last month, indicating potential lack of confidence from insiders.

  • Weak financial performance with no revenue growth, negative EPS, and significant net income loss.

  • Pre-market price drop of 3.69% and bearish technical indicators.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, the company reported no revenue growth, a net income loss of $184.52M (up 799.21% YoY), and an EPS of -0.46 (up 666.67% YoY). Gross margin remains at 0%. Financials indicate weak performance despite some improvement in losses.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are bullish, with Alliance Global raising the price target to $12.25 from $6.50 and H.C. Wainwright raising it to $11.75 from $7.50. Both maintain Buy ratings, citing regulatory progress and de-risking of operations as key drivers.

Wall Street analysts forecast TMC stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TMC stock price to rise
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 4.670
sliders
Low
6.5
Averages
8.33
High
11
Current: 4.670
sliders
Low
6.5
Averages
8.33
High
11
Wedbush
Daniel Ives
Outperform
downgrade
$11 -> $8
AI Analysis
2026-03-31
New
Reason
Wedbush
Daniel Ives
Price Target
$11 -> $8
AI Analysis
2026-03-31
New
downgrade
Outperform
Reason
Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives lowered the firm's price target on Metals Company to $8 from $11 to reflect a lower multiple, while keeping an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm notes the company reported its Q4 results on Friday where the company provided sizable updates across its business including its progress with NOAA to receive its commercial production application while in negotiations to develop a nodule processing and refining hub in Texas. Wedbush remains bullish as the company continues to chip away at its long-term strategy while looking to get its commercial permit during 2026.
Alliance Global
Buy
maintain
2026-01-23
Reason
Alliance Global
Price Target
2026-01-23
maintain
Buy
Reason
Alliance Global raised the firm's price target on Metals Company to $12.25 from $6.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company recently announced a "major permitting milestone" relating to its deep-sea mining ambitions, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm views regulation changes as a tailwind for Metals Company. It believes the company maintains its first-mover advantage in the deep-sea mining industry.
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