Tesla Gains Market Share in France and Norway
Institutional investors and professional traders rely on The Fly to keep up-to-the-second on breaking news in the electric vehicle and clean energy space, as well as which stocks in these sectors that the best analysts on Wall Street are saying to buy and sell.From the hotly-debated high-flier Tesla, Wall Street's newest darling Rivian, traditional-stalwarts turned EV-upstarts GMand Fordto the numerous SPAC-deal makers that have come public in this red-hot space, The Fly has you covered with "Charged," a weekly recap of the top stories and expert calls in the sector.Clickto check out Tesla's recent Media Buzz Sentiment as measured by TipRanks.MARKET SHARE:In February, Tesla gained market share in France and Norway, signaling stabilization in Europe after two years of declining sales, Reuters. The automaker's registrations rose 55% in France and 32% in Norway but fell 18% in Denmark.MOVING TO THE SIDELINES:HSBC downgraded First Solarto Hold from Buy with a price target of $211, down from $280, after the company reported Q4 results below consensus and gave lower-than-expected FY26 guidance that suggests "cooling demand and operational challenges." In the short-term, upside to valuation looks limited as the firm thinks supportive U.S. policies have "largely played out," while the firm sees a long-term competition overhang from Tesla, the firm tells investors.Freedom Capital also downgraded First Solar to Hold from Buy with a price target of $250, down from $310. The company's Q4 results missed estimates, and it issued "weak" 2026 guidance, the firm tells investors in a research note. Freedom says uncertainty remains elevated in the utility-Additionally, Deutsche Bank downgraded First Solar to Hold from Buy with a price target of $245, down from $300, following "disappointing" Q4 results and a "weak" 2026 outlook. The firm notes challenging conditions in the market, tariffs impacting the movement of volumes from India to the U.S. and overall portfolio changes with the onshoring of the finishing line.SOFT GUIDANCE:Deutsche Bank downgraded Array Technologiesto Hold from Buy with a price target of $9, down from $11, following the company's Q4 report. The 2026 outlook, while including a topline in-line with the Street forecast at $1.45B, featured softer-than-expected adjusted EBITDA and a soft margin profile, the firm tells investors.RESULTS:Lucidreported Q4 losses per share of ($3.62) vs consensus of ($2.67), and said it sees 2026 production 25,000-27,000 vehicles.Following quarterly results, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Andres Sheppard lowered the firm's price target on Lucid Group to $14 from $21, while keeping a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm cited lower production, guidance, persistent high negative gross margin, additional capital needs, a worsening macro environment, and tariff uncertainty. Cantor expects Gravity to lead sales in its FY26 delivery estimate of 23,185 vehicles delivered, with Airs to remain relatively flat year over year.DELIVERIES:Nioannounced its February 2026 delivery results. The company delivered 20,797 vehicles in February 2026, representing an increase of 57.6% year-over-year. The deliveries consisted of 15,159 vehicles from the company's premium smart electric vehicle brand Nio, 2,981 vehicles from the company's family-oriented smart electric vehicle brand ONVO, and 2,657 vehicles from the company's small smart high-end electric car brand FIREFLY. Cumulative deliveries reached 1,045,571 as of February 28, 2026.Li Autoannounced that it delivered 26,421 vehicles in February 2026. As of February 28, 2026, Li Auto's cumulative deliveries reached 1,594,304. Li Auto officially rolled out OTA update version 8.3 ahead of the Chinese Spring Festival, featuring upgrades in three areas: VLA Driver large model, smart cockpit and smart electric functionality. As of February 28, 2026, the Company had 539 retail stores in 160 cities, 548 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized servicing shops operating in 223 cities. The Company also had 4,054 super charging stations in operation equipped with 22,447 charging stalls in China.XPeng (XEPV) announced its vehicle delivery results for February 2026. Xpeng a total of 15,256 vehicles in February. Also in February, Xpeng began global deliveries of the new Xpeng P7+, with the initial shipment bound for 18 countries.
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- Performance Decline: The ARKK ETF fell 12% in the latest quarter, marking its worst performance since early 2025, primarily due to significant impacts from Tesla's stock volatility, highlighting ARKK's heavy reliance on Tesla.
- Tesla's Optimistic Outlook: Despite challenges, ARK maintains a $2,600 price forecast for Tesla by 2029, implying a market cap of $9.75 trillion, reflecting confidence in Tesla's future growth potential, particularly in robotics and autonomous driving.
- Autonomous Driving Market Potential: Cathie Wood stated that autonomy will be Tesla's largest revenue driver, with expectations of scaling to a $10 trillion market, emphasizing the company's potential to achieve autonomy in 25% to 50% of major U.S. cities by year-end.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: While sentiment towards ARKK remains bullish, Tesla's sentiment fluctuated between bearish and extremely bearish during the quarter, indicating market uncertainty regarding Tesla's future performance amid intensifying competition.
- Sales Leadership: BYD sold over 2.25 million electric vehicles last year, surpassing Tesla's 1.63 million deliveries, indicating BYD's strong growth momentum in the EV market, despite Tesla's larger market capitalization.
- Intensifying Competition: BYD's sales continue to grow in both China and Europe, having outsold Tesla in Europe since mid-last year, highlighting its increasing competitiveness in the global EV market.
- Profit Pressure: Although BYD's revenue grew by 3.5% to $116 billion, its profits for 2025 fell by 19% year-over-year, reflecting the impact of price wars on profitability and the fierce competition within the industry.
- Future Outlook: Analysts expect BYD to achieve double-digit revenue and earnings growth over the next two years, with plans for international sales of 1.5 million units, showcasing its potential for global market expansion and keen insight into EV demand.
- Nio's Delivery Beat: Nio delivered 83,465 vehicles in Q1 2026, surpassing its own estimate of 80,000 to 83,000 units, reflecting a robust year-over-year growth of 98.3%, which strengthens its leadership position in the Chinese EV market amid rising demand.
- Li Auto's Growth: Li Auto reported March deliveries of 41,053 vehicles, a 12% increase from the previous year, driven by resolved production bottlenecks and the launch of new models, indicating its potential for sustained growth in a competitive landscape.
- XPeng's Decline: XPeng delivered 27,415 vehicles in March 2026, marking an 80% month-over-month increase but an 18% year-over-year decline, with total Q1 deliveries at 62,682 units, highlighting the challenges it faces in maintaining market share.
- Tesla's Lower Expectations: Tesla is projected to deliver approximately 368,900 vehicles in Q1, an 11.8% decrease from the previous quarter, indicating the need for a strategic reassessment to navigate increasing competition in key markets.
- Intensifying Market Competition: BYD has surpassed Tesla in electric vehicle manufacturing and deliveries, selling over 2.25 million EVs last year compared to Tesla's 1.63 million, indicating BYD's strong growth momentum that forces Tesla to implement price cuts to maintain market share.
- Profit Pressure Emerges: Despite BYD's revenue growth of 3.5% to $116 billion, its profits for 2025 have declined by 19% year-over-year, highlighting the impact of fierce price competition on profit margins, which may affect its future investment and expansion capabilities.
- International Market Strategy: BYD plans to establish up to 20 dealership locations in Canada and is considering setting up production facilities, a strategic move that could pave the way for its entry into the U.S. market, further threatening Tesla's position in North America.
- Leading Technological Innovation: BYD not only manufactures electric vehicles but also leads in high-performance lithium batteries, with plans to begin producing solid-state batteries next year, a breakthrough that could address key issues holding back EV sales and enhance its competitive edge.
- Intensified Market Competition: Volkswagen's profits in China fell approximately 45% in 2025, from $2 billion to $1.1 billion, highlighting fierce competition from local firms that forces a reassessment of market strategies to maintain share.
- Deepened Technological Collaboration: The partnership with Xpeng enables Volkswagen to rapidly build hardware and software architecture in China, particularly the CEA architecture completed in 18 months, significantly shortening new vehicle development cycles and enhancing market responsiveness.
- Product Innovation Speed: The jointly developed ID.UNYX 08 vehicle was produced in 24 months, a speed deemed 'unheard of' in the Western automotive industry, reflecting the high efficiency of Chinese manufacturing capabilities.
- Global Expansion Strategy: Xpeng's launch of new models in Mexico indicates its intent to compete globally, potentially posing a greater threat to Volkswagen and other non-Chinese automakers, especially in the competition for high-value technology components.
- Military Involvement Update: President Trump hinted that U.S. military involvement in Iran could end within two to three weeks, a development that may significantly impact geopolitical stability and related energy stocks.
- Market Rebound: Following Trump's announcement, U.S. stock futures rose, with Nasdaq and Russell 2000 futures up 0.7% and Dow and S&P 500 futures gaining 0.6%, indicating cautious optimism among investors regarding market prospects.
- Nike's Earnings Decline: Nike Inc. shares fell 10% in pre-market trading after guiding for a revenue decline in Q4, with a projected 20% drop in sales from China, posing challenges to its long-term growth strategy.
- Beyond Meat's Revenue Miss: Beyond Meat's stock dropped 10% in early trading after missing Q4 revenue estimates and citing











