Tesla Accelerates Production of Electric Semi Truck
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy TSLA?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Production Acceleration: Tesla aims to ramp up production of its electric Semi truck in the first half of 2026, targeting an annual output of between 5,000 and 15,000 units, which, while potentially disappointing in the short term, signifies the company's commitment to entering the heavy-duty electric truck market.
- Enhanced Market Competitiveness: The improved electric Semi now offers payload capacity comparable to diesel trucks, as Tesla has reduced the weight by approximately 1,000 pounds and leveraged a 2,000-pound federal weight exemption, allowing the 500-mile Long Range version to achieve payload parity with similar diesel Class 8 trucks, thereby enhancing its competitive edge.
- Pricing Challenges: With a starting price of around $300,000, nearly double that of comparable diesel trucks, Tesla faces significant hurdles; however, the potential savings in fuel and maintenance costs could still attract long-haul trucking companies.
- Market Potential Outlook: According to the American Truck Dealers Association, the total Class 8 truck market reached 208,000 units in 2025, and if Tesla's Semi can achieve annual sales close to 10,000 units by the end of the decade, it would be considered a significant success, even if initial sales figures may disappoint investors.
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Analyst Views on TSLA
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to rise
30 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
11 Hold
7 Sell
Hold
Current: 364.200
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
Current: 364.200
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
About TSLA
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offers services related to its products. Its segments include automotive, and energy generation and storage. The automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales and leasing of high-performance fully electric vehicles, and sales of automotive regulatory credits. It also includes sales of used vehicles, non-warranty maintenance services and collisions, part sales, paid supercharging, insurance services revenue and retail merchandise sales. The energy generation and storage segment include the design, manufacture, installation, sales and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. Its consumer vehicles include the Model 3, Y, S, X and Cybertruck. Its lithium-ion battery energy storage products include Powerwall and Megapack.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Delivery Miss: Tesla produced 408,000 EVs in Q1 but sold only 358,000, missing its delivery target, which may negatively impact investor confidence and lead to stock price volatility.
- Analyst Rating Adjustments: TD Cowen lowered Tesla's price target to $490 per share while maintaining a buy rating, expressing caution about the upcoming earnings report, as the delivery miss could affect market expectations.
- Capital Expenditure Concerns: Barclays analysts worry about Tesla's new 'Terafab' chip venture, estimating costs could rise into the trillions, potentially eroding cash flow and impacting profitability, posing challenges for the company's future growth.
- Sales Growth Expectations: Despite delivery challenges, analysts expect Tesla to achieve a 17% sales growth this quarter, with revenues exceeding $22.6 billion and projected earnings per share of $0.38, representing a 41% increase from last year, providing hope for the company's future.
See More
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- Stock Surge: Tesla's stock rose 7.6% to $390.64 by midday Wednesday, reflecting cautious optimism in the market ahead of its upcoming Q1 earnings report, despite analysts expressing reserved expectations.
- Analyst Expectations: TD Cowen lowered its price target for Tesla to $490 per share while maintaining a buy rating, suggesting that the delivery miss and lack of positive news on Robotaxis could lower market expectations, potentially creating favorable conditions for the earnings report.
- Spending Concerns: Barclays analysts expressed worries about Tesla's new 'Terafab' chip project, speculating that costs could escalate into the 'mid-single digit trillion dollar range', which may impact Tesla's cash flow and profitability, especially with capital expenditures projected at $20 billion this year.
- Sales Growth Outlook: Despite missing delivery targets, analysts expect Tesla to achieve a 17% sales growth in Q1, with revenues exceeding $22.6 billion and projected earnings per share of $0.38, marking a 41% increase from last year and potentially supporting the stock price.
See More
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- Strong Bank Performance: Bank of America reported an EPS of $1.11, a 25% year-over-year increase, reflecting a resilient U.S. economy with revenues hitting $30.3 billion and growth across all business segments, bolstering market confidence.
- Tech Stocks Lead Gains: Microsoft rose 3.8%, Apple climbed 2.5%, and Tesla surged 6.1%, with these heavyweight tech stocks providing robust support for market-cap weighted indices, driving the Nasdaq-100 up by 0.6%.
- Dow Jones Under Pressure: The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4% due to Caterpillar's 4.5% drop and Goldman Sachs' sudden morning reversal, highlighting the significant impact of individual stocks on price-weighted indices.
- Complex Market Outlook: Despite strong performance from the financial sector, oil supply constraints could lead to a recession by year-end, leaving the global economy fragile in this complicated scenario, prompting investors to remain vigilant and diversified.
See More
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- Tesla's Price Surge: Tesla's stock jumped 6.1% driven by bullish analyst notes and news about custom self-driving chips, indicating strong market confidence in its technological advancements, which could further boost investor sentiment ahead of its upcoming earnings report.
- Strong Earnings from Bank of America: Bank of America reported Q1 EPS of $1.11, a 25% increase year-over-year, with revenues hitting $30.3 billion and growth across all business segments, as the CEO highlighted this as evidence of a resilient American economy, reflecting stability in the financial sector amid current economic conditions.
- Divergent Market Performance: While the Nasdaq-100 rose 0.6% and the S&P 500 gained 0.4%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4% due to Caterpillar's 4.5% drop, illustrating the significant impact of individual stocks on index performance, particularly given the price-weighted nature of the Dow.
- Macroeconomic Concerns: Despite strong performance in the financial sector, concerns about oil supply constraints potentially leading to a recession later this year highlight the fragility of the global economy in a complex scenario, prompting investors to remain vigilant and diversify their portfolios to mitigate risks.
See More
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- Significant Price Surge: Tesla shares surged 8% on Wednesday, marking the largest single-day gain in over nine months, pushing the stock to its highest level since March 25, indicating improved short-term momentum.
- Technical Indicator Breakthrough: This rally lifted Tesla's stock above its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, which are often seen as signals of improving trends, potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Year-to-Date Performance Under Pressure: Despite the sharp increase, Tesla is still down 13.6% year-to-date and has declined 10.7% over the past six months, reflecting ongoing market volatility and investor uncertainty.
- Impact on ETF Market: Tesla's rise is rippling through the ETF market, as the stock is held across 498 ETFs, with the GraniteShares 1.25x Long Tesla Daily ETF having a 78.32% allocation, highlighting strong market interest in Tesla.
See More
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- AI Chip Milestone: CEO Elon Musk announced on social media that Tesla's AI5 chip has reached a key engineering milestone, accelerating its production timeline, which is expected to enhance future product competitiveness and market share.
- Factory Expansion: Tesla plans to build two advanced chip factories in Austin, Texas, in partnership with SpaceX, one for vehicle and robot chips and another for orbital data center chips, further strengthening its technological capabilities and market position.
- Analyst Rating Upgrade: UBS analysts upgraded Tesla's stock rating from sell to hold and raised the price target by about $1 to $352, reflecting a positive outlook on the development of a new smaller SUV, indicating market anticipation for an expanded product line.
- Software Update Impact: Tesla launched a Spring software update that enhances user experience by making it easier for customers to subscribe to the Full Self Driving option and view usage statistics, which is expected to boost customer satisfaction and product utilization, driving future sales growth.
See More
