Surge in U.S. Defense Demand Drives Lockheed and RTX to Accelerate Production
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy LMT?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Surge in Defense Demand: The ongoing conflict in Iran has led to higher-than-expected munitions usage by the U.S., prompting Lockheed Martin and RTX to accelerate production, particularly of the THAAD anti-ballistic defense system and F-35 fighter jets, ensuring they meet the high demand from the government and investors.
- Significant Contract Growth: Lockheed and RTX stocks have risen 40% and 57% respectively over the past year, continuing to secure new contracts, with Lockheed's FY26 EPS projected to increase by 29% to $29.87, reflecting strong profitability and market confidence.
- Production Capacity Enhancement: Lockheed plans to open a “munitions acceleration center” in Camden, Arkansas, increasing THAAD missile production from 96 to 400 units annually, demonstrating the company's proactive response to future defense needs and strategic investments.
- Robust Order Backlogs: As of 2026, Lockheed's backlog has increased by 8% YoY to $194 billion, while RTX's backlog has surged 23% to $268 billion, indicating sustained strong demand and market positioning for both companies in the defense sector.
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Analyst Views on LMT
Wall Street analysts forecast LMT stock price to fall
12 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 652.830
Low
430.00
Averages
535.50
High
605.00
Current: 652.830
Low
430.00
Averages
535.50
High
605.00
About LMT
Lockheed Martin Corporation is a global aerospace and defense company. The Company is engaged in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration and sustainment of advanced technology systems, products and services. Its segments include Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control (MFC), Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS) and Space. Aeronautics segment is engaged in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, sustainment, support and upgrade of advanced military aircraft. MFC segment provides air and missile defense systems, manned and unmanned ground vehicles, energy management solutions, and others. RMS segment designs, manufactures, services and supports various military and commercial helicopters, surface ships, sea and land-based missile defense systems, and others. Its Space segment is engaged in the research and design, development, engineering and production of satellites, space transportation systems, and strategic, advanced strike, and defensive systems.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Performance: Lockheed Martin (LMT) closed at $646.09, down 1.03% from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's 0.61% decline, indicating relative weakness amid overall market softness.
- Earnings Expectations: The upcoming earnings report is projected to show earnings of $6.9 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 5.22%, yet revenue is expected to reach $18.51 billion, indicating a 3.06% increase from the same quarter last year, showcasing the company's growth potential in adversity.
- Analyst Ratings: Lockheed Martin currently holds a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold), with a 0.2% increase in the EPS estimate over the past 30 days, reflecting cautious optimism from analysts regarding the company's short-term profitability, which may influence investor confidence.
- Valuation Analysis: The company is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 21.85, below the industry average of 24.14, and a PEG ratio of 1.18 suggests that the stock is reasonably valued given future earnings growth expectations, potentially attracting value investors' interest.
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- Oil Price Surge: The ongoing Iran war has pushed Brent crude oil futures above $100 per barrel for the second consecutive day, marking a more than 40% increase since the conflict began, which could have profound implications for the global economy, particularly for oil-importing nations.
- Supply Chain Disruption: Energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz are choked off due to the war, leading to a temporary halt in oil-loading operations at the UAE's Fujairah port after a fire, although operations have since resumed, highlighting the vulnerability of supply chains and the potential for future energy crises.
- Escalation of Military Actions: President Trump has ordered bombing raids on Iranian military targets, specifically targeting the oil export hub on Kharg Island for the first time, a move that could further escalate tensions in the region and impact the stability of global oil markets.
- Major Event Cancellations: The war's impact has led Formula 1 to cancel upcoming Grand Prix races in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia scheduled for April, reflecting the widespread effects of the conflict on international events, which could affect related economic interests and tourism.
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- Artemis Program Delays: NASA announced that the Artemis II mission will be delayed until April, and the Artemis III mission will no longer land on the moon in 2028 but will instead practice docking in Low Earth Orbit, which, while seemingly bad news, actually lays the groundwork for future missions.
- Increased Launch Cadence: NASA plans to move Artemis III to 2027 for docking practice, followed by Artemis IV conducting the actual moon landing in 2028, with a goal of launching every 10 months, significantly increasing launch frequency and potentially achieving two moon landings in 2028.
- Cost Control Strategy: To reduce the $4.1 billion cost per launch, NASA has decided to standardize Boeing's SLS rocket design by adopting the proven Centaur 5 second stage instead of the originally planned more powerful version, thereby speeding up production and lowering costs.
- Impact on Space Industry: Artemis IV will be the first SLS rocket to utilize the Centaur second stage, and this standardization not only helps reduce launch costs but also positions Boeing and its partners more competitively in Congress, potentially preventing the handover of contracts to SpaceX.
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- Dividend Yield: The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) recently offers a dividend yield of 3.3%, providing a stable income source amidst current economic uncertainties, appealing to defensive investors.
- Historical Performance: Since its inception in 2011, the ETF has achieved an average annual return of 13.30%, with a 15.67% return over the past year, demonstrating strong performance in volatile markets and boosting investor confidence.
- Portfolio Strength: SCHD holds approximately 100 stocks, including blue-chip companies like Lockheed Martin, Coca-Cola, and PepsiCo, ensuring investment diversity and stability, thereby providing long-term capital appreciation potential for investors.
- Long-Term Investment Returns: Investing $1,200 annually, with an assumed annual return of 10%, could yield around $68,730 after 20 years, highlighting the ETF's appeal as a long-term investment vehicle.
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- Artemis Program Delays: NASA announced that the Artemis II mission will be delayed until April, and Artemis III will not land on the moon but will practice docking in low Earth orbit, which, while seemingly negative, actually sets the stage for future missions.
- Increased Launch Cadence: NASA plans to move Artemis III to 2027, followed by Artemis IV landing on the moon in 2028, aiming for a launch frequency of once every 10 months, significantly enhancing operational efficiency and mission execution.
- Cost Control Strategy: NASA has decided to standardize Boeing's SLS rocket by adopting the proven Centaur 5 second stage, which is expected to reduce the per-launch cost from $4.1 billion, thereby increasing congressional support and ensuring ongoing contracts for Boeing and its partners.
- Market Competition Pressure: With competitors like SpaceX and Blue Origin, NASA's new plan not only aims to make SLS more cost-effective but also ensures the U.S. maintains its leadership in space exploration, preventing contracts from being handed over to other companies.
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- Annual Returns: The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF has achieved an average annual gain of 13.37% over the past decade, demonstrating robust performance in a volatile market, appealing to investors seeking stable returns.
- Dividend Yield: With a recent dividend yield of 3.3%, this ETF not only provides a steady cash flow but also offers the potential for capital appreciation, making it suitable for defensive investing in uncertain economic conditions.
- Investment Returns: Investing $1,200 annually with an assumed annual return of 10% could yield approximately $68,730 in 20 years, highlighting the power of compounding and encouraging a focus on long-term holding strategies.
- Portfolio Composition: The ETF holds around 100 stocks, primarily blue-chip companies, with top holdings like Lockheed Martin and Coca-Cola, further enhancing the stability and income potential of its investment portfolio.
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