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LMT Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
592.190
1 Day change
-2.52%
52 Week Range
692.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the company has a robust backlog and stable revenue projections, technical indicators and trading sentiment suggest a neutral to slightly bearish short-term outlook. The lack of strong proprietary trading signals and mixed analyst ratings further support a hold recommendation.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negatively expanding (-1.159), indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 34.448, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its S1 support level of 605.975, with resistance at 619.921. This suggests limited upside potential in the short term.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The open interest and volume put-call ratios below 1 indicate a slight bullish sentiment, but the implied volatility (IV) percentile at 87.55 suggests heightened risk and uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Lockheed Martin's backlog reached $194 billion, ensuring long-term revenue stability.

  • Revenue is projected to grow to $77.5-$80 billion in 2026, reflecting strong market opportunities.

  • Recent $105 million U.S. Space Force contract adds to its growth potential.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly selling, with a 143.99% increase in selling activity last quarter.

  • Analysts highlight risks in fixed-price programs and weaker free cash flow compared to peers.

  • Technical indicators show bearish momentum, and the stock has a 60% chance of declining in the next day and month.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Lockheed Martin showed strong financial growth: Revenue increased 9.12% YoY to $20.32 billion, Net Income surged 155.03% YoY to $1.344 billion, and EPS rose 161.26% YoY to 5.8. Gross Margin also improved significantly by 208.09% YoY to 11.43.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst ratings are mixed. Jefferies and Citi raised price targets but maintained Hold/Neutral ratings. Susquehanna remains positive with a $740 price target, citing strong defense positioning. However, Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs highlight risks in margins, free cash flow, and fixed-price programs, maintaining Equal Weight or Sell ratings.

Wall Street analysts forecast LMT stock price to fall
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast LMT stock price to fall
4 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 607.490
sliders
Low
430
Averages
535.5
High
605
Current: 607.490
sliders
Low
430
Averages
535.5
High
605
Jefferies
Hold
maintain
$630 -> $640
AI Analysis
2026-04-07
Reason
Jefferies
Price Target
$630 -> $640
AI Analysis
2026-04-07
maintain
Hold
Reason
Jefferies raised the firm's price target on Lockheed Martin to $640 from $630 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm forecasts Q1 revenue to be about flat at $18.0B, versus consensus of $18.4B, with EPS of $6.61, or 2% below consensus, the analyst tells investors in a preview. 2026 guidance is likely to be maintained given history, though Q1 is unlikely to derisk the full year outlook, the analyst added.
Citi
Neutral
maintain
$573 -> $675
2026-04-02
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$573 -> $675
2026-04-02
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Citi raised the firm's price target on Lockheed Martin to $675 from $573 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated estimates and price targets across aerospace and defense as part of a Q1 preview.
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