Significant ETF Withdrawals Observed - CGDV, CARR, AIG, HAL
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 04 2025
0mins
Should l Buy CARR?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
CGDV Share Price Analysis: CGDV's share price is currently at $43.63, with a 52-week low of $30.94 and a high of $43.86, indicating a stable position near its high point.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting the underlying assets.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly monitoring of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (units destroyed), which can affect the individual components within those ETFs.
Disclaimer on Views: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.
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Analyst Views on CARR
Wall Street analysts forecast CARR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CARR is 69.08 USD with a low forecast of 55.00 USD and a high forecast of 90.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 67.080
Low
55.00
Averages
69.08
High
90.00
Current: 67.080
Low
55.00
Averages
69.08
High
90.00
About CARR
Carrier Global Corporation is engaged in providing intelligent climate and energy solutions with a focus on providing digitally enabled lifecycle solutions to its customers. The Company’s segment include Climate Solutions Americas, which provides products, controls, services and solutions to meet the heating, ventilation and cooling (HVAC) needs of residential and commercial customers in North and South America; Climate Solutions Europe segment provides products, controls, services and solutions to meet the HVAC needs of residential and commercial customers in Europe; Climate Solutions Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa segment provides products, controls, services and solutions to meet the HVAC needs of residential and commercial customers in Asia Pacific, the Middle East and Africa; and Climate Solutions Transportation segment includes global transport refrigeration and monitoring products, services and digital solutions for trucks, trailers, shipping containers, intermodal and rail.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Performance: Carrier Global's stock has struggled since the recommendation was made.
- Business Outlook: Despite the stock's performance, there are strong reasons to remain optimistic about the company's business fundamentals and future potential.
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- Dividend Stock Appeal: Christopher Buchbinder from Capital Group highlights the attractiveness of dividend stocks, particularly those rated investment grade with a long history of income payments, which has allowed the CGDV fund to outperform the S&P 500 in down markets.
- Tech Sector Allocation: As of January 31, 26.8% of CGDV's assets are allocated to information technology, particularly semiconductor companies, reflecting the team's confidence in a sustainable AI investment cycle, with expectations that AI will dramatically change lives over the next 5-10 years.
- Energy Sector Opportunities: Although energy comprises only 6.4% of CGDV's portfolio, Buchbinder sees an upcycle in the oil field services sector over the next few years, particularly with Halliburton's collaboration with VoltaGrid to manufacture power systems for AI data centers, indicating long-term growth potential.
- Healthcare Investment: CGDV's largest healthcare holding is Eli Lilly at 3.86%, with Buchbinder believing that the long-term trend of GLP-1 drugs will transform the healthcare landscape in the U.S., positioning Eli Lilly as the market leader while awaiting FDA approval for its oral GLP-1 drug.
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- Conference Participation: Carrier Global Corporation's Chairman and CEO David Gitlin will participate in the Barclays 43rd Annual Industrial Select Conference on February 19, 2026, showcasing the company's leadership in intelligent climate and energy solutions.
- CFO Engagement: Later that day, Chief Financial Officer Patrick Goris will join Gitlin at the Citi 2026 Global Industrial Tech & Mobility Conference, further emphasizing the company's significance in the industry.
- Live Broadcast and Replay: Both events will be broadcast live on Carrier's website, with a replay available afterward, ensuring that investors and the public can access timely information and enhance transparency.
- Company Vision: Carrier is committed to improving quality of life through innovation and advancing climate solutions, demonstrating the company's strong commitment to sustainability and a customer-centric approach.
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- Cardinal Health Guidance Raised: Cardinal Health reported quarterly adjusted earnings of $2.63 per share, exceeding the $2.36 consensus, with revenue of $65.63 billion surpassing the $64.14 billion estimate, leading to an 8% stock price increase, showcasing strong growth potential in the healthcare services sector.
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- Performance Overview: Carrier Global Corporation reported Q4 2025 sales of $4.8 billion, with adjusted operating profit at $455 million and adjusted EPS of $0.34, reflecting only a 1% decline in total organic sales despite significant softness in residential and light commercial markets.
- Data Center Growth: The data center segment saw a fourfold increase in orders during Q4, with expectations for revenue growth of about 50% in 2026, indicating the effectiveness of the company's strategic investments in high-growth areas.
- Cost Control Measures: The cost and pricing actions implemented are projected to deliver over $100 million in savings in 2026, helping to offset tariff impacts and enhance material productivity, thereby improving overall profitability.
- Future Outlook: The company anticipates approximately 1% organic growth for 2026, with double-digit growth in commercial HVAC and aftermarket services, although continued pressure in residential and light commercial markets is expected, with total sales projected at around $22 billion.
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- Earnings Decline: Carrier Global's Q4 adjusted earnings per share were $0.34, falling short of the $0.36 consensus estimate, resulting in a 6.1% drop in premarket trading, indicating significant profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Miss: The company's Q4 revenue of $4.84 billion did not meet analysts' expectations of $5.02 billion, with a 6% year-over-year sales decline, highlighting the impact of weakness in residential markets and distributor destocking.
- Sharp Profit Drop: Operating profit plummeted from $774 million a year earlier to $101 million, primarily due to the absence of prior-year gains from the sale of the commercial refrigeration business and exacerbated profit pressures from soft residential demand.
- Cautious Outlook: Carrier forecasts adjusted earnings of about $2.80 per share for 2026, below the consensus estimate of $2.88, with projected sales of approximately $22 billion, reflecting a lack of confidence in sustained double-digit growth in global commercial HVAC and aftermarket sectors.
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