CARR Should I Buy
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Carrier Global Corp (CARR) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The company's recent financial performance shows significant declines in revenue, net income, and EPS, which raises concerns about its growth trajectory. Additionally, the technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and Congress trading data shows a cautious stance with more selling activity. While analysts have raised price targets and hedge funds are buying, the negative financial performance and lack of strong proprietary trading signals make this stock a hold rather than a buy.
The MACD histogram is -0.726, below 0, and negatively expanding, indicating a bearish trend. RSI is at 31.536, which is neutral but close to oversold territory. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. Key support is at 60.32, and resistance is at 62.484. The stock is trading near its support level, but no strong reversal signals are present.
Hedge funds are increasing their buying activity, with a 101.57% increase in the last quarter. Analysts have raised price targets, with RBC, Baird, and Citi highlighting strong growth in Commercial HVAC and multi-year secular drivers.
The company's Q4 financial performance shows significant declines in revenue (-6.04% YoY), net income (-97.92% YoY), and EPS (-97.91% YoY). Congress members have sold the stock in recent transactions, indicating caution. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and no proprietary trading signals (AI Stock Picker or SwingMax) are present.
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $4.837 billion (-6.04% YoY), net income dropped to $53 million (-97.92% YoY), EPS dropped to $0.06 (-97.91% YoY), and gross margin dropped to 20.28% (-22.65% YoY). These declines indicate significant financial challenges.
Analysts have a generally positive outlook, with RBC, Baird, and Citi raising price targets to $72-$74 and maintaining Outperform or Buy ratings. However, Morgan Stanley and Mizuho have lowered their price targets, citing uneven terrain in the sector. The consensus is cautiously optimistic but acknowledges challenges in the residential segment.
