The chart below shows how CARR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CARR sees a +0.89% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +4.43% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.00%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Q4 EPS Exceeds Expectations: Carrier Global Corporation reported an adjusted EPS of $0.54 for Q4 2024, exceeding expectations of $0.50, marking a 50% year-over-year increase.
Strong HVAC Demand Growth: Total company orders increased by low teens, with HVAC Americas orders up approximately 40%, indicating strong demand in the segment.
HVAC Segment Sales Growth: The HVAC segment achieved organic sales growth of 11% in Q4, with residential sales up 35%, driven by strong volume compared to a weak prior year.
Q4 Adjusted Operating Profit Growth: Adjusted operating profit for Q4 rose by 65% year-over-year, supported by the integration of Viessmann Climate Solutions and strong organic growth.
Shareholder Value Commitment: Carrier returned over $2.6 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, reflecting a commitment to shareholder value.
Negative
HVAC Market Challenges: Weakness in residential light commercial HVAC in Europe and China negatively impacted overall performance, contributing to flat organic sales in EMEA and a decline in Asia.
Organic Orders Decline: Total company organic orders were down mid-single digits in EMEA and Asia, indicating a slowdown in demand in key markets, particularly in China.
Commercial Refrigeration Exit Impact: The exit from the commercial refrigeration segment resulted in a $750 million year-over-year revenue headwind, significantly affecting overall sales projections for 2025.
Free Cash Flow Concerns: Free cash flow for Q4 was an outflow of about $90 million, contrasting with expectations and indicating potential liquidity issues.
Flat Organic Revenue Growth: The company anticipates flat organic revenue growth in Q1, reflecting ongoing challenges in the residential and light commercial HVAC markets in Europe and China.
Carrier Global Corporation (NYSE:CARR) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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