Shell Plans to Start Natural Gas Production by Mid-2027
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy SHEL?
Source: seekingalpha
- Gas Production Plans: Shell plans to commence natural gas production from the Loran-Manatee offshore field by mid-2027, which spans Venezuela and Trinidad and Tobago, indicating its strategic positioning in the Latin American market.
- Capacity Enhancement: The company has increased the pipeline capacity from the initially planned 700 million cubic feet per day to 1 billion cubic feet per day, which is expected to significantly enhance its market competitiveness in the region.
- Reserve Comparison: The Loran field holds 7.3 trillion cubic feet of gas reserves compared to Manatee's 2.7 trillion cubic feet, and Shell is considering developing both as a unified project to optimize resource allocation.
- Geopolitical Impact: The geopolitical uncertainties stemming from the Middle East conflict have prompted the National Gas Company of Trinidad to advocate for the restart of the first liquefaction train of the Atlantic LNG project, in which Shell and BP each hold 45%, reflecting a responsive strategy to market demands.
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Analyst Views on SHEL
Wall Street analysts forecast SHEL stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 92.010
Low
41.75
Averages
74.27
High
91.00
Current: 92.010
Low
41.75
Averages
74.27
High
91.00
About SHEL
Shell plc is an international energy company engaged in the principal aspects of the energy and petrochemical industries. The Company's segments include Integrated Gas, Upstream, Marketing, Chemicals and Products, Renewables and Energy Solutions, and Corporate. The Integrated Gas segment includes liquefied natural gas (LNG), conversion of natural gas into gas-to-liquids (GTL) fuels and other products. It includes natural gas and liquids exploration and extraction, and the operation of the upstream and midstream infrastructure. The Upstream segment includes exploration and extraction of crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. It also markets and transports oil and gas and operates the infrastructure necessary to deliver them to the market. The Marketing segment comprises the Mobility, Lubricants, and Sectors & Decarbonization businesses. The Chemicals and Products segment includes chemicals manufacturing plants with their own marketing network, and refineries.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Gas Production Plans: Shell plans to commence natural gas production from the Loran-Manatee offshore field by mid-2027, which spans Venezuela and Trinidad and Tobago, indicating its strategic positioning in the Latin American market.
- Capacity Enhancement: The company has increased the pipeline capacity from the initially planned 700 million cubic feet per day to 1 billion cubic feet per day, which is expected to significantly enhance its market competitiveness in the region.
- Reserve Comparison: The Loran field holds 7.3 trillion cubic feet of gas reserves compared to Manatee's 2.7 trillion cubic feet, and Shell is considering developing both as a unified project to optimize resource allocation.
- Geopolitical Impact: The geopolitical uncertainties stemming from the Middle East conflict have prompted the National Gas Company of Trinidad to advocate for the restart of the first liquefaction train of the Atlantic LNG project, in which Shell and BP each hold 45%, reflecting a responsive strategy to market demands.
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Shell's Production Plans: Shell expects to begin producing its first gas from the Loran-Manatee field located at the Venezuela-Trinidad and Tobago border by mid-2027.
Trinidad and Tobago's Involvement: The chairman of Trinidad and Tobago's National Gas Company (NGC) has confirmed this timeline for gas production.
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- Maintenance Activities: Shell Manufacturing Center in Corunna is undergoing maintenance activities.
- Duration: These maintenance activities are expected to last for approximately six weeks.
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- Surge in Oil Prices: Brent crude oil skyrocketed by 94% in Q1, marking the largest quarterly gain since 1990, positioning oil companies for substantial profits, although not all firms fully benefited from this surge.
- Production Disruptions: Operations at ExxonMobil and Shell faced interruptions due to the Middle East conflict, with Exxon expected to see a 6% decline in global oil and gas production and Shell a 7% drop, directly impacting their financial performance.
- Long-term Loss Projections: ExxonMobil anticipates a $4.9 billion loss due to derivative accounting rules, while Shell expects a $15 billion hit to working capital, indicating significant financial pressure on both companies moving forward.
- Offsetting Effects of High Prices: Despite production declines and losses, ExxonMobil forecasts a $2.3 billion boost in Q1 earnings from rising oil prices, with Shell's earnings now expected to exceed initial forecasts by 10%, suggesting that elevated oil prices will help mitigate some negative impacts.
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- Oil Price Surge: Brent crude skyrocketed 94% in Q1, marking the largest quarterly gain since 1990, positioning oil companies for substantial profits in the first quarter, although not all firms fully benefited from the price increase.
- Production Disruptions: Due to the war in the Middle East, both ExxonMobil and Shell faced operational disruptions, with global oil and gas production expected to decline by 6% and 7% respectively in Q1, negatively impacting their financial performance.
- Facility Damage: Iranian attacks damaged two liquefied natural gas (LNG) trains in Qatar, representing 17% of its production capacity, with repairs expected to take three to five years, exacerbating production challenges for ExxonMobil and Shell.
- Financial Impact: Despite production declines and losses, ExxonMobil anticipates a $2.3 billion boost in Q1 earnings from rising oil prices, while Shell's earnings are now expected to be 10% higher than initial forecasts, indicating that elevated oil prices are supporting profitability.
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- Urgency of Energy Security: Rising instability in the Middle East has highlighted the fragility of global energy supply chains, prompting Greenland Energy Company to explore the Jameson Land Basin, which is estimated to hold up to 1.3 billion barrels of oil, potentially impacting energy independence for Western economies significantly.
- Significant Exploration Progress: Greenland Energy has secured drilling capacity through a strategic agreement and plans to drill two key wells this year, which, if successful, will grant them rights to 70% of the Jameson Land Basin, greatly enhancing their resource development potential.
- Capital Structure Advantage: The company's enterprise value is estimated between $200 million and $220 million, with a market capitalization of approximately $300 million to $345 million, and its low-debt structure provides flexibility in capital-intensive exploration, attracting investor interest.
- Leadership Team Experience: The appointment of Joe Moglia is expected to provide strategic guidance, particularly in Arctic development and capital market engagement, as his extensive market experience will help the company navigate operational and financial challenges effectively.
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