Riley Permian Q4 Revenue at $97M Below Consensus
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 04 2026
0mins
Should l Buy REPX?
Reports Q4 revenue $97M, consensus $108.47M. Averaged 35.5 MBoe/d of total equivalent production, oil production of 20.1 MBbls/d. CEO Bobby Riley commented, "2025 was a transformational year for Riley Permian, as we made significant progress across key strategic initiatives, including inventory expansion, infrastructure build-out, and balance sheet improvement. The groundwork laid in 2025 positions the company for a more active and value-enhancing development program in 2026 and beyond."
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Analyst Views on REPX
Wall Street analysts forecast REPX stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 33.200
Low
36.00
Averages
36.00
High
36.00
Current: 33.200
Low
36.00
Averages
36.00
High
36.00
About REPX
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, exploration, development and production of oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Company is focused on horizontal drilling of conventional oil-saturated and liquids-rich formations in the Permian Basin that produce long-term cash flows. The Permian Basin is an oil and natural gas producing area located in West Texas and the adjoining area of Southeastern New Mexico covering an area approximately 250 miles wide and 300 miles long, and encompasses several sub-basins, including the Delaware Basin, Midland Basin, Central Basin Platform and Northwest Shelf. The Company's acreage is primarily located on large contiguous blocks in Yoakum County, Texas, which represents its Champions field and in Eddy County, New Mexico, which represents its Red Lake field. Its land-based oil and natural gas facilities are typical of those found in the Permian Basin.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Riley Exploration Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings and Growth Outlook
- Strong Financial Performance: Riley Exploration reported a net income increase of $69 million in Q4 2025, benefiting from a $72 million gain on the midstream asset sale, with adjusted EBITDAX reaching $66 million, reflecting a 3% quarter-over-quarter growth that underscores the company's robust financial health and profitability.
- Debt Reduction and Buyback Program: The company reduced its debt by $120 million in Q4 and authorized a stock repurchase program of up to $100 million, having repurchased approximately 152,000 shares at an average price of $26.54, which enhances capital structure flexibility and shareholder value.
- Oil Production Growth: The company reported an increase of over 1,700 barrels per day in oil production quarter-over-quarter, with a 26% year-over-year growth, and a remarkable 74% year-over-year increase in New Mexico oil production, demonstrating the strategic success of the Silverback acquisition that exceeded expectations.
- Optimistic 2026 Outlook: Management forecasts a capital expenditure plan of $200 million for 2026, projecting over 20% year-over-year oil volume growth, while emphasizing readiness to moderate spending appropriately in response to oil price fluctuations, ensuring strategic adaptability in a volatile market.
See More
Riley Exploration Permian Reports Increased Q4 Earnings
- Significant Profit Growth: Riley Exploration Permian reported a net income of $85.39 million for Q4, translating to an EPS of $4.02, which marks a substantial increase from last year's $10.92 million and $0.52 per share, indicating a notable improvement in the company's profitability.
- Slight Revenue Decline: Despite the profit increase, the company's quarterly revenue fell by 5.3%, from $102.69 million last year to $97.27 million this year, suggesting that market conditions may have exerted some pressure on sales.
- Financial Performance Comparison: The company's net income surged by 681% compared to the same period last year, highlighting significant advancements in cost control and operational efficiency.
- Future Outlook: Although revenue has declined, the strong profit performance may provide funding for future investments and expansions, enhancing the company's competitive position in the industry.
See More
Riley Exploration Reports Strong 2025 Financial Results
- Production Capacity Growth: In Q4 2025, Riley Exploration achieved total equivalent production of 35.5 MBoe/d, with oil production at 20.1 MBbls/d, indicating significant progress in output growth that is expected to enhance its market competitiveness.
- Strong Financial Performance: The company reported a net income of $85 million and operating cash flow of $65 million in Q4 2025, with Adjusted EBITDAX at $66 million, reflecting ongoing improvements in profitability and cash flow that will support future investments and shareholder returns.
- Capital Expenditure Management: In 2025, total capital expenditures were controlled at $120 million, with upstream spending at $83 million, demonstrating a balance between expansion and cost management that is expected to lay the groundwork for future growth.
- Debt Reduction and Buyback Program: The company reduced debt by $120 million in 2025 and announced a stock repurchase program of up to $100 million, indicating a strong financial position that enhances investor confidence.
See More
Riley Exploration Permian Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations
- Earnings Performance: Riley Exploration Permian reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $4.02, exceeding expectations by $1.40, indicating strong profitability despite a 5.3% year-over-year revenue decline to $97.2 million, which missed forecasts.
- Strong Cash Flow Generation: The company generated $65 million in operating cash flow and $85 million in net income during Q4, although total free cash flow was only $1 million, the adjusted EBITDAX reached $66 million, reflecting solid operational efficiency.
- Asset Sale Enhances Financial Position: The sale of all membership interests in Dovetail Midstream LLC for $123 million in cash, with potential additional payments of up to $60 million based on performance over five years, significantly strengthens the company's balance sheet.
- Debt Reduction and Buyback Plan: Riley Exploration reduced outstanding debt by $120 million, achieving a year-end debt-to-adjusted EBITDAX ratio of 1.0x, while also announcing a stock repurchase program of up to $100 million, demonstrating confidence in future growth prospects.
See More
Riley Exploration Reports 2025 Results and Provides 2026 Guidance
- Strong Financial Performance: In Q4 2025, Riley Exploration reported a net income of $85 million and operating cash flow of $65 million, demonstrating robust profitability in oil and gas production, which is expected to enhance investor confidence further.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: For 2026, the company plans to allocate $190 to $210 million in activity-based capital expenditures before acquisitions, aimed at expanding production capacity and optimizing infrastructure to drive future growth.
- Effective Debt Management: As of December 31, 2025, the company successfully reduced its debt by $120 million, achieving a debt-to-Adjusted EBITDAX ratio of 1.0x, indicating improved financial health that enhances market competitiveness.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: The company raised its quarterly dividend by 5% to $0.40 per share in October 2025, reflecting a continued commitment to shareholders while laying the groundwork for future share repurchase programs.
See More
Riley Exploration Permian Set to Release Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Riley Exploration Permian is set to announce its Q4 earnings on March 4th after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.83, reflecting a 13.5% year-over-year decline, and revenue estimate at $108.47 million, indicating a 5.6% year-over-year increase.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past year, the company has only beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time, while failing to exceed revenue estimates, highlighting challenges in revenue growth.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and one downward revision, while revenue estimates experienced no upward revisions and two downward revisions, indicating market caution regarding the company's future performance.
- Capital Operations Update: Recently, Riley Exploration Permian announced a $100 million share repurchase program and plans to sell a New Mexico midstream project for $111 million, which will improve its balance sheet and potentially enhance shareholder confidence.
See More
Riley Exploration Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings and Growth Outlook
- Strong Financial Performance: Riley Exploration reported a net income increase of $69 million in Q4 2025, benefiting from a $72 million gain on the midstream asset sale, with adjusted EBITDAX reaching $66 million, reflecting a 3% quarter-over-quarter growth that underscores the company's robust financial health and profitability.
- Debt Reduction and Buyback Program: The company reduced its debt by $120 million in Q4 and authorized a stock repurchase program of up to $100 million, having repurchased approximately 152,000 shares at an average price of $26.54, which enhances capital structure flexibility and shareholder value.
- Oil Production Growth: The company reported an increase of over 1,700 barrels per day in oil production quarter-over-quarter, with a 26% year-over-year growth, and a remarkable 74% year-over-year increase in New Mexico oil production, demonstrating the strategic success of the Silverback acquisition that exceeded expectations.
- Optimistic 2026 Outlook: Management forecasts a capital expenditure plan of $200 million for 2026, projecting over 20% year-over-year oil volume growth, while emphasizing readiness to moderate spending appropriately in response to oil price fluctuations, ensuring strategic adaptability in a volatile market.
See More
Riley Exploration Permian Reports Increased Q4 Earnings
- Significant Profit Growth: Riley Exploration Permian reported a net income of $85.39 million for Q4, translating to an EPS of $4.02, which marks a substantial increase from last year's $10.92 million and $0.52 per share, indicating a notable improvement in the company's profitability.
- Slight Revenue Decline: Despite the profit increase, the company's quarterly revenue fell by 5.3%, from $102.69 million last year to $97.27 million this year, suggesting that market conditions may have exerted some pressure on sales.
- Financial Performance Comparison: The company's net income surged by 681% compared to the same period last year, highlighting significant advancements in cost control and operational efficiency.
- Future Outlook: Although revenue has declined, the strong profit performance may provide funding for future investments and expansions, enhancing the company's competitive position in the industry.
See More
Riley Exploration Reports Strong 2025 Financial Results
- Production Capacity Growth: In Q4 2025, Riley Exploration achieved total equivalent production of 35.5 MBoe/d, with oil production at 20.1 MBbls/d, indicating significant progress in output growth that is expected to enhance its market competitiveness.
- Strong Financial Performance: The company reported a net income of $85 million and operating cash flow of $65 million in Q4 2025, with Adjusted EBITDAX at $66 million, reflecting ongoing improvements in profitability and cash flow that will support future investments and shareholder returns.
- Capital Expenditure Management: In 2025, total capital expenditures were controlled at $120 million, with upstream spending at $83 million, demonstrating a balance between expansion and cost management that is expected to lay the groundwork for future growth.
- Debt Reduction and Buyback Program: The company reduced debt by $120 million in 2025 and announced a stock repurchase program of up to $100 million, indicating a strong financial position that enhances investor confidence.
See More
Riley Exploration Permian Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations
- Earnings Performance: Riley Exploration Permian reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $4.02, exceeding expectations by $1.40, indicating strong profitability despite a 5.3% year-over-year revenue decline to $97.2 million, which missed forecasts.
- Strong Cash Flow Generation: The company generated $65 million in operating cash flow and $85 million in net income during Q4, although total free cash flow was only $1 million, the adjusted EBITDAX reached $66 million, reflecting solid operational efficiency.
- Asset Sale Enhances Financial Position: The sale of all membership interests in Dovetail Midstream LLC for $123 million in cash, with potential additional payments of up to $60 million based on performance over five years, significantly strengthens the company's balance sheet.
- Debt Reduction and Buyback Plan: Riley Exploration reduced outstanding debt by $120 million, achieving a year-end debt-to-adjusted EBITDAX ratio of 1.0x, while also announcing a stock repurchase program of up to $100 million, demonstrating confidence in future growth prospects.
See More
Riley Exploration Reports 2025 Results and Provides 2026 Guidance
- Strong Financial Performance: In Q4 2025, Riley Exploration reported a net income of $85 million and operating cash flow of $65 million, demonstrating robust profitability in oil and gas production, which is expected to enhance investor confidence further.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: For 2026, the company plans to allocate $190 to $210 million in activity-based capital expenditures before acquisitions, aimed at expanding production capacity and optimizing infrastructure to drive future growth.
- Effective Debt Management: As of December 31, 2025, the company successfully reduced its debt by $120 million, achieving a debt-to-Adjusted EBITDAX ratio of 1.0x, indicating improved financial health that enhances market competitiveness.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: The company raised its quarterly dividend by 5% to $0.40 per share in October 2025, reflecting a continued commitment to shareholders while laying the groundwork for future share repurchase programs.
See More
Riley Exploration Permian Set to Release Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Riley Exploration Permian is set to announce its Q4 earnings on March 4th after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.83, reflecting a 13.5% year-over-year decline, and revenue estimate at $108.47 million, indicating a 5.6% year-over-year increase.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past year, the company has only beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time, while failing to exceed revenue estimates, highlighting challenges in revenue growth.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and one downward revision, while revenue estimates experienced no upward revisions and two downward revisions, indicating market caution regarding the company's future performance.
- Capital Operations Update: Recently, Riley Exploration Permian announced a $100 million share repurchase program and plans to sell a New Mexico midstream project for $111 million, which will improve its balance sheet and potentially enhance shareholder confidence.
See More
