Should I Buy REPX? REPX 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Riley Exploration Permian Inc (REPX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

28.050

1 Day change

1.74%

52 Week Range

36.180

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

Riley Exploration Permian Inc (REPX) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The stock has mixed technical indicators, neutral trading sentiment, and declining financial performance in the latest quarter. While there are positive catalysts such as raised earnings estimates and an Outperform analyst rating, the lack of strong proprietary trading signals and the absence of significant insider or hedge fund activity suggest holding off on immediate investment.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is positive at 0.12, indicating slight bullish momentum, but it is contracting. RSI is neutral at 50.344, showing no clear overbought or oversold conditions. Moving averages are converging, indicating indecision. Key support is at 26.098, and resistance is at 28.814, with the current pre-market price of 27.04 sitting near the pivot level of 27.456.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high Option Volume Put-Call Ratio of 2.4 indicates bearish sentiment in the options market, as puts are being traded more heavily than calls.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Analyst William Blair initiated coverage with an Outperform rating, citing strong free cash flow and upside potential from joint ventures.
Earnings per share estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 5.0% and 14.2%, respectively.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial performance in Q3 2025 showed declining net income (-36.33% YoY), EPS (-36.36% YoY), and gross margin (-23.30% YoY).
Options data indicates bearish sentiment with a high Put-Call Ratio.
Stock trend analysis suggests a 50% chance of a -2.5% decline in the next week.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, revenue increased by 4.41% YoY to $106.85M, but net income dropped by 36.33% YoY to $16.34M. EPS also fell by 36.36% YoY to 0.77, and gross margin declined by 23.30% YoY to 42.62%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

William Blair initiated coverage with an Outperform rating, highlighting strong free cash flow, a solid balance sheet, and potential upside from joint ventures and midstream assets.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast REPX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for REPX is 36 USD with a low forecast of 36 USD and a high forecast of 36 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 27.570

Low

Averages

High

Current: 27.570

Low

Averages

High

William Blair

analyst

Outperform

initiated

AI Analysis

2025-11-21

Reason