Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Sees 4.5% Earnings Estimate Increase
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 16 2026
0mins
Should l Buy REPX?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Earnings Estimate Increase: Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. has seen a 4.5% increase in its current year earnings estimate over the last 60 days, indicating enhanced profitability that may attract more investor interest.
- High Dividend Yield: The company boasts a dividend yield of 5.7%, significantly higher than the industry average of 0.0%, making it a more appealing option for income-focused investors.
- Banking Sector Performance: United Community Banks, Inc. also holds a Zacks Rank #1, with a 0.7% increase in its current year earnings estimate over the past 60 days, reflecting its stable growth potential.
- Dividend Advantage: United Community Banks offers a dividend yield of 3%, surpassing the industry average of 2.1%, further enhancing its attractiveness as an income investment choice.
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Analyst Views on REPX
Wall Street analysts forecast REPX stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 34.780
Low
36.00
Averages
36.00
High
36.00
Current: 34.780
Low
36.00
Averages
36.00
High
36.00
About REPX
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, exploration, development and production of oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Company is focused on horizontal drilling of conventional oil-saturated and liquids-rich formations in the Permian Basin that produce long-term cash flows. The Permian Basin is an oil and natural gas producing area located in West Texas and the adjoining area of Southeastern New Mexico covering an area approximately 250 miles wide and 300 miles long, and encompasses several sub-basins, including the Delaware Basin, Midland Basin, Central Basin Platform and Northwest Shelf. The Company's acreage is primarily located on large contiguous blocks in Yoakum County, Texas, which represents its Champions field and in Eddy County, New Mexico, which represents its Red Lake field. Its land-based oil and natural gas facilities are typical of those found in the Permian Basin.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

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- Strong Financial Performance: Riley Exploration reported a net income increase of $69 million in Q4 2025, benefiting from a $72 million gain on the midstream asset sale, with adjusted EBITDAX reaching $66 million, reflecting a 3% quarter-over-quarter growth that underscores the company's robust financial health and profitability.
- Debt Reduction and Buyback Program: The company reduced its debt by $120 million in Q4 and authorized a stock repurchase program of up to $100 million, having repurchased approximately 152,000 shares at an average price of $26.54, which enhances capital structure flexibility and shareholder value.
- Oil Production Growth: The company reported an increase of over 1,700 barrels per day in oil production quarter-over-quarter, with a 26% year-over-year growth, and a remarkable 74% year-over-year increase in New Mexico oil production, demonstrating the strategic success of the Silverback acquisition that exceeded expectations.
- Optimistic 2026 Outlook: Management forecasts a capital expenditure plan of $200 million for 2026, projecting over 20% year-over-year oil volume growth, while emphasizing readiness to moderate spending appropriately in response to oil price fluctuations, ensuring strategic adaptability in a volatile market.
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- Significant Profit Growth: Riley Exploration Permian reported a net income of $85.39 million for Q4, translating to an EPS of $4.02, which marks a substantial increase from last year's $10.92 million and $0.52 per share, indicating a notable improvement in the company's profitability.
- Slight Revenue Decline: Despite the profit increase, the company's quarterly revenue fell by 5.3%, from $102.69 million last year to $97.27 million this year, suggesting that market conditions may have exerted some pressure on sales.
- Financial Performance Comparison: The company's net income surged by 681% compared to the same period last year, highlighting significant advancements in cost control and operational efficiency.
- Future Outlook: Although revenue has declined, the strong profit performance may provide funding for future investments and expansions, enhancing the company's competitive position in the industry.
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- Production Capacity Growth: In Q4 2025, Riley Exploration achieved total equivalent production of 35.5 MBoe/d, with oil production at 20.1 MBbls/d, indicating significant progress in output growth that is expected to enhance its market competitiveness.
- Strong Financial Performance: The company reported a net income of $85 million and operating cash flow of $65 million in Q4 2025, with Adjusted EBITDAX at $66 million, reflecting ongoing improvements in profitability and cash flow that will support future investments and shareholder returns.
- Capital Expenditure Management: In 2025, total capital expenditures were controlled at $120 million, with upstream spending at $83 million, demonstrating a balance between expansion and cost management that is expected to lay the groundwork for future growth.
- Debt Reduction and Buyback Program: The company reduced debt by $120 million in 2025 and announced a stock repurchase program of up to $100 million, indicating a strong financial position that enhances investor confidence.
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- Earnings Performance: Riley Exploration Permian reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $4.02, exceeding expectations by $1.40, indicating strong profitability despite a 5.3% year-over-year revenue decline to $97.2 million, which missed forecasts.
- Strong Cash Flow Generation: The company generated $65 million in operating cash flow and $85 million in net income during Q4, although total free cash flow was only $1 million, the adjusted EBITDAX reached $66 million, reflecting solid operational efficiency.
- Asset Sale Enhances Financial Position: The sale of all membership interests in Dovetail Midstream LLC for $123 million in cash, with potential additional payments of up to $60 million based on performance over five years, significantly strengthens the company's balance sheet.
- Debt Reduction and Buyback Plan: Riley Exploration reduced outstanding debt by $120 million, achieving a year-end debt-to-adjusted EBITDAX ratio of 1.0x, while also announcing a stock repurchase program of up to $100 million, demonstrating confidence in future growth prospects.
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