Penske Automotive Group Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
0mins
Should l Buy PAG?
Source: seekingalpha
- Strong Profitability: Penske Automotive Group delivered 485,000 new and nearly 19,000 commercial vehicles in 2025, generating $31 billion in revenue and $1.3 billion in earnings before taxes, demonstrating robust profitability despite market challenges.
- Strategic Acquisitions: The company acquired two Toyota, two Lexus, and one Ferrari dealership in 2025, with these acquisitions expected to yield $2 billion in annualized revenue, further solidifying its position in the premium market.
- Dividend Growth: Penske announced its 21st consecutive dividend increase to $1.40 per share, with a forward yield of 3.4%, reflecting confidence in future cash flows and commitment to shareholder returns.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Management anticipates a recovery in the commercial truck market and an improved macroeconomic environment in 2026, emphasizing that tax refunds and lower interest rates will positively impact operations, showcasing confidence in future growth.
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Analyst Views on PAG
Wall Street analysts forecast PAG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PAG is 187.00 USD with a low forecast of 175.00 USD and a high forecast of 195.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 164.400
Low
175.00
Averages
187.00
High
195.00
Current: 164.400
Low
175.00
Averages
187.00
High
195.00
About PAG
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. is a diversified international transportation services company. The Company operates dealerships in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, Italy, Japan and Australia. It also distributes and retails commercial vehicles, diesel and gas engines, power systems, and related parts and services principally in Australia and New Zealand. Additionally, it owns 28.9% of Penske Transportation Solutions (PTS). Its segments include Retail Automotive, Retail Commercial Truck, Other and Non-Automotive Investments. Retail Automotive segment consists of its retail automotive dealership operations. Retail Commercial Truck consists of its retail commercial truck dealership operations in the United States and Canada. Other segment consists of its commercial vehicle and power systems distribution operations. Non-Automotive Investments segment consists of its equity method investments in non-automotive operations which includes its investment in PTS and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Quarterly Highlights: Penske Automotive reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $2.91, falling short of the $3.10 consensus, yet sales surged to $7.769 billion, exceeding estimates of $7.604 billion, indicating resilience in revenue growth despite profitability challenges.
- Profitability Decline: Net income attributable to common stockholders dropped from $249.3 million a year earlier to $186.1 million, with adjusted net income declining 23% to $191.5 million, reflecting pressure on profitability amid a weak truck freight market and uneven global demand.
- Delivery and Sales Performance: Overall new vehicle deliveries fell by 10%, with U.S. units down 8% and international units down 14%, while retail commercial truck dealerships sold 3,789 units, generating $725.4 million in revenue and $33.8 million in pre-tax earnings, highlighting the severity of market challenges.
- Dividend Increase: The company approved a 1.4% increase in its quarterly dividend, raising it by 2 cents to $1.40 per share, representing a forward dividend yield of 3.4%, marking the 21st consecutive quarterly increase, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns.
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- Strong Profitability: Penske Automotive Group delivered 485,000 new and nearly 19,000 commercial vehicles in 2025, generating $31 billion in revenue and $1.3 billion in earnings before taxes, demonstrating robust profitability despite market challenges.
- Strategic Acquisitions: The company acquired two Toyota, two Lexus, and one Ferrari dealership in 2025, with these acquisitions expected to yield $2 billion in annualized revenue, further solidifying its position in the premium market.
- Dividend Growth: Penske announced its 21st consecutive dividend increase to $1.40 per share, with a forward yield of 3.4%, reflecting confidence in future cash flows and commitment to shareholder returns.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Management anticipates a recovery in the commercial truck market and an improved macroeconomic environment in 2026, emphasizing that tax refunds and lower interest rates will positively impact operations, showcasing confidence in future growth.
See More
- Dividend Increase: Penske Automotive declares a quarterly dividend of $1.40 per share, representing a 1.4% increase from the previous $1.38, indicating the company's ongoing profitability and stable cash flow.
- Consecutive Growth Record: This increase marks the company's 21st consecutive quarterly dividend hike, reflecting a strong commitment to shareholder returns and bolstering investor confidence.
- Yield Performance: The current dividend yield stands at 3.41%, offering relative attractiveness in the current market environment, which may appeal to income-seeking investors.
- Shareholder Arrangement: The dividend is payable on March 5, with a record date of February 25 and an ex-dividend date also on February 25, ensuring shareholders receive timely returns and further solidifying the company's relationship with its investors.
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- Financial Performance Overview: In Q4 2025, Penske Automotive Group reported revenues of $7.769 billion, a 3.8% decline from Q4 2024, with net income of $186.1 million, reflecting a 25.4% decrease, indicating pressure from the macroeconomic environment.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: The Board of Directors declared an increase in cash dividend to $1.40 per share, marking the 21st consecutive increase, demonstrating the company's commitment to shareholders despite a decline in overall profitability.
- Inventory Management and Sales Dynamics: New vehicle deliveries decreased by 10% in Q4 2025, with an 8% drop in the U.S. and a 14% decline internationally, primarily due to divestitures of non-strategic dealerships and weak sales of premium brands, reflecting intensified market competition.
- Acquisition and Expansion Strategy: The company recently acquired two Toyota and four Lexus dealerships, expected to add $2 billion in annualized revenue, further driving scale and growth for Penske Automotive Group, despite facing overall market challenges.
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- Earnings Performance: Penske Automotive reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $2.83, missing expectations by $0.19, indicating pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $7.77 billion, reflecting a 0.9% year-over-year increase and beating market expectations by $140 million, demonstrating resilience in sales amidst a competitive landscape.
- Market Reaction: Despite the revenue beat, the earnings miss may lead to short-term stock price volatility, prompting investors to monitor future profitability improvement measures closely.
- Future Outlook: As market scrutiny on the automotive sector intensifies, Penske Automotive must implement effective strategies to enhance profitability and shareholder returns, ensuring the restoration of investor confidence in upcoming financial reports.
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- Earnings Announcement: Penske Automotive is set to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 11 before the market opens, with consensus EPS estimate at $3.09, reflecting a 12.7% year-over-year decline, and revenue estimate at $7.63 billion, down 0.9% year-over-year, indicating market pressures on the company.
- Historical Performance: Over the past year, Penske has exceeded EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, demonstrating a degree of stability and reliability in its financial performance amidst fluctuating market conditions.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen no upward revisions and six downward revisions, while revenue estimates experienced one upward revision and three downward revisions, reflecting a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
- Market Analyst Views: Despite Penske's historical performance, analysts have mixed opinions on its future, with some suggesting that the current market environment makes the stock less attractive, advising investors to remain on the sidelines.
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