Oracle Shares Drop 13% Following Disappointing Forecast
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 11 2025
0mins
Should l Buy ORCL?
Markets are under pressure this morning as index futures slide following disappointing corporate news and lingering concerns over the technology sector. Oracle's shares are sharply lower after a downbeat forecast and heavy capital spending tied to its AI business. This drag on tech names like Nvidia, Microsoft, Broadcom and other AI-linked equities has knocked futures lower and put a cooler tone on the market.Globally, markets are mixed. Some Gulf markets are holding modest gains in response to the Fed easing, while Asian and European tech-heavy indices have softened in the wake of the tech selloff. Currency and bond markets are also reacting to the Fed's messaging and macro dynamics.In pre-market trading, S&P 500 futures fell 0.4%, Nasdaq futures fell 0.62% and Dow futures were flat.Check out this morning's top movers from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly.HIGHER -Geminiup 9% after receiving a designated contract market license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which will allow Gemini to begin offering prediction markets to U.S. customersCorbus Pharmaceuticalsup 8% after completing the single ascending dose and multiple ascending dose Phase 1a study of CRB-913Eli Lillyup 1% after reporting each dose of retatrutide met all primary and key secondary endpoints in its TRIUMPH-4 clinical trialUP AFTER EARNINGS -Cienaup 8%DOWN AFTER EARNINGS -Oracledown 13%Oxford Industriesdown 21%Lovesacdown 16%Hooker Furnituredown 14%Manchester Uniteddown 2%Vera Bradleydown 1%
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Analyst Views on ORCL
Wall Street analysts forecast ORCL stock price to rise
34 Analyst Rating
25 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 153.970
Low
180.00
Averages
309.59
High
400.00
Current: 153.970
Low
180.00
Averages
309.59
High
400.00
About ORCL
Oracle Corporation offers integrated suites of applications plus secure, autonomous infrastructure in the Oracle Cloud. The Company operates through three businesses: cloud and license, hardware and service. Its cloud and license business is engaged in the sale, marketing and delivery of its enterprise applications and infrastructure technologies through cloud and on-premise deployment models including its cloud services and license support offerings, and its cloud license and on-premise license offerings. Its hardware business provides infrastructure technologies including Oracle Engineered Systems, servers, storage, industry-specific hardware, operating systems, virtualization, management and other hardware-related software to support diverse IT environments. Its services business provides services to customers and partners to help maximize the performance of their investments in Oracle applications and infrastructure technologies.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Oracle Corporation Shareholder Class Action Notice Issued
- Class Action Notice: The Gross Law Firm has issued a notice to shareholders of Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL), encouraging those who purchased shares during the class period from June 12, 2025, to December 16, 2025, to contact the firm regarding potential lead plaintiff appointment for recovery.
- Allegations: The complaint alleges that during the class period, Oracle made materially false and misleading statements, failing to disclose that its AI infrastructure strategy would lead to significant capital expenditure increases without corresponding near-term revenue growth, thereby heightening risks related to debt and credit ratings.
- Deadline for Participation: Shareholders must register for the class action by April 6, 2026, and should act promptly to secure their rights, with portfolio monitoring software provided to keep them updated on the case's progress.
- Law Firm Credentials: The Gross Law Firm is a nationally recognized class action law firm committed to protecting investors' rights who have suffered losses due to deceit and illegal business practices, emphasizing the need for companies to adhere to responsible business practices.
See More
ASML's Market Outlook Compared to Micron and Oracle
- ASML Growth Outlook: ASML anticipates a 14% revenue increase and a 20% earnings jump in 2025, driven by a robust order backlog and sustained demand for AI chips, with its market cap expected to rise from $546 billion, underscoring its leadership in the semiconductor sector.
- Micron's Market Performance: Micron Technology's stock surged over 313% in the past year, with a market cap of $463 billion, and is projected to double its revenue and triple its earnings in 2026, indicating strong growth potential in the memory market that could see it surpass ASML in the coming year.
- Oracle's Order Backlog: Oracle's remaining performance obligation reached $523 billion, up 438% year-over-year, with a forecasted 17% revenue growth to $67 billion in FY 2025, suggesting that despite an 8% stock decline, its substantial backlog will drive future revenue growth.
- Valuation Discrepancy: Micron's forward P/E ratio stands at 13, significantly lower than ASML's 40, and given its rapid growth potential, it is expected to command a higher market valuation, potentially surpassing ASML within the next year.
See More
Cantor Fitzgerald Increases Stake in IREN
- Share Acquisition: On February 17, 2026, Cantor Fitzgerald disclosed to the SEC the acquisition of an additional 3,333,423 shares of IREN, with an estimated transaction value of $171.96 million, indicating strong confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Market Value Increase: This acquisition led to a $124.65 million increase in IREN's quarter-end value, reflecting the dual impact of new purchases and price changes, thereby solidifying Cantor Fitzgerald's investment strategy in the digital asset sector.
- Portfolio Adjustment: Following this transaction, IREN now represents 1.99% of Cantor Fitzgerald's 13F AUM, while the firm drastically reduced its stake in CoreWeave by 86%, highlighting its focus on IREN's growth potential.
- Market Performance: As of February 17, 2026, IREN shares were priced at $40.97, up 215.9% year-over-year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 by 203 percentage points, showcasing its robust performance in the data center and Bitcoin mining sectors.
See More
Cantor Fitzgerald Increases Stake in IREN Shares
- Share Acquisition Details: On February 17, 2026, Cantor Fitzgerald disclosed the acquisition of an additional 3,333,423 shares of IREN, with an estimated transaction value of $171.96 million based on the quarterly average price, indicating strong confidence in the company.
- Value Increase: The quarter-end value of IREN's position rose by $124.65 million, reflecting both new purchases and stock price movements, suggesting Cantor Fitzgerald's optimistic outlook on IREN's future growth.
- Market Position Analysis: With a market capitalization of $13.59 billion, IREN represents only 1.99% of Cantor Fitzgerald's 13F AUM, yet its growth potential has drawn investor interest, particularly given its dependency on a contract with Microsoft.
- Investment Strategy Shift: Cantor Fitzgerald significantly increased its investment in IREN while reducing its stake in CoreWeave during Q4, indicating a belief that IREN may offer higher return potential moving forward.
See More
ASML's Market Cap Soars Amid Competitors' Rapid Growth
- ASML Market Growth: ASML's market cap has reached $546 billion and is expected to continue rising over the next year, primarily due to its unique position in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, which are crucial for meeting the increasing demand for chips, especially in artificial intelligence (AI).
- Micron's Strong Growth: Micron Technology's stock has surged over 313% in the past year, with a market cap of $463 billion, and is expected to further close the gap with ASML in the coming year as its revenue growth significantly outpaces ASML's, with earnings projected to triple by 2026.
- Oracle's Investment Challenges: Oracle's market cap stands at $462 billion, and despite an 8% decline in stock price over the past year, it plans to raise $45 billion to $50 billion to expand AI infrastructure, addressing a massive $523 billion backlog, indicating substantial future growth potential.
- Rising Market Prices: Market research firm TrendForce anticipates DRAM and NAND flash prices will increase by 80%-85% and 55%-60%, respectively, further driving Micron's earnings growth, while its forward P/E ratio of 13 is significantly lower than ASML's 40, highlighting its future valuation potential.
See More
The Stock Market's Overconfidence Poses a Risk.
- Investor Behavior: Investors are purchasing a significant amount of stock despite facing considerable risks.
- Market Implications: This trend of buying could lead to a potential decline in the market.
See More
Oracle Corporation Shareholder Class Action Notice Issued
- Class Action Notice: The Gross Law Firm has issued a notice to shareholders of Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL), encouraging those who purchased shares during the class period from June 12, 2025, to December 16, 2025, to contact the firm regarding potential lead plaintiff appointment for recovery.
- Allegations: The complaint alleges that during the class period, Oracle made materially false and misleading statements, failing to disclose that its AI infrastructure strategy would lead to significant capital expenditure increases without corresponding near-term revenue growth, thereby heightening risks related to debt and credit ratings.
- Deadline for Participation: Shareholders must register for the class action by April 6, 2026, and should act promptly to secure their rights, with portfolio monitoring software provided to keep them updated on the case's progress.
- Law Firm Credentials: The Gross Law Firm is a nationally recognized class action law firm committed to protecting investors' rights who have suffered losses due to deceit and illegal business practices, emphasizing the need for companies to adhere to responsible business practices.
See More
ASML's Market Outlook Compared to Micron and Oracle
- ASML Growth Outlook: ASML anticipates a 14% revenue increase and a 20% earnings jump in 2025, driven by a robust order backlog and sustained demand for AI chips, with its market cap expected to rise from $546 billion, underscoring its leadership in the semiconductor sector.
- Micron's Market Performance: Micron Technology's stock surged over 313% in the past year, with a market cap of $463 billion, and is projected to double its revenue and triple its earnings in 2026, indicating strong growth potential in the memory market that could see it surpass ASML in the coming year.
- Oracle's Order Backlog: Oracle's remaining performance obligation reached $523 billion, up 438% year-over-year, with a forecasted 17% revenue growth to $67 billion in FY 2025, suggesting that despite an 8% stock decline, its substantial backlog will drive future revenue growth.
- Valuation Discrepancy: Micron's forward P/E ratio stands at 13, significantly lower than ASML's 40, and given its rapid growth potential, it is expected to command a higher market valuation, potentially surpassing ASML within the next year.
See More
Cantor Fitzgerald Increases Stake in IREN
- Share Acquisition: On February 17, 2026, Cantor Fitzgerald disclosed to the SEC the acquisition of an additional 3,333,423 shares of IREN, with an estimated transaction value of $171.96 million, indicating strong confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Market Value Increase: This acquisition led to a $124.65 million increase in IREN's quarter-end value, reflecting the dual impact of new purchases and price changes, thereby solidifying Cantor Fitzgerald's investment strategy in the digital asset sector.
- Portfolio Adjustment: Following this transaction, IREN now represents 1.99% of Cantor Fitzgerald's 13F AUM, while the firm drastically reduced its stake in CoreWeave by 86%, highlighting its focus on IREN's growth potential.
- Market Performance: As of February 17, 2026, IREN shares were priced at $40.97, up 215.9% year-over-year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 by 203 percentage points, showcasing its robust performance in the data center and Bitcoin mining sectors.
See More
Cantor Fitzgerald Increases Stake in IREN Shares
- Share Acquisition Details: On February 17, 2026, Cantor Fitzgerald disclosed the acquisition of an additional 3,333,423 shares of IREN, with an estimated transaction value of $171.96 million based on the quarterly average price, indicating strong confidence in the company.
- Value Increase: The quarter-end value of IREN's position rose by $124.65 million, reflecting both new purchases and stock price movements, suggesting Cantor Fitzgerald's optimistic outlook on IREN's future growth.
- Market Position Analysis: With a market capitalization of $13.59 billion, IREN represents only 1.99% of Cantor Fitzgerald's 13F AUM, yet its growth potential has drawn investor interest, particularly given its dependency on a contract with Microsoft.
- Investment Strategy Shift: Cantor Fitzgerald significantly increased its investment in IREN while reducing its stake in CoreWeave during Q4, indicating a belief that IREN may offer higher return potential moving forward.
See More
ASML's Market Cap Soars Amid Competitors' Rapid Growth
- ASML Market Growth: ASML's market cap has reached $546 billion and is expected to continue rising over the next year, primarily due to its unique position in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, which are crucial for meeting the increasing demand for chips, especially in artificial intelligence (AI).
- Micron's Strong Growth: Micron Technology's stock has surged over 313% in the past year, with a market cap of $463 billion, and is expected to further close the gap with ASML in the coming year as its revenue growth significantly outpaces ASML's, with earnings projected to triple by 2026.
- Oracle's Investment Challenges: Oracle's market cap stands at $462 billion, and despite an 8% decline in stock price over the past year, it plans to raise $45 billion to $50 billion to expand AI infrastructure, addressing a massive $523 billion backlog, indicating substantial future growth potential.
- Rising Market Prices: Market research firm TrendForce anticipates DRAM and NAND flash prices will increase by 80%-85% and 55%-60%, respectively, further driving Micron's earnings growth, while its forward P/E ratio of 13 is significantly lower than ASML's 40, highlighting its future valuation potential.
See More
The Stock Market's Overconfidence Poses a Risk.
- Investor Behavior: Investors are purchasing a significant amount of stock despite facing considerable risks.
- Market Implications: This trend of buying could lead to a potential decline in the market.
See More
