Nvidia Signals Major Shift in Software Economics
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: Benzinga
- Transformation in Software Economics: Gene Munster from Deepwater Asset Management highlighted that Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's comments at the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media and Telecom Conference indicate a significant transformation in the software industry, shifting from traditional seat-based subscription models to renting AI agents and specialized tokens, potentially enlarging the industry significantly.
- Market Reaction and Industry Concerns: Amid sector volatility, while some analysts suggest that AI tools from companies like Anthropic and OpenAI could disrupt traditional software functions, institutions like HSBC argue that AI will enhance rather than replace the software industry, reflecting divergent market perspectives on future developments.
- End of Investment Opportunities: Huang indicated that Nvidia's investments in OpenAI and Anthropic are likely to be its last, as both firms are expected to complete their IPOs later this year, signaling a strategic pivot for Nvidia in the AI space as investment opportunities diminish.
- Stock Price Dynamics: Nvidia shares closed at $183.34, up 0.16%, but slipped to $182.10 in after-hours trading; Benzinga's stock rankings indicate a downward trend in the short and medium term, yet the long-term growth trend remains strong, with a growth score in the 98th percentile.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy NVDA?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 182.650
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 182.650
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Nvidia Stock Price Potential Analysis
- Significant Performance Growth: Nvidia achieved record revenue of $68 billion in Q4 of fiscal 2026, representing a 73% year-over-year increase, with earnings per share (EPS) soaring to $1.76, up 98%, demonstrating the strong demand driven by AI and solidifying its market leadership.
- Market Share Advantage: Nvidia holds a dominant 92% share in the data center GPU market, and with its leadership in AI and cloud computing, the company anticipates continued revenue growth, projecting first-quarter revenue of $78 billion, a 77% year-over-year increase, which will further enhance its competitive edge.
- Analyst Outlook: Tigress Financial analyst Ivan Feinseth reiterated a strong buy rating on Nvidia, raising the 12-month price target to $360, forecasting the company will generate $406 billion in revenue and $201 billion in operating profit over the next year, reflecting strong market confidence in its growth prospects.
- Investor Confidence Rebound: Despite concerns about an AI bubble shaking some investors, 90% of retail investors plan to maintain or increase their AI holdings, indicating long-term optimism for Nvidia, with the current stock price being relatively undervalued, presenting a buying opportunity for seasoned investors.
See More
Nvidia Stock Positioned for Potential Doubling
- Strong Market Demand: Nvidia's GPUs have become the primary hardware for training AI models, with revenue projected to grow by 70% to over $360 billion by fiscal 2027, indicating robust market demand and future growth potential in the AI sector.
- Profitability Surge: With a profit margin exceeding 50%, Nvidia is expected to become the most profitable company globally by year-end, surpassing Alphabet, showcasing its profitability and market leadership in a high-demand environment.
- Valuation Rebound Potential: Currently trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of about 22 times, significantly lower than the historical range of 40 to 50 times, if market sentiment improves, a return to a 45 times valuation could double the stock price, reflecting its reasonable valuation potential.
- Long-term Investment Confidence: Despite cautious market sentiment regarding the AI sector, hyperscalers are likely to continue investing in infrastructure, believing the risk of underinvestment is greater, suggesting that by 2026, market sentiment may recover, further driving Nvidia's stock price upward.
See More
Schonfeld Reduces Stake in iShares Ethereum Trust ETF
- Stake Reduction Details: According to a February 17, 2026 SEC filing, Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC reduced its position in the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF by 3,437,760 shares, resulting in a quarterly value decrease of $174.38 million, reflecting the impact of trading activity and market price changes.
- Holding Proportion Shift: Following this sale, ETHA now represents only 0.72% of the fund's reportable AUM in its 13F filing, indicating a diminished confidence in Ethereum investments, which could affect future investment strategies.
- ETF Performance Analysis: As of February 17, 2026, ETHA shares were priced at $15.05, marking a 24.4% decline over the past year and underperforming the S&P 500 by 39.1 percentage points, suggesting a lack of competitiveness in the market that may impact investor confidence.
- Investor Focus: As cryptocurrency ETFs become a crucial bridge between traditional financial markets and digital assets, ETHA's structure of directly holding Ethereum offers a simplified investment approach, yet investors must remain aware of the inherent volatility in crypto markets and the fund's potential role in future market dynamics.
See More
Schonfeld Strategic Advisors Reduces iShares Ethereum Trust ETF Holdings
- Share Reduction Details: Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC disclosed in an SEC filing dated February 17, 2026, that it sold 3,437,760 shares of the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF, resulting in a quarter-end position value decrease of $174.38 million, reflecting the impact of both trading activity and market price changes.
- Holding Proportion Shift: Following this transaction, the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF now represents only 0.72% of the fund's 13F reportable assets under management, indicating a diminished significance in the investment portfolio as it falls outside the top five holdings.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of February 17, 2026, ETHA shares were priced at $15.05, marking a 24.4% decline over the past year and underperforming the S&P 500 by 39.1 percentage points, reflecting a weakening market confidence in this ETF.
- Investment Strategy and Market Impact: The iShares Ethereum Trust ETF aims to provide investors with direct exposure to ether price movements, and while its structure simplifies investment in digital assets, it still faces the volatility of the crypto market, necessitating careful evaluation of its role as a bridge for traditional capital into digital assets.
See More
Cerebras Gains Oracle as Client, Boosting IPO Prospects
- Client Base Expansion: Cerebras was highlighted as a key AI hardware manufacturer during Oracle's earnings call, marking a significant expansion of its client base, which could enhance its IPO prospects.
- Funding Support: Cerebras plans to refile for an IPO in 2024 after withdrawing last year, during which it secured $1.1 billion in funding at an $8.1 billion valuation, demonstrating its strong market potential.
- Revenue Diversification: In the first half of 2024, 87% of Cerebras' revenue came from its Middle Eastern client G42, and the addition of Oracle will significantly reduce reliance on a single customer, thereby enhancing financial stability.
- Innovation-Driven Technology: Cerebras' WSE-3 chips are utilized by OpenAI for generative AI models, indicating high market recognition of its technology, and in the context of growing AI computing demands, Cerebras' competitive position is expected to strengthen further.
See More
Major Indexes Retreat Amid Oil Price Swings
- Oil Price Volatility Impact: Major indexes erased early gains on Tuesday due to significant swings in oil prices, indicating the market's sensitivity to energy price instability, which could lead to cautious investor sentiment and affect short-term trading strategies.
- Strong AI Stock Performance: Despite the overall market retreat, AI-related stocks showed strong performance, reflecting investor confidence in the continued growth potential of this sector, which may attract more capital inflows into related tech stocks.
- Oracle Earnings Boost Stock Price: Oracle's stock surged following its earnings report, demonstrating the company's robust performance in cloud computing and software services, which may further enhance market expectations for its future growth.
- Increased Market Volatility: The overall market's volatility has intensified, prompting investors to monitor oil price trends and their potential impact on economic recovery, which could necessitate adjustments in market strategies to address uncertainty.
See More
Nvidia Stock Price Potential Analysis
- Significant Performance Growth: Nvidia achieved record revenue of $68 billion in Q4 of fiscal 2026, representing a 73% year-over-year increase, with earnings per share (EPS) soaring to $1.76, up 98%, demonstrating the strong demand driven by AI and solidifying its market leadership.
- Market Share Advantage: Nvidia holds a dominant 92% share in the data center GPU market, and with its leadership in AI and cloud computing, the company anticipates continued revenue growth, projecting first-quarter revenue of $78 billion, a 77% year-over-year increase, which will further enhance its competitive edge.
- Analyst Outlook: Tigress Financial analyst Ivan Feinseth reiterated a strong buy rating on Nvidia, raising the 12-month price target to $360, forecasting the company will generate $406 billion in revenue and $201 billion in operating profit over the next year, reflecting strong market confidence in its growth prospects.
- Investor Confidence Rebound: Despite concerns about an AI bubble shaking some investors, 90% of retail investors plan to maintain or increase their AI holdings, indicating long-term optimism for Nvidia, with the current stock price being relatively undervalued, presenting a buying opportunity for seasoned investors.
See More
Nvidia Stock Positioned for Potential Doubling
- Strong Market Demand: Nvidia's GPUs have become the primary hardware for training AI models, with revenue projected to grow by 70% to over $360 billion by fiscal 2027, indicating robust market demand and future growth potential in the AI sector.
- Profitability Surge: With a profit margin exceeding 50%, Nvidia is expected to become the most profitable company globally by year-end, surpassing Alphabet, showcasing its profitability and market leadership in a high-demand environment.
- Valuation Rebound Potential: Currently trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of about 22 times, significantly lower than the historical range of 40 to 50 times, if market sentiment improves, a return to a 45 times valuation could double the stock price, reflecting its reasonable valuation potential.
- Long-term Investment Confidence: Despite cautious market sentiment regarding the AI sector, hyperscalers are likely to continue investing in infrastructure, believing the risk of underinvestment is greater, suggesting that by 2026, market sentiment may recover, further driving Nvidia's stock price upward.
See More
Schonfeld Reduces Stake in iShares Ethereum Trust ETF
- Stake Reduction Details: According to a February 17, 2026 SEC filing, Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC reduced its position in the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF by 3,437,760 shares, resulting in a quarterly value decrease of $174.38 million, reflecting the impact of trading activity and market price changes.
- Holding Proportion Shift: Following this sale, ETHA now represents only 0.72% of the fund's reportable AUM in its 13F filing, indicating a diminished confidence in Ethereum investments, which could affect future investment strategies.
- ETF Performance Analysis: As of February 17, 2026, ETHA shares were priced at $15.05, marking a 24.4% decline over the past year and underperforming the S&P 500 by 39.1 percentage points, suggesting a lack of competitiveness in the market that may impact investor confidence.
- Investor Focus: As cryptocurrency ETFs become a crucial bridge between traditional financial markets and digital assets, ETHA's structure of directly holding Ethereum offers a simplified investment approach, yet investors must remain aware of the inherent volatility in crypto markets and the fund's potential role in future market dynamics.
See More
Schonfeld Strategic Advisors Reduces iShares Ethereum Trust ETF Holdings
- Share Reduction Details: Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC disclosed in an SEC filing dated February 17, 2026, that it sold 3,437,760 shares of the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF, resulting in a quarter-end position value decrease of $174.38 million, reflecting the impact of both trading activity and market price changes.
- Holding Proportion Shift: Following this transaction, the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF now represents only 0.72% of the fund's 13F reportable assets under management, indicating a diminished significance in the investment portfolio as it falls outside the top five holdings.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of February 17, 2026, ETHA shares were priced at $15.05, marking a 24.4% decline over the past year and underperforming the S&P 500 by 39.1 percentage points, reflecting a weakening market confidence in this ETF.
- Investment Strategy and Market Impact: The iShares Ethereum Trust ETF aims to provide investors with direct exposure to ether price movements, and while its structure simplifies investment in digital assets, it still faces the volatility of the crypto market, necessitating careful evaluation of its role as a bridge for traditional capital into digital assets.
See More
Cerebras Gains Oracle as Client, Boosting IPO Prospects
- Client Base Expansion: Cerebras was highlighted as a key AI hardware manufacturer during Oracle's earnings call, marking a significant expansion of its client base, which could enhance its IPO prospects.
- Funding Support: Cerebras plans to refile for an IPO in 2024 after withdrawing last year, during which it secured $1.1 billion in funding at an $8.1 billion valuation, demonstrating its strong market potential.
- Revenue Diversification: In the first half of 2024, 87% of Cerebras' revenue came from its Middle Eastern client G42, and the addition of Oracle will significantly reduce reliance on a single customer, thereby enhancing financial stability.
- Innovation-Driven Technology: Cerebras' WSE-3 chips are utilized by OpenAI for generative AI models, indicating high market recognition of its technology, and in the context of growing AI computing demands, Cerebras' competitive position is expected to strengthen further.
See More
Major Indexes Retreat Amid Oil Price Swings
- Oil Price Volatility Impact: Major indexes erased early gains on Tuesday due to significant swings in oil prices, indicating the market's sensitivity to energy price instability, which could lead to cautious investor sentiment and affect short-term trading strategies.
- Strong AI Stock Performance: Despite the overall market retreat, AI-related stocks showed strong performance, reflecting investor confidence in the continued growth potential of this sector, which may attract more capital inflows into related tech stocks.
- Oracle Earnings Boost Stock Price: Oracle's stock surged following its earnings report, demonstrating the company's robust performance in cloud computing and software services, which may further enhance market expectations for its future growth.
- Increased Market Volatility: The overall market's volatility has intensified, prompting investors to monitor oil price trends and their potential impact on economic recovery, which could necessitate adjustments in market strategies to address uncertainty.
See More
