Chipotle names interim CEO Scott Boatwright as permanent CEO, WSJ reports
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 11 2024
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Should l Buy CMG?
New CEO Appointment: Scott Boatwright has been appointed as the permanent CEO of Chipotle, effective immediately.
Background Information: Boatwright previously served as COO and took on the interim CEO role in August after Brian Niccol left to join Starbucks.
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Analyst Views on CMG
Wall Street analysts forecast CMG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CMG is 45.95 USD with a low forecast of 35.00 USD and a high forecast of 56.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
25 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 39.590
Low
35.00
Averages
45.95
High
56.00
Current: 39.590
Low
35.00
Averages
45.95
High
56.00
About CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is a restaurant company. The Company develops and operates restaurants that serve a menu of burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads, made using fresh ingredients. The Company operates approximately 3839 restaurants in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Kuwait, and United Arab Emirates. It owns and operates all its restaurants in North America and Europe. The Company is focused in serving sourced, classically cooked, real food with wholesome ingredients without artificial colors, flavors or preservatives. Its menu includes Burrito, Burrito Bowl, Lifestyle Bowl, Quesadilla, Salad, Tacos, Kid’s Meal, Chips and Sides, and Build your Own (digital only). It also includes Raymonte’s Chicken Bowl, The Mr. Fantasy Burrito, Carne Asada, Build-Your-Own Chipotle, catering and group order. Its subsidiaries include Chipotle Mexican Grill Canada Corp., Chipotle Mexican Grill France SAS, among others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Sales Decline: Chipotle reported a 2.5% year-over-year decrease in comparable restaurant sales for Q4 2025, indicating a broader slowdown in the fast-food sector that may impact future revenue growth.
- Promotional Campaign: To attract customers, Chipotle is offering $1 million worth of free meals during the 2026 Super Bowl, which is expected to draw significant customer participation and enhance brand visibility.
- Changing Consumer Behavior: A YouGov survey revealed that approximately 37% of U.S. consumers are dining out less frequently, with 69% citing high costs as a primary reason, putting pressure on Chipotle's sales.
- Technological Innovation: Chipotle plans to accelerate the rollout of high-efficiency equipment to improve service speed and consistency, while also leveraging AI to enhance its loyalty rewards program, which is expected to further boost customer experience and sales potential.
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- Traffic Weakness Drivers: Chipotle's slowdown in 2025 was primarily due to a decrease in visit frequency, with a 1.1% increase in average check offset by a 0.8% decline in transaction volume, indicating a pullback in discretionary dining across the industry.
- Brand Protection Strategy: In response to softer traffic, Chipotle consciously chose to protect long-term brand equity rather than chase short-term volume, avoiding aggressive discounting that compressed margins but preserved pricing power and customer trust, aligning with its premium fast-casual positioning.
- Operational Innovation Initiatives: The company leaned on limited-time menu innovations, loyalty initiatives, and operational improvements to increase visit frequency, aiming for organic traffic recovery without retraining customers to expect discounts, reflecting a commitment to long-term brand value.
- Investor Focus: In 2026, investors should prioritize whether traffic trends stabilize and improve rather than fixating on immediate margin recovery, as traffic recovery will directly influence the company's valuation and long-term growth potential; continued softness could cap stock price appreciation despite revenue growth from new store openings.
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- Traffic Trend Analysis: Chipotle's slowdown in 2025 was primarily driven by a decline in visit frequency, with a 1.1% increase in average check offset by a 0.8% drop in transaction volume, indicating consumer caution in discretionary dining that impacted short-term performance.
- Brand Value Protection: In response to softer traffic, Chipotle opted to protect long-term brand equity rather than chase short-term volume, avoiding aggressive discounting that compressed margins in the short run but preserved pricing power and customer trust, aligning with its premium fast-casual brand positioning.
- Innovation and Loyalty Enhancement: The company leaned on limited-time menu innovations and loyalty initiatives to increase visit frequency, aiming for organic traffic recovery without retraining customers to expect discounts, demonstrating confidence in its long-term brand development.
- Future Outlook: Investors should focus on whether traffic trends stabilize and improve in 2026, as traffic recovery will directly influence the timing of margin recovery; continued softness could cap valuation multiples, even as revenue grows through new store openings.
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- Flat Sales Growth Outlook: Chipotle anticipates flat same-store sales growth in 2026, indicating ongoing market challenges after a nearly 32% stock price decline, necessitating effective management strategies to restore growth.
- New Menu to Attract Customers: The introduction of a high-protein menu, featuring an 81-gram protein double bowl and a $3.50 Adobe Chicken Taco, aims to attract a new customer base using GLP-1 drugs, potentially improving foot traffic.
- Market Trend Response Strategy: With the rise of GLP-1 drug usage, Chipotle recognizes that high-income consumers are more likely to try these medications, thus the high-protein options not only cater to dietary restrictions but may also draw in more customers.
- Investor Caution Advised: While the new menu could help boost sales, the overall decline in consumer spending and the stock trading at 34 times forward earnings suggest that investors should carefully assess Chipotle's future performance.
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- New Menu Launch: Chipotle has introduced a high-protein menu featuring an 81-gram protein double bowl and a $3.50 Adobe Chicken Taco, aimed at attracting consumers using GLP-1 drugs, despite a 32% stock decline in 2025.
- Market Adaptation Strategy: Management indicated during the recent earnings call that same-store sales are expected to remain flat in 2026, reflecting the company's proactive measures to adapt in the face of declining consumer spending by introducing new products to attract diverse customer segments.
- Consumer Trend Awareness: A Kaiser Foundation poll reveals that one in eight adults is now using GLP-1 drugs, prompting Chipotle to adjust its menu to cater to broader dietary needs, even as overall consumer spending continues to decline.
- Investor Caution: While Chipotle's high-income customer base may be inclined to try GLP-1 drugs, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 34, leading analysts to advise investors to monitor the effectiveness of the new strategies rather than rushing to buy in.
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- High-Income User Insight: Chipotle CEO Scott Boatwright revealed in a recording that 60% of core users earn over $100,000 annually, providing the company with confidence to target this demographic more effectively, potentially enhancing brand loyalty and sales.
- Earnings Beat Expectations: In its Q4 2025 report, Chipotle posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.25, exceeding the $0.24 consensus, with revenue of $2.98 billion surpassing the $2.96 billion estimate, demonstrating resilience in profitability despite operational challenges.
- Sales Decline: Despite the strong earnings report, comparable restaurant sales fell 2.5% year-over-year, primarily due to a 3.2% decrease in transactions, indicating challenges in customer traffic that could impact future growth potential.
- Market Performance Analysis: Chipotle has a market capitalization of $219.53 billion, with a 52-week high of $124.17 and a low of $55.51, while the current Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 53.13, suggesting the stock is in a long-term consolidation phase with short-term upward momentum.
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