Microsoft's Stock Suffered Due to Anthropic's AI: How a Partnership Could Change the Game.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 09 2026
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Should l Buy SHOP?
Source: Barron's
- AI Integration Reminder: Microsoft is enhancing its collaboration with Anthropic's Claude, highlighting the ongoing relevance of AI in the stock market.
- Shift in Perception: This move may indicate a transition where AI is viewed more as an asset to software stocks rather than a potential threat.
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Analyst Views on SHOP
Wall Street analysts forecast SHOP stock price to rise
31 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
13 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 126.940
Low
140.00
Averages
180.62
High
200.00
Current: 126.940
Low
140.00
Averages
180.62
High
200.00
About SHOP
Shopify Inc. (Shopify) is a Canada-based global commerce company. The Company provides essential Internet infrastructure for commerce, offering tools to start, grow, market and manage a retail business of any size. It provides platforms and services that are engineered and delivers a shopping experience for consumers online, in store and everywhere in between. Its software enables merchants to run their business across all of their sales channels, including Web and mobile storefronts, physical retail locations, social media storefronts, and marketplaces. The Company's Shopify platform provides merchants with a single view of their business across all of their sales channels and enables them to manage products and inventory, process orders and payments, fulfill and ship orders, build customer relationships, source products, leverage analytics and reporting, and access financing, all from one integrated back office. The Shopify's platform operates across 175 countries.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Price Target Adjustment: Wells Fargo has lowered its price target for Shopify (SHOP) from $191 to $166, yet maintains an Overweight rating, indicating confidence in its long-term AI commerce potential and the gradual market acceptance of the Agentic commerce model.
- Revenue Growth Outlook: During the Q4 2025 earnings call, CFO Jeff Hoffmeister projected Q1 revenue growth to be in the low 30s year-over-year, demonstrating sustained support from core drivers and reflecting Shopify's robust performance in the e-commerce sector.
- Gross Margin Changes: Hoffmeister noted that gross profit dollars are expected to rise by over 20%, with year-over-year changes in gross margins indicating a continued shift between Merchant Solutions and Subscription Solutions, highlighting the company's balanced development across different business lines.
- Operating Expense Improvement: Q1 operating expenses are anticipated to be between 37% and 38% of revenue, marking a couple of percentage points improvement from Q1 2025, showcasing Shopify's proactive cost control efforts that further enhance its profitability.
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- Distorted Demand Signals: While AI demand appears explosive, CEO Dario Amodei of Anthropic highlights that data centers take 1-2 years to build, leading companies to commit billions without verified demand, risking customer loss or delayed revenues, which could impact financial stability.
- Pricing Model Shift: Anthropic is transitioning from flat-rate enterprise pricing to per-token billing, ensuring that revenue reflects actual usage, a strategy aimed at addressing the economic imbalance caused by changes in agentic AI usage patterns, thereby enhancing the company's competitive position in the market.
- Increasing Industry Pressure: As the AI industry gradually accepts per-token billing models, companies like OpenAI face similar transformation pressures, potentially leading their customers to reassess AI usage efficiency, which could affect future market performance and investor confidence.
- Investor Focus: Anthropic and OpenAI are expected to pursue IPOs this year, with investors likely to first scrutinize the authenticity of demand; Anthropic's per-token billing provides clearer data on customer value, while OpenAI may face greater challenges in proving the authenticity of its growth figures.
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- Pricing Model Shift: Anthropic has transitioned from flat-rate enterprise pricing to per-token billing, reflecting actual usage, a strategy aimed at addressing potential fluctuations in AI demand and ensuring the company's competitiveness during market corrections.
- Token Consumption Distortion: As token consumption for AI usage surges, companies like Meta and Shopify are tracking employee token usage, yet this practice may lead employees to optimize spending rather than actual output, impacting the return on investment for enterprises.
- Market Demand Uncertainty: CEO Dario Amodei highlighted that data centers take 1-2 years to build, leading companies to commit billions for unverified demand, which could result in over-investment or customer loss, affecting long-term financial health.
- Increasing Industry Pressure: As competition in the AI sector intensifies, companies like OpenAI are also considering pricing adjustments; Anthropic's per-token billing model may become the future industry standard, prompting others to reassess their business models.
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