Iran's Strait of Hormuz Fully Open, Oil Prices Fall
Stocks are climbing and oil prices are falling after Iran announced that the Strait of Hormuz is now "completely open" for commercial traffic for "the remaining period of ceasefire" in Lebanon. In a series of social media posts, President Trump added that while the strait is now "completely open and ready for business and full passage," the U.S. naval blockade "will remain in full force" until a deal with Iran is "complete." Trump also stated that a U.S. deal with Iran "is not tied, in any way, to Lebanon."Get caught up quickly on the top news and calls moving stocks with these five Top Five lists.1. STOCK NEWS:Netflixshares have slumped after the streaming companyfor the second quarter that underwhelmed Wall Street and co-founder and Chairman Reed Hastings said he will leave the board when his current term endsAlcoashares slipped after the aluminum company said first quarterby higher costs and operational disruptionsKnight-Swifttraded down after the transportation and logistics services provideradjusted EPS that missed the average estimateAuto safety system supplier Autolivrose after the company reported stronger than expectedFord Motorisabout 1.4M F-150 pickup trucks in the U.S. following a NHTSA investigation into reports of unexpected downshifts2. WALL STREET CALLS:Cloroxto Underweight at JPMorganMizuhoSTMicroelectronicsto Outperform and Texas Instrumentsto Neutral on AI server and industrial demandHowever, MizuhoNXP Semiconductorsto Underperform from Outperform on auto headwindsBNPChevronto Outperform and Exxon Mobilto Neutral on lasting higher oil pricesExelonwasto Neutral or equivalent ratings at Mizuho, Barclays and BMO Capital3. AROUND THE WEB:Applesaw iPhone shipments in China jump 20% in Q1, outperforming peers despite a 4% overall market decline driven by higher chip costs and supply chain disruptions, Reuters saysGerresheimerhas rejected a takeover bid from Silganand there are no longer any discussions between the two companies, Reuters reportsControl Empresarial de Capitales, Carlos Slim and his family's investment vehicle, has sold $497M of stock in PBF Energy, cutting its stake by more than a third, Bloomberg saysDisney, which is hosting its first Super Bowl in 20 years next February, has told advertisers it thinks they should pay $10M for a 30-second commercial during the game's 2027 telecast, Variety reportsThe Nintendo Switch 2was the best-selling video game console in Japan last month with 448,494 units sold, VGChartz says4. MOVERS:Critical Metalshigher in New York after announcing the Government of Greenland hasof the remaining 50.5% interest in the Tanbreez Mining Greenland to the companyRepay Holdingsgains after Forager Capitalthe company for $4.80 per shareUSA Rare Earthincreases after appointing ChaitanBadger Meterfalls afterand providing guidance for FY26Ericssonlower in New York after5. EARNINGS/GUIDANCE:Autoliv, with EPS and revenue beating consensusRegions Financial, with CEO John Turner commenting, "Our results reflect the strength of our franchise"State Street, with EPS and revenue beating consensusSanuwave Healthfor Q1Ally Financial, with CEO Michael Rhodes commenting on "a strong start to the year" and "momentum we've established across our core franchises"INDEXES:Near midday, the Dow was up 2.21%, or 1,073.46, to 49,652.18, the Nasdaq was up 1.44%, or 346.53, to 24,449.23, and the S&P 500 was up 1.26%, or 88.50, to 7,129.78.
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- Strong Earnings Report: Apple achieved a record revenue of $111.2 billion in Q2 2026, marking a 16.6% year-over-year increase that exceeded analyst expectations, demonstrating robust market demand and financial health.
- Surge in China Revenue: Revenue from Greater China soared by 28.1%, driving overall performance and indicating Apple's continued market penetration and brand influence in the region, with potential for further market share expansion.
- Buyback and Dividend Increase: Apple announced a massive $100 billion share buyback program and a 4% dividend increase, reflecting confidence in future cash flows while enhancing shareholder returns, which may attract more investor interest.
- Leadership Transition: With John Ternus succeeding as CEO, Apple's focus on product innovation and financial discipline will continue, and analysts are generally optimistic that this transition will bring new growth momentum to the company.
- Tech Controversies: The Trump-Xi summit will focus on critical tech issues, particularly U.S. companies' access to the Chinese market and control over critical minerals, which will directly impact America's position in the global tech supply chain.
- Market Access Priority: Trump emphasized his desire for China to open its market to U.S. businesses, while Xi welcomed deeper commercial engagement, indicating that improved bilateral relations could create new opportunities for American tech firms.
- Rare Earth Control: China's dominance in the rare earth market (59% of global mining and 91% refining in 2024) gives it significant leverage in negotiations with the U.S., with Trump likely to request general licenses for American commercial users to secure rare earth supplies.
- Export Control Negotiations: Although there may be a potential agreement to relax certain export chip controls, the political atmosphere in the U.S. could complicate this process, with experts suggesting that the best-case outcome would be an extension of the 2025 trade truce, despite ongoing Chinese export controls on specific rare earths.
- Cerebras IPO: Cerebras Systems successfully raised $5.5 billion in its IPO today, focusing on ultra-fast AI chip processing, with OpenAI committing to purchase its computing capacity, indicating strong market demand for efficient AI computing.
- Cisco's Strong Quarter: Cisco reported a blowout quarter with robust data center performance, sending shares up nearly 15% in premarket trading, reflecting massive demand for networking equipment and underscoring the ongoing growth in AI spending, enhancing the investment case for data center stocks.
- Dell Price Target Increase: Citi raised Dell's price target from $235 to $290 ahead of its earnings report, anticipating continued strong performance in the server market; despite rising memory costs, Dell's scale and pricing agility are expected to provide competitive advantages.
- Broadcom Price Target Boost: Wells Fargo increased Broadcom's price target from $430 to $545, significantly raising AI chip revenue forecasts, highlighting the underappreciated potential in its networking segment, which could drive stock price appreciation.
- Price Target Increase: Evercore ISI raised Apple's 12-month price target by 11% from $330 to $365, indicating a 22% upside from Wednesday's close, reflecting a positive outlook on Apple's future performance.
- Ecosystem Advantage: Analyst Amit Daryanani noted that despite investor concerns over short-term memory issues, Apple's unrivaled ecosystem is expected to sustain mid/high-single digit revenue growth and low/mid-teens earnings per share and free cash flow growth, showcasing the company's long-term resilience.
- Service Business Boost: Apple's services segment, including Apple Music, Apple TV+, iCloud, and Apple Pay, is projected to drive profit growth, helping to offset memory-related headwinds and further solidifying its market position.
- AI Opportunities: Evercore believes that a successful launch of Apple Intelligence could unlock multiple monetization paths without requiring Apple to match the capital expenditure intensity of hyperscalers, providing additional upside potential for the stock.
- Tech-Driven Rebound: The Dow Jones Industrial Average has climbed back to 50,000 for the first time since February 10, primarily driven by stocks linked to artificial intelligence, highlighting the tech sector's dominant role in the economic recovery.
- Amazon's AI Strategy: Amazon's stock has surged 31% since February, as the company enhances its AI offerings by making Alexa the centerpiece of its shopping strategy, which is expected to drive future sales growth.
- UnitedHealth's Strong Performance: UnitedHealth's stock has skyrocketed 47% during the same period, bolstered by strong earnings and solid guidance from management, making it a key contributor to the Dow's return to 50,000, showcasing the resilience of the healthcare sector.
- Mixed Performance Among Stocks: Despite the Dow's rebound, most component stocks have underperformed, indicating a reliance on AI-driven growth, raising questions about the sustainability of the index's rise without support from other stocks.
- Market Access Priority: Trump emphasized that opening up the Chinese market would be his first request to Xi during their talks, potentially providing broader business opportunities for U.S. tech companies and improving bilateral economic relations.
- Critical Minerals Control: China's dominance in the global rare earth market is significant, accounting for 59% of global rare earth mining and 91% of refining in 2024, and Trump may request Xi to grant licenses for American commercial users to secure rare earth supplies, alleviating U.S. dependence on China.
- AI Chip Export Issues: The sale of Nvidia's H200 AI chips emerged as a focal point in Trump's discussions with Xi, as the U.S. has approved sales to several major Chinese tech firms, yet political resistance, particularly from hawks in Congress, could hinder smooth transactions.
- Executive Participation Impact: The involvement of top U.S. tech executives, including Jensen Huang, Elon Musk, and Tim Cook, underscores the importance of technology and commerce in the discussions, potentially leading to the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade and Investment to enhance economic cooperation.











