Green Plains Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 5th
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 04 2026
0mins
Should l Buy GPRE?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement Date: Green Plains is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 5th before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.06, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase of 107%, indicating improved profitability.
- Revenue Expectations Decline: Despite strong EPS expectations, the consensus revenue estimate stands at $538.3 million, representing a 7.8% year-over-year decline, suggesting potential sales pressures that could impact overall financial performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past year, Green Plains has only beaten EPS and revenue estimates 25% of the time, highlighting challenges in meeting market expectations, which may affect investor confidence moving forward.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen three upward revisions and four downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced one upward revision and four downward revisions, indicating mixed market sentiment regarding the company's future performance and potential stock price volatility.
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Analyst Views on GPRE
Wall Street analysts forecast GPRE stock price to fall
5 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
2 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 16.500
Low
9.00
Averages
11.50
High
15.00
Current: 16.500
Low
9.00
Averages
11.50
High
15.00
About GPRE
Green Plains Inc. is a biorefining company. The Company processes annually renewable crops into low-carbon, sustainable ingredients through fermentation, agricultural, biological, and patented ag technologies. The Company also offers carbon capture and storage (CCS) solutions. Its ethanol production segment includes the production, storage and transportation of ethanol, distillers grains, ultra-high protein and renewable corn oil at nine biorefineries in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, and Nebraska. Its nine facilities process approximately 264 million bushels of corn per year and produce 783 million gallons of ethanol, and 1.8 million tons of distillers grains and Ultra-High Protein. Its Agribusiness and Energy Services segment includes grain handling and storage, commodity marketing and merchant trading for Company-produced and third-party ethanol, distillers grains, renewable corn oil, natural gas, and other commodities.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- E15 and E10 Fuel Waivers: The EPA announced a temporary waiver starting May 1 to lift restrictions on the sale of E15 (15% ethanol blend) and E10 (10% ethanol blend) fuels, aimed at increasing fuel options in the market and alleviating supply constraints.
- Rising Diesel Prices: Diesel prices have soared over 40% to $5.37 per gallon, impacting the transportation sector, with the Energy Secretary indicating plans to boost diesel supply to meet market demand.
- Regulatory Flexibility: The EPA has also suspended certain state fuel requirements, allowing the production and distribution of gasoline with ethanol content between 9% and 15%, demonstrating the government's adaptability and responsiveness in addressing the energy crisis.
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- Earnings Beat: Green Plains reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.17, exceeding expectations by $0.16, indicating resilience in profitability despite challenging market conditions.
- Significant Revenue Decline: The company's revenue of $428.8 million represents a 26.6% year-over-year decline and fell short of the $538.3 million forecast, highlighting ongoing demand challenges in the market.
- Market Reaction Analysis: Given the revenue miss, investors may adopt a cautious stance regarding the company's growth outlook, potentially impacting stock performance in a competitive landscape.
- Financial Data Review: Historical earnings data for Green Plains shows that despite facing challenges, the company is striving to maintain profitability, necessitating attention to strategic adjustments to navigate market fluctuations.
See More
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- Earnings Announcement Date: Green Plains is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 5th before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.06, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase of 107%, indicating improved profitability.
- Revenue Expectations Decline: Despite strong EPS expectations, the consensus revenue estimate stands at $538.3 million, representing a 7.8% year-over-year decline, suggesting potential sales pressures that could impact overall financial performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past year, Green Plains has only beaten EPS and revenue estimates 25% of the time, highlighting challenges in meeting market expectations, which may affect investor confidence moving forward.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen three upward revisions and four downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced one upward revision and four downward revisions, indicating mixed market sentiment regarding the company's future performance and potential stock price volatility.
See More
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- High Volume Insights: Notably, the $14 strike call option expiring on February 20, 2026, saw 5,151 contracts traded today, representing around 515,100 underlying shares, suggesting strong bullish sentiment among investors regarding the stock's potential upside.
- Albemarle Options Surge: Albemarle Corp. experienced options trading volume of 15,719 contracts, translating to approximately 1.6 million shares, or about 48.4% of its average daily trading volume of 3.2 million shares over the past month, reflecting active market engagement with its stock.
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