Goldman researchers warn of an unfriendly asymmetry: Why the next big market move may be down.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 15 2025
0mins
Should l Buy INTC?
Source: MarketWatch
S&P 500 Performance: The S&P 500 has achieved its 18th record closing high of the year as it enters Friday's trading session.
Drivers of Market Rally: Goldman Sachs attributes the market rally to strong U.S. corporate earnings, particularly influenced by AI investments, and more dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve.
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Analyst Views on INTC
Wall Street analysts forecast INTC stock price to fall
29 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
19 Hold
5 Sell
Hold
Current: 43.100
Low
20.00
Averages
39.30
High
52.00
Current: 43.100
Low
20.00
Averages
39.30
High
52.00
About INTC
Intel Corporation is a global designer and manufacturer of semiconductor products. The Company operates through three segments: Intel Products, Intel Foundry, and All Other. Its Intel Products segment includes Client Computing Group (CCG), Data Center and AI (DCAI), Network and Edge (NEX). The CCG is bringing together the operating system, system architecture, hardware, and software application integration to enable PC experiences. DCAI delivers workload-optimized solutions to cloud service providers and enterprises, along with silicon devices for communications service providers, network and edge, and HPC customers. NEX helps networks and edge compute systems from fixed-function hardware to general-purpose compute, acceleration, and networking devices running cloud native software on programmable hardware. The Intel Foundry segment comprises technology development, manufacturing and foundry services. All Other segments include Altera, Mobileye, Other.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Intel's Q4 Earnings Report Raises Concerns Among Investors
- Weak Revenue Guidance: Intel forecasts Q1 revenue between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion, with the midpoint of $12.2 billion falling below historical seasonal standards and Wall Street's consensus estimate of $12.6 billion, indicating significant challenges ahead for the company.
- Foundry Business Losses: The foundry segment reported a $2.5 billion loss in Q4, with CEO Lip-Bu Tan emphasizing that building a successful foundry business will require considerable time and resources, highlighting difficulties in market positioning.
- Stock Price Volatility: Despite an 84% stock price surge in 2025 boosting investor confidence, Intel's shares dropped by 6.5% in February 2026, reflecting the fragility of market confidence and potential impacts on future investment decisions.
- Muted Market Expectations: Investor caution regarding Intel's future performance suggests that the current stock price decline may persist through March unless unexpected positive news emerges to shift shareholder expectations.
See More
Intel's Stock Volatility Raises Investor Concerns
- Stock Price Volatility: Intel's stock surged 84% in 2025, yet dropped 6.5% in February 2026, indicating a rapid shift in investor confidence and reflecting high uncertainty regarding the company's future performance.
- Poor Earnings Guidance: During the January earnings call, Intel's management forecasted Q1 revenue between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion, with the midpoint of $12.2 billion falling below Wall Street's consensus estimate of $12.6 billion, exacerbating investor concerns.
- Foundry Business Losses: Intel's foundry business reported a $2.5 billion loss in Q4, with the CEO warning that building a foundry business will require significant time and resources, raising doubts about the company's ability to become a go-to chipmaker for others.
- Bleak Market Outlook: The negative sentiment from the January earnings report continues to weigh on Intel's stock, leading analysts to believe that unless unexpected good news emerges, the stock may remain under pressure through March.
See More
U.S. Senate Fails to Pass Resolution for Iran Withdrawal
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- Major Update to French Nuclear Policy: French President Macron's announcement to increase the number of nuclear warheads and enhance cooperation with European allies is viewed as the most significant update to France's nuclear deterrence policy in 30 years, potentially reshaping the European security landscape.
- Impact on Indian Remittance Flows: A Citi report indicates that the Indian diaspora in Gulf countries contributes nearly 38% of total remittance inflows, with a total of $135.4 billion in FY 2025, of which $51.4 billion comes from Gulf nations, suggesting that prolonged Middle Eastern conflict could negatively impact India's economy.
- China Sets Record Low GDP Growth Target: The Chinese government has set its GDP growth target for 2026 at 4.5% to 5%, marking the lowest target on record since the early 1990s, reflecting the challenges Beijing faces amid persistent deflationary pressures and trade tensions with the U.S.
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- Same-Store Sales Improvement: Same-store sales growth rebounded to 1.6% from 5.9% in the previous quarter, surpassing management's prior guidance of flat growth, suggesting a potential recovery in consumer demand that could lay the groundwork for future growth.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Management's guidance for 2026 projects net sales growth between 4.5% and 6.5%, with same-store sales expected to range from -1% to 1%, reflecting a cautious stance in a high-inflation environment that may impact investor confidence.
- Share Buyback Program: Sprouts announced a $1 billion share repurchase program, having already bought back approximately $472 million worth of shares, with plans to repurchase another $300 million, a move that could provide short-term support for the stock price and bolster market confidence.
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From Mag 7 to Lag 7: What Lies Ahead for These Stocks
- Finality of a Situation: The phrase "stick a fork in it" suggests that something is finished or no longer viable.
- Closure and Departure: Expressions like "turn out the lights" and "hasta la vista" indicate a sense of closure and farewell.
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Nvidia Stock Split Prospects Analysis
- Surging Stock Price: Nvidia's revenue has soared over 1,000% in the last five years, with its stock price reflecting similar growth, underscoring the company's robust performance amid the AI boom and solidifying its market leadership.
- Historical Split Patterns: Since 2000, Nvidia has executed six stock splits, averaging one every four years, with the most recent 10-for-1 split occurring in 2024, suggesting a potential split in 2028, although splits have historically occurred in pairs.
- Motivation for Splits: Companies typically split stocks to lower the share price, making them more accessible to retail investors; however, with Nvidia's current price around $180 per share, the likelihood of a split soon seems low, despite the availability of fractional shares.
- Investment Considerations: While Nvidia has performed exceptionally in the past, it was not included in the Motley Fool Stock Advisor's current top investment picks, indicating that investors should carefully evaluate market conditions and other potential opportunities before purchasing shares.
See More
Intel's Q4 Earnings Report Raises Concerns Among Investors
- Weak Revenue Guidance: Intel forecasts Q1 revenue between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion, with the midpoint of $12.2 billion falling below historical seasonal standards and Wall Street's consensus estimate of $12.6 billion, indicating significant challenges ahead for the company.
- Foundry Business Losses: The foundry segment reported a $2.5 billion loss in Q4, with CEO Lip-Bu Tan emphasizing that building a successful foundry business will require considerable time and resources, highlighting difficulties in market positioning.
- Stock Price Volatility: Despite an 84% stock price surge in 2025 boosting investor confidence, Intel's shares dropped by 6.5% in February 2026, reflecting the fragility of market confidence and potential impacts on future investment decisions.
- Muted Market Expectations: Investor caution regarding Intel's future performance suggests that the current stock price decline may persist through March unless unexpected positive news emerges to shift shareholder expectations.
See More
Intel's Stock Volatility Raises Investor Concerns
- Stock Price Volatility: Intel's stock surged 84% in 2025, yet dropped 6.5% in February 2026, indicating a rapid shift in investor confidence and reflecting high uncertainty regarding the company's future performance.
- Poor Earnings Guidance: During the January earnings call, Intel's management forecasted Q1 revenue between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion, with the midpoint of $12.2 billion falling below Wall Street's consensus estimate of $12.6 billion, exacerbating investor concerns.
- Foundry Business Losses: Intel's foundry business reported a $2.5 billion loss in Q4, with the CEO warning that building a foundry business will require significant time and resources, raising doubts about the company's ability to become a go-to chipmaker for others.
- Bleak Market Outlook: The negative sentiment from the January earnings report continues to weigh on Intel's stock, leading analysts to believe that unless unexpected good news emerges, the stock may remain under pressure through March.
See More
U.S. Senate Fails to Pass Resolution for Iran Withdrawal
- Iran Withdrawal Resolution Fails: The U.S. Senate's failure to pass a resolution demanding President Trump withdraw from military actions in Iran highlights significant congressional divisions over current military policy, despite the resolution's largely symbolic nature.
- Major Update to French Nuclear Policy: French President Macron's announcement to increase the number of nuclear warheads and enhance cooperation with European allies is viewed as the most significant update to France's nuclear deterrence policy in 30 years, potentially reshaping the European security landscape.
- Impact on Indian Remittance Flows: A Citi report indicates that the Indian diaspora in Gulf countries contributes nearly 38% of total remittance inflows, with a total of $135.4 billion in FY 2025, of which $51.4 billion comes from Gulf nations, suggesting that prolonged Middle Eastern conflict could negatively impact India's economy.
- China Sets Record Low GDP Growth Target: The Chinese government has set its GDP growth target for 2026 at 4.5% to 5%, marking the lowest target on record since the early 1990s, reflecting the challenges Beijing faces amid persistent deflationary pressures and trade tensions with the U.S.
See More
Sprouts Farmers Market Stock Shows Signs of Recovery
- Sales Growth Recovery: In Q4 2025, Sprouts Farmers Market reported revenue of $2.15 billion, falling short of expectations, yet EPS of $0.92 exceeded estimates by $0.03, indicating signs of gradual recovery amidst challenges.
- Same-Store Sales Improvement: Same-store sales growth rebounded to 1.6% from 5.9% in the previous quarter, surpassing management's prior guidance of flat growth, suggesting a potential recovery in consumer demand that could lay the groundwork for future growth.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Management's guidance for 2026 projects net sales growth between 4.5% and 6.5%, with same-store sales expected to range from -1% to 1%, reflecting a cautious stance in a high-inflation environment that may impact investor confidence.
- Share Buyback Program: Sprouts announced a $1 billion share repurchase program, having already bought back approximately $472 million worth of shares, with plans to repurchase another $300 million, a move that could provide short-term support for the stock price and bolster market confidence.
See More
From Mag 7 to Lag 7: What Lies Ahead for These Stocks
- Finality of a Situation: The phrase "stick a fork in it" suggests that something is finished or no longer viable.
- Closure and Departure: Expressions like "turn out the lights" and "hasta la vista" indicate a sense of closure and farewell.
See More
Nvidia Stock Split Prospects Analysis
- Surging Stock Price: Nvidia's revenue has soared over 1,000% in the last five years, with its stock price reflecting similar growth, underscoring the company's robust performance amid the AI boom and solidifying its market leadership.
- Historical Split Patterns: Since 2000, Nvidia has executed six stock splits, averaging one every four years, with the most recent 10-for-1 split occurring in 2024, suggesting a potential split in 2028, although splits have historically occurred in pairs.
- Motivation for Splits: Companies typically split stocks to lower the share price, making them more accessible to retail investors; however, with Nvidia's current price around $180 per share, the likelihood of a split soon seems low, despite the availability of fractional shares.
- Investment Considerations: While Nvidia has performed exceptionally in the past, it was not included in the Motley Fool Stock Advisor's current top investment picks, indicating that investors should carefully evaluate market conditions and other potential opportunities before purchasing shares.
See More
