After-Hours Earnings Report for December 18, 2024 : MU, LEN, EPAC, WS, MLKN, SCS
Earnings Reports Overview: Several companies, including Micron Technology, Lennar Corporation, and Enerpac Tool Group, are set to report earnings on December 18, 2024, with varying forecasts indicating significant increases or decreases compared to the same quarter last year.
Performance Insights: Most companies have consistently beaten expectations in previous quarters, with notable projections such as Worthington Steel expecting a 536.36% increase in earnings per share, while others like MillerKnoll anticipate a decrease.
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- Earnings Announcement: Lennar (LEN) is set to release its Q1 earnings on March 12 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.95, reflecting a significant 55.6% year-over-year decline, and revenue expected at $6.9 billion, down 9.6% year-over-year, indicating profitability challenges ahead.
- Earnings Forecast Analysis: Over the past two years, Lennar has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time; however, in the last three months, there have been no upward revisions for EPS and seven downward revisions, alongside six downward revisions for revenue, suggesting waning market confidence in its future performance.
- Market Reactions: Recent analyses highlight that Lennar is grappling with weak demand and margin pressures, compounded by management departures, which may further impact its performance and reflect broader industry uncertainties.
- Industry Dynamics: Amid reports of the Trump administration considering antitrust actions, homebuilder stocks have generally declined, yet news regarding the 'Trump Homes' initiative has led to a rise in some homebuilder stocks, illustrating a divergence in market sentiment.
- Legislative Stalemate: Despite the housing affordability bill receiving over 80 votes in the Senate, House Majority Leader Scalise predicts that differences between the House and Senate versions will likely bog down the bill, necessitating weeks or months of negotiations before a final agreement can be reached.
- Investor Ban Controversy: President Trump has called for a ban on major investors purchasing single-family homes to be included in the bill; while the Senate agreed to language limiting companies to owning no more than 350 homes, concerns have been raised about potential capital shortages for new home construction, which could affect market pricing.
- Bipartisan Cooperation Outlook: House Financial Services Chair Hill stated that House lawmakers have communicated their members' concerns to the Senate and look forward to achieving a bicameral success in housing policy that will provide more supply and lower construction costs for the American people.
- Key Provisions Integration: Senate Banking Committee Chair Scott noted that the Senate has adopted 20 of the House bill's main provisions, including a five-year ban on central bank digital currency demanded by the right-wing Freedom Caucus, indicating a potential for collaborative progress on housing policy between the two chambers.
- Sales Increase: Existing home sales in February rose by 1.7% from January to an annualized rate of 4.09 million units, according to the National Association of Realtors, although this reflects a 1.4% decline year-over-year, indicating ongoing market weakness.
- Wage vs. Price Growth: Chief Economist Lawrence Yun highlighted that wage growth is now outpacing home price growth by nearly four percentage points, and while mortgage rates are significantly lower than last year, actual housing demand remains muted.
- Inventory Levels: There were 1.29 million units for sale at the end of February, a 2.4% increase from January, yet this remains below the six-month supply considered balanced, reflecting a sluggish supply growth trend.
- First-Time Buyer Share: First-time buyers accounted for 34% of total sales, up from 31% a year ago, indicating an increase in market participation among new buyers despite low inventory and high prices.
- Earnings Season Dynamics: This week’s earnings season is strong, with retailers, tech giants, and AI winners taking center stage, as investors closely monitor how guidance and AI-driven demand will shape market direction.
- Oracle Cloud Infrastructure: Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) saw a 68% surge last quarter, and investors are keen to see if its massive $523 billion contract backlog is beginning to translate into realized revenue, particularly as capital expenditures soar.
- UiPath Earnings Expectations: UiPath is set to report after Wednesday’s close, with analysts expecting earnings of 26 cents per share on revenue of $464.49 million, as investors will focus on the durability of growth and profitability stabilization and the impact of AI on net new ARR.
- Adobe Earnings Outlook: Adobe anticipates earnings of $5.87 per share and revenue of approximately $6.28 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of about 10%, with investors watching how generative AI features drive upside in net new ARR and Digital Media growth.
- Acquisition Acceleration: Opendoor's weekly home acquisitions surged from approximately 131 to 442, indicating a proactive market expansion despite the stock's 50% decline since last September, reflecting skepticism about its growth potential.
- Organizational Restructuring: Under new CEO Kaz Nejatian, Opendoor has reduced its workforce by 40%, aiming to enhance operational efficiency, although Wall Street has not fully accounted for the operational leverage from these cuts.
- Mortgage Business Innovation: The launch of a 4.99% mortgage rate product and the acquisition of HomeBuyer.com could serve as key growth drivers for Opendoor's mortgage business, despite market skepticism regarding subsidized mortgages.
- Market Sentiment Decline: Despite Nejatian's acceleration on several fronts, retail traders' interest in Opendoor has waned, with Stocktwits sentiment predominantly bearish over the past three months and message volume declining by 87% in the last 30 days, indicating a pullback in retail activity.

Market Concerns: Wall Street is apprehensive about stagflation due to a surprising decline in nonfarm payrolls and rising oil prices.
Upcoming Data: Investors are anticipating significant data releases that will provide insights into price growth trends.










