BofA Strategist Advocates Buying Commodities and Selling USD
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy BAC?
Source: CNBC
- Interest Rate Outlook: BofA's chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett argues that the increasing likelihood of interest rate cuts makes buying commodities and selling the U.S. dollar a sensible trade, which could significantly influence asset allocation strategies.
- Impact of Dollar Weakness: Hartnett notes that a weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated assets cheaper, likely attracting more foreign capital and driving up commodity prices, thereby increasing demand for raw materials in the market.
- Geopolitical Factors: He emphasizes that geopolitical tensions and the need to monopolize commodities will enhance the value of related assets, particularly in sectors like rare earths, minerals, and oil, asserting that control over these resources is crucial for winning the AI competition.
- Consumer Sector Investment: Hartnett also advocates for investing in the Chinese market and consumer discretionary stocks, suggesting that the consumer sector has priced in stagflation risks more than others, making it a preferred contrarian long amid the economic policy shifts post-Trump administration.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy BAC?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on BAC
Wall Street analysts forecast BAC stock price to rise
19 Analyst Rating
15 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 53.510
Low
55.00
Averages
61.64
High
71.00
Current: 53.510
Low
55.00
Averages
61.64
High
71.00
About BAC
Bank of America Corporation is a bank holding company and a financial holding company. Its segments include Consumer Banking, Global Wealth & Investment Management (GWIM), Global Banking and Global Markets. Consumer Banking segment offers a range of credit, banking and investment products and services to consumers and small businesses. The GWIM includes two businesses: Merrill Wealth Management, which provides tailored solutions to meet clients' needs through a full set of investment management, brokerage, banking and retirement products and Bank of America Private Bank, which provides comprehensive wealth management solutions. Global Banking segment provides a range of lending-related products and services, integrated working capital management and treasury solutions, and underwriting and advisory services. Global Markets segment offers sales and trading services and research services to institutional clients across fixed-income, credit, currency, commodity, and equity businesses.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Strong Performance: Bank of America reported net interest income of $15.75 billion for Q1 2026, exceeding market expectations and driving a 1.8% increase in share price, reflecting its profitability in a high-rate environment.
- Robust Loan Growth: The bank achieved a loan growth rate of 1.7% for the quarter and 8.6% year-over-year while maintaining a conservative loan-to-deposit ratio of 58%, showcasing its solid credit strategy and market competitiveness.
- Analyst Optimism: Analysts generally express optimism about Bank of America's future, believing that in a “higher-for-longer” rate environment, net interest income is likely to continue growing through FY27, supporting its earnings outlook.
- Future Outlook: The CFO projected net interest income growth of 6% to 8% and plans to redeem €1.5 billion of senior notes on May 4, 2026, further optimizing the capital structure.
See More
- Stock Price Decline: Since the beginning of 2026, NuScale Power's shares have lost nearly 30% of their value, despite a 15% single-day gain on April 15, indicating market concerns about its future prospects that could undermine investor confidence.
- Significant Losses: The company reported a net loss exceeding $660 million last year, marking its fourth consecutive year of losses, which highlights the financial strain in developing small modular reactors (SMRs) and may limit its ability to raise capital.
- Bleak Profitability Outlook: Analysts do not expect NuScale Power to achieve profitability in the next two fiscal years, with potential profitability not anticipated until this decade, increasing reliance on external capital during market downturns and heightening financial risks.
- Capital Raising Challenges: With its market cap plummeting from $8 billion to $4 billion, NuScale Power faces a tougher fundraising environment, likely resulting in higher borrowing costs and shareholder dilution risks, further impacting its operational and growth plans.
See More
- Poor Market Performance: Since the beginning of 2026, NuScale Power's stock has lost nearly 30% of its value, despite a 15% single-day gain on April 15, indicating a troubling trend that may undermine investor confidence regarding its future profitability.
- Escalating Financial Losses: The company reported a net loss exceeding $660 million last year, marking its fourth consecutive year of losses, and analysts predict it will remain unprofitable for at least the next two fiscal years, increasing reliance on external capital to sustain operations.
- Capital Raising Challenges: Following a market sell-off, NuScale Power's market cap has plummeted to $4 billion from $8 billion just months ago, complicating its ability to secure loans under favorable terms, while the risk of shareholder dilution looms larger at lower stock prices.
- Slow Technological Progress: Although the small modular reactor (SMR) market holds significant potential, estimated at $10 trillion, NuScale Power's first facility may not be operational until 2030 at the earliest, with the technology yet to achieve meaningful scale, placing the company at a competitive disadvantage.
See More
- Strong Banking Performance: Bank of America reported a 17% year-over-year increase in earnings for Q1, with net interest income exceeding expectations, and trading revenue and investment banking fees growing by 30% and 21% respectively, indicating heightened trading activity due to market volatility, which enhances profitability.
- Improved Credit Quality: The bank's provision for credit losses was about $200 million less than expected, with a net charge-off ratio improving by 6 basis points year-over-year to 0.48%, suggesting a healthy consumer credit environment that may further support future earnings growth.
- Robust Semiconductor Demand: Taiwan Semiconductor reported a 35% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1, with a gross margin of 66%, indicating that demand driven by high-performance computing and AI exceeds its production capacity, reflecting a positive industry outlook.
- Stable ASML Equipment Sales: ASML sold 79 lithography machines this quarter, generating over $10 billion in revenue, slightly above expectations, demonstrating strong market demand, while maintenance service revenue grew by 17%, indicating increased customer reliance on its equipment.
See More
- Bank of America Performance: Bank of America reported a 17% year-over-year increase in earnings for Q1, with net interest income exceeding expectations and significant rises in trading and investment banking fees, indicating enhanced client activity amid market volatility and strengthening its competitive position.
- Schwab Trading Volume Record: Schwab's average daily trading volume surged 34% year-over-year in Q1, setting a new record, although revenue grew 16% year-over-year, falling short of market expectations, which has put pressure on its stock price and reflects cautious sentiment about future performance.
- Semiconductor Sector Insights: TSMC's Q1 revenue grew 35% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 66%, driven by strong AI demand, prompting the company to continue investing to meet market needs, signaling long-term growth potential in the industry.
- ASML Equipment Sales Steady: ASML sold 79 lithography machines in Q1, generating over $10 billion in revenue, slightly exceeding expectations, but caution is warranted as a single machine can significantly impact results, with overall demand remaining strong, indicating an optimistic industry outlook.
See More
- Earnings Highlights: Goldman Sachs reported Q1 net revenues of $17.2 billion, a 14% year-over-year increase that surpassed Wall Street expectations, indicating strong market performance and likely attracting more investor interest.
- Earnings Per Share Beat: The earnings per share came in at $17.55, exceeding Wall Street's forecast of $16.49, which pushed the return on equity to 19.8%, reflecting improved operational efficiency within the firm.
- Asset Management Growth: The Asset and Wealth Management unit generated $4.08 billion in revenue this quarter, a 10% increase from last year, although slightly below market expectations, indicating growth in management fees due to an increase in total assets under management.
- Market Dynamics Analysis: While FICC revenue fell by 10%, equity revenue surged by 27%, demonstrating that Goldman Sachs' trading business is thriving in a volatile and bullish market environment, suggesting potential continued benefits from the resurgence of capital markets.
See More











