Apple (AAPL) Expected to Report 12% Revenue Growth in Q1 2026, a Four-Year High
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 25 2026
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Should l Buy AAPL?
Source: seekingalpha
- Revenue Growth Expectation: Apple is projected to achieve Q1 2026 revenue between $136.7B and $139.2B, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 10% to 12%, which would surpass the previous record of $124.3B set in Q1 2025, indicating strong performance in the global market.
- Earnings Per Share Forecast: Consensus estimates suggest Apple will report GAAP earnings per share of $2.67 on revenue of $138.47B, which, if realized, would break the previous record of $2.40 set in Q1 2025, further solidifying its profitability.
- Smartphone Market Leadership: Apple led the global smartphone market in 2025 with a 20% share and a 10% year-over-year shipment growth, showcasing strong demand for the iPhone 17 series, particularly the Pro models.
- Impact of Rising Memory Prices: Despite anticipated memory price increases of 40% to 50% in Q1 2026, Apple is expected to maintain its competitive edge in the short term due to its cash reserves and long-term supply agreements, ensuring memory supply stability.
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Analyst Views on AAPL
Wall Street analysts forecast AAPL stock price to rise
27 Analyst Rating
17 Buy
9 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 255.760
Low
239.00
Averages
306.89
High
350.00
Current: 255.760
Low
239.00
Averages
306.89
High
350.00
About AAPL
Apple Inc. designs, manufactures and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related services. Its product categories include iPhone, Mac, iPad, and Wearables, Home and Accessories. Its software platforms include iOS, iPadOS, macOS, watchOS, visionOS, and tvOS. Its services include advertising, AppleCare, cloud services, digital content and payment services. The Company operates various platforms, including the App Store, that allow customers to discover and download applications and digital content, such as books, music, video, games and podcasts. It also offers digital content through subscription-based services, including Apple Arcade, Apple Fitness+, Apple Music, Apple News+, and Apple TV+. Its products include iPhone 16 Pro, iPhone 16, iPhone 15, iPhone 14, iPhone SE, MacBook Air, MacBook Pro, iMac, Mac mini, Mac Studio, Mac Pro, iPad Pro, iPad Air, AirPods, AirPods Pro, AirPods Max, Apple TV, Apple Vision Pro and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Significant Market Potential: Investor Gene Munster estimates that the MacBook Neo could contribute 0.5% to Apple's overall revenue in the next year and potentially add $2 billion in annual revenue to the Mac segment, driving a 6% growth for that division.
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