Apple (AAPL) Expected to Report 12% Revenue Growth in Q1 2026, a Four-Year High
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 25 2026
0mins
Should l Buy AAPL?
Source: seekingalpha
- Revenue Growth Expectation: Apple is projected to achieve Q1 2026 revenue between $136.7B and $139.2B, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 10% to 12%, which would surpass the previous record of $124.3B set in Q1 2025, indicating strong performance in the global market.
- Earnings Per Share Forecast: Consensus estimates suggest Apple will report GAAP earnings per share of $2.67 on revenue of $138.47B, which, if realized, would break the previous record of $2.40 set in Q1 2025, further solidifying its profitability.
- Smartphone Market Leadership: Apple led the global smartphone market in 2025 with a 20% share and a 10% year-over-year shipment growth, showcasing strong demand for the iPhone 17 series, particularly the Pro models.
- Impact of Rising Memory Prices: Despite anticipated memory price increases of 40% to 50% in Q1 2026, Apple is expected to maintain its competitive edge in the short term due to its cash reserves and long-term supply agreements, ensuring memory supply stability.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy AAPL?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on AAPL
Wall Street analysts forecast AAPL stock price to rise
27 Analyst Rating
17 Buy
9 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 260.580
Low
239.00
Averages
306.89
High
350.00
Current: 260.580
Low
239.00
Averages
306.89
High
350.00
About AAPL
Apple Inc. designs, manufactures and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related services. Its product categories include iPhone, Mac, iPad, and Wearables, Home and Accessories. Its software platforms include iOS, iPadOS, macOS, watchOS, visionOS, and tvOS. Its services include advertising, AppleCare, cloud services, digital content and payment services. The Company operates various platforms, including the App Store, that allow customers to discover and download applications and digital content, such as books, music, video, games and podcasts. It also offers digital content through subscription-based services, including Apple Arcade, Apple Fitness+, Apple Music, Apple News+, and Apple TV+. Its products include iPhone 16 Pro, iPhone 16, iPhone 15, iPhone 14, iPhone SE, MacBook Air, MacBook Pro, iMac, Mac mini, Mac Studio, Mac Pro, iPad Pro, iPad Air, AirPods, AirPods Pro, AirPods Max, Apple TV, Apple Vision Pro and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- New Position Disclosure: On February 4, 2026, Liberty Wealth Management LLC disclosed a new position by acquiring 367,041 shares of Dimensional Global ex U.S. Core Fixed Income ETF, with an estimated trade value of $19.3 million, indicating a strategic interest in international fixed-income markets.
- Asset Allocation Strategy: DFGX represents 2.5% of Liberty Wealth's 13F assets, and while it does not rank among the top five holdings, the firm's total asset value stands at $775 million, reflecting a balanced investment strategy across a diverse portfolio.
- Market Environment Impact: Following two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve last year, further cuts are anticipated in 2026, making the current purchase of bond funds a strategic move to lock in higher yields and potentially position for a bond rotation in the upcoming year.
- Portfolio Diversification: DFGX offers a low-cost avenue for investors to gain exposure to foreign government bonds, enhancing the stability of Liberty Wealth's portfolio while complementing its second-largest holding, the iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF, demonstrating a balanced approach to pursuing quality growth and income.
See More
- Recent Commentary: Money managers, research firms, and market newsletter writers have issued a commentary that has been edited by Barron's.
- Market Insights: The commentary provides insights and perspectives on current market trends and investment strategies.
See More
Humanoid Robot Performance: NBC News reported on Unitree's Lunar New Year celebration, showcasing robots performing impressive feats like kung fu, back flips, and swordplay with remarkable speed and coordination.
Advancements in Robotics: The event highlights the rapid development of artificial-intelligence-trained robots capable of performing labor-saving tasks, aligning with recent discussions on the accelerating pace of the robot revolution.
See More
- Market Recovery: The S&P 500 rose by 0.69% and the Nasdaq 100 by 0.87% after the Supreme Court overturned Trump's global tariffs, indicating a positive investor response to the policy shift that alleviates trade tensions.
- Economic Data Impact: U.S. Q4 GDP grew by 1.4%, below the expected 2.8%, while the core PCE price index rose by 2.7%, exceeding expectations of 2.6%, suggesting inflation pressures may limit the Fed's ability to cut rates, affecting market sentiment.
- Manufacturing Activity Decline: The February S&P manufacturing PMI unexpectedly fell to 51.2, below the anticipated 52.4, indicating weakness in manufacturing that could challenge economic recovery and further exacerbate market uncertainty.
- Earnings Optimism: Over 74% of S&P 500 companies reported earnings that beat expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, demonstrating strong corporate profitability that may support the stock market despite macroeconomic challenges.
See More
- Surge in Capital Expenditure: Major tech companies like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google have announced nearly $700 billion in capital expenditures for 2023, driving rapid development in AI infrastructure, despite increased selling pressure on software stocks in the market.
- Market Opportunities for Broadcom: Broadcom is capitalizing on the growth in AI infrastructure spending by providing custom silicon solutions for Meta and Alphabet, with its networking chips like Tomahawk and Jericho becoming essential for connecting GPU clusters, thereby enhancing its competitive position.
- Micron's Pricing Power: Micron Technology specializes in high-bandwidth memory chips, with DRAM and NAND prices expected to rise by 60% and 38% respectively in Q1, positioning Micron favorably in the AI chip value chain and enabling it to command significant pricing power.
- Investor Focus: Against the backdrop of an accelerating AI infrastructure revolution, Broadcom and Micron are viewed as new
See More
- Declining Tariff Costs: Apple has incurred approximately $3.3 billion in tariffs since the Trump administration's imposition, with peak quarterly tariffs reaching $1 billion, and the Supreme Court's ruling is expected to gradually reduce these costs, thereby enhancing the company's profit margins and production expenses.
- Supply Chain Adjustments: With the tariff elimination, Apple may face less pressure to shift production to India and Vietnam, allowing it to produce more products for the U.S. market in China, which simplifies its supply chain and improves operational efficiency.
- Potential Refund Issues: The Supreme Court's ruling that Trump's tariffs were illegal could lead to the U.S. government owing over $175 billion in refunds to importers, and it remains unclear whether Apple will pursue these refunds, which could impact its financial strategy.
- Future Uncertainties: Although the tariff ruling presents short-term benefits, the Trump administration plans to impose a new 10% global tariff, which may have ongoing implications for Apple's long-term operations and market strategies.
See More











