Amazon Finalizes Delivery Agreement with USPS: Impact on UPS and FedEx Stock Prices.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy FDX?
Source: Barron's
- New Delivery Agreement: Amazon and the U.S. Postal Service have established a new parcel-delivery arrangement.
- Increased Volume: The agreement will result in the USPS delivering a greater volume of packages for Amazon than previously anticipated.
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Analyst Views on FDX
Wall Street analysts forecast FDX stock price to fall
20 Analyst Rating
13 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 357.000
Low
210.00
Averages
315.05
High
365.00
Current: 357.000
Low
210.00
Averages
315.05
High
365.00
About FDX
FedEx Corporation provides customers and businesses with a portfolio of transportation, e-commerce, and business services. The Company offers integrated business solutions utilizing its flexible and efficient global network. Its segments include Federal Express, FedEx Freight, and Corporate, other, and eliminations. Federal Express segment includes express transportation, small-package ground delivery, and freight transportation, and it also operates combined sales, marketing, administrative, and information-technology functions in shared service operations for United States customers. FedEx Freight segment includes FedEx Freight (LTL freight transportation) and FedEx Custom Critical (time-critical transportation). Corporate, other, and elimination segments include FedEx Dataworks, Inc. (FedEx Dataworks), FedEx Office and Print Services, Inc. (FedEx Office), and FedEx Logistics, Inc. (FedEx Logistics). FedEx Logistics offers customs brokerage, specialty transportation, and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Financial Framework Launch: FedEx Freight introduces a medium-term financial framework projecting a revenue growth of 4-6% CAGR and adjusted operating income growth of 10-12% CAGR, reflecting strong confidence in future profitability.
- Strategic Priorities: The company will focus on network optimization, advancing technology capabilities, and financial value creation, aiming to drive sustainable long-term value growth and enhance market competitiveness through an efficient operating model and differentiated commercial strategies.
- Spinoff Plans: FedEx Freight is set to complete its spinoff from FedEx on June 1, 2026, with plans to list on the New York Stock Exchange, marking a new chapter as an independent company and boosting investor confidence.
- Investor Day Event: The company will host its inaugural Investor Day at the New York Stock Exchange, showcasing its unique value proposition and financial model as the largest LTL carrier in North America, aimed at attracting investor interest in its future growth potential.
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- Wage Increase: After nearly five years of negotiations, FedEx and ALPA have reached a tentative agreement that includes a roughly 40% hourly wage increase set for 2026, which is expected to significantly enhance the income levels of over 5,000 pilots and improve employee satisfaction.
- Annual Raise Plan: The agreement also outlines annual raises of about 3% from 2028 through 2030, which will contribute to long-term job stability for pilots and may attract more talent to FedEx, strengthening its workforce.
- Supervision and Approval Process: The deal was achieved under the supervision of the National Mediation Board and will next be presented to the FedEx Master Executive Council for review; if approved, it will then be subject to a ratification vote by the pilots, ensuring employee endorsement of the agreement.
- Background and Impact: This agreement follows a rejected 30% pay increase proposal in 2023, highlighting the company's efforts to address outsourcing and long-term protections, aiming to build employee trust and reduce future labor disputes.
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- Military Deployment Continues: Trump stated that U.S. military forces will remain deployed in and around Iran until Tehran fully complies with what he calls the 'real agreement', indicating a sustained U.S. military presence in the Middle East that may escalate regional tensions.
- Escalating Threats to Iran: Trump warned that any breach of the agreement would trigger a military response larger than ever seen before, which could raise market concerns about potential disruptions in energy supplies, thereby affecting oil price volatility.
- Strained NATO Relations: Trump criticized NATO for not supporting the U.S. when needed, highlighting a deterioration in relations with traditional allies that could impact future international cooperation and security policies.
- Iran Accuses U.S. of Violating Agreement: Iran's parliamentary speaker accused the U.S. of violating the two-week ceasefire agreement, citing actions such as Israeli attacks on Lebanon, which could further deteriorate U.S.-Iran relations and affect global market stability.
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- Tentative Agreement Reached: FedEx has reached a tentative amended collective bargaining agreement with the Air Line Pilots Association under the supervision of the National Mediation Board, indicating a significant step towards improving labor relations after extensive mediation efforts.
- Next Steps: The agreement will be reviewed by the FedEx Master Executive Council, and if approved, it will be subject to a ratification vote by FedEx pilots, which could directly impact pilots' working conditions and compensation structures.
- Market Reaction: Following the announcement of the agreement, FedEx's stock rose by 4.60% to close at $373.43 on the New York Stock Exchange, reflecting positive market sentiment regarding the improvement in labor relations.
- After-Hours Performance: Although the stock dipped slightly by 0.17% to $372.80 in after-hours trading, the overall market response indicates investor confidence in the company's future prospects following the agreement.
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- Fragile Ceasefire: Just a day after the U.S.-Iran ceasefire was announced, Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf accused the U.S. of violating three key terms, leading to a loss of market confidence and potential disruptions in global energy supply chains.
- Market Reaction: The ceasefire initially triggered a relief rally across global markets; however, following Iran's accusations, Brent crude and U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures rose in Asian trading, indicating market uncertainty about future developments.
- Strait of Hormuz Traffic: Although the ceasefire agreement mandates the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to normal shipping traffic, actual vessel traffic remains low, raising concerns about energy supply and further contributing to oil price volatility.
- Fed Policy Signals: Minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest meeting indicate that officials still expect to lower interest rates this year, providing additional support for risk assets, but escalating geopolitical risks could undermine this outlook.
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Tentative Agreement Reached: A tentative agreement has been reached between FedEx and its employees regarding an amended collective bargaining agreement.
Focus on Collective Bargaining: The agreement emphasizes collective bargaining efforts aimed at improving working conditions and employee benefits.
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