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FDX Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy FedEx Corp (FDX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
378.580
1 Day change
0.70%
52 Week Range
404.030
Analysis Updated At
2026/05/08
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.
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FedEx is a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available, but it is a measured buy rather than an aggressive chase. The stock has improving fundamentals, strong analyst support, positive congress buying, and no bearish proprietary trading signal. The current pre-market price is near a technical pivot, and long-term upside looks supported by earnings growth and operational improvement. Since the user is impatient and does not want to wait for an optimal entry, I would buy now.

Technical Analysis

FDX is in a neutral-to-slightly weak short-term technical setup. The MACD histogram is -2.775, still below zero, but it is negatively contracting, which suggests bearish momentum is easing. RSI_6 at 46.343 is neutral, so the stock is not overbought. Moving averages are converging, which often signals a possible trend inflection. Pre-market price is 375.9, very close to the pivot level of 380.234 and above support at 361.176, with resistance at 399.292 and 411.066. Overall, the chart does not show a strong breakout yet, but it does show a stable base for a long-term entry.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Neutral
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is mildly bearish to neutral because puts slightly exceed calls in both open interest and volume. However, the ratios are not extreme, and implied volatility is moderate at 30.19 with IV rank 38.46, suggesting options are not pricing in a major event shock. Daily option activity is elevated versus the 30-day average, indicating active interest. This points to cautious hedging rather than a strongly bearish crowd.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • News sentiment is mixed but includes a strong positive catalyst from the expanded FedEx and ServiceNow collaboration, which may improve supply chain visibility and operational efficiency. Analyst sentiment is broadly constructive, with multiple firms raising price targets after strong fiscal Q3 results and improving margins. Congress trading data is also supportive, showing 2 purchase transactions and 0 sales in the last 90 days. Financially, the latest quarter showed revenue up 8.30% YoY, net income up 16.08% YoY, EPS up 17.60% YoY, and gross margin up 1.06% YoY, which supports a positive long-term growth story.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Technically, MACD remains below zero, so near-term momentum is not yet fully confirmed. Some analysts remain mixed, including Morgan Stanley's Underweight view, reflecting concern about earnings volatility and limited visibility.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2026/Q3. FedEx posted solid year-over-year improvement across the board, with revenue rising to $24.0B, up 8.30% YoY, net income up 16.08% YoY to $1.054B, EPS up 17.60% YoY to $4.41, and gross margin improving to 66.45% from a year ago. This indicates improving profitability and healthy operating momentum in the latest reported quarter.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is net positive and improving. Bernstein raised its target to $470 and keeps Outperform. TD Cowen raised its target to $426 and keeps Buy after strong fiscal 3Q results. UBS raised its target to $446 and keeps Buy. BofA raised its target to $440 and keeps Buy. Wells Fargo raised its target to $450 and keeps Overweight. Argus raised its target to $400 and keeps Buy. The main downside voice is Morgan Stanley, which remains Underweight with a much lower target of $230. Overall, Wall Street pros favor the stock, with more bulls than bears and higher price targets trending upward.

Wall Street analysts forecast FDX stock price to fall
20 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FDX stock price to fall
13 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 375.930
sliders
Low
210
Averages
315.05
High
365
Current: 375.930
sliders
Low
210
Averages
315.05
High
365
Bernstein
NULL
to
Outperform
maintain
$457 -> $470
AI Analysis
2026-04-09
Reason
Bernstein
Price Target
$457 -> $470
AI Analysis
2026-04-09
maintain
NULL
to
Outperform
Reason
Bernstein raised the firm's price target on FedEx to $470 from $457 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm notes FedEx Freight held a well-subscribed investor day in New York, laying out a fairly conservative financial plan that implies the combined entity remains undervalued.
Wolfe Research
Scott Group
Outperform
maintain
$427 -> $423
2026-04-07
Reason
Wolfe Research
Scott Group
Price Target
$427 -> $423
2026-04-07
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Wolfe Research analyst Scott Group lowered the firm's price target on FedEx to $423 from $427 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares in conjunction with the firm updating EPS estimates across its transport coverage ahead of Q1 earnings. The recent strength in truckload spot rates is "clearly positive for broad transport fundamentals," but in the near term, transports face Q1 EPS risk due to a mix of bad weather, fuel lags and brokerage squeezes, the analyst tells investors.
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