Should You Buy FedEx Corp (FDX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
312.420
1 Day change
2.61%
52 Week Range
318.830
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/26
FedEx Corp (FDX) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown strong financial performance and positive long-term growth potential, the current technical indicators and analyst sentiment suggest a neutral stance. The stock is trading near its resistance levels, and the recent downgrade by Rothschild & Co Redburn reflects limited upside potential in the short term. Additionally, the lack of significant trading signals and recent price weakness make it less compelling as a buy right now.
Technical Analysis
The MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 44.826, showing no clear overbought or oversold conditions. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but the stock is trading below the pivot level of 309.054, with support at 301.575 and resistance at 316.534. This suggests limited upside potential in the short term.
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
The open interest put-call ratio of 1.27 indicates a slightly bearish sentiment, while the option volume put-call ratio of 0.77 suggests more call activity relative to puts, which is mildly bullish. However, the overall sentiment appears mixed.
Moving Average Consensus
Sell
0
Buy
12
Positive Catalysts
2026/01/26 00:06:38
Strong Q2 financial performance with revenue up 6.84% YoY, net income up 29.23% YoY, and EPS up 33.66% YoY.
Anticipated double-digit earnings growth by FY2027, as per Bank of America.
Freight spin-off planned for June 2026 could unlock additional value.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
2026/01/26 00:06:38
Recent downgrade by Rothschild & Co Redburn to Neutral, citing limited upside potential.
Cass Freight Index reported a 7.2% decline in shipments, indicating softness in the freight market.
Bearish MACD and price trading below pivot level.
Lack of recent congress trading data or significant hedge fund/insider activity.
Financial Performance
In Q2 2026, FedEx reported strong financials: Revenue increased to $23.469 billion (up 6.84% YoY), net income rose to $955 million (up 29.23% YoY), EPS grew to $4.05 (up 33.66% YoY), and gross margin improved to 66.59% (up 1.19% YoY). These results highlight solid operational performance and profitability improvements.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Analyst sentiment is mixed. Recent upgrades include BofA's Buy rating with a $365 price target and Wolfe Research's Outperform rating with a $347 target. However, Rothschild & Co Redburn downgraded the stock to Neutral with a $317 target, citing limited upside potential. The consensus reflects cautious optimism but suggests the stock is fairly valued at current levels.
Wall Street analysts forecast FDX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FDX is 315.05 USD with a low forecast of 210 USD and a high forecast of 365 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
20 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FDX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FDX is 315.05 USD with a low forecast of 210 USD and a high forecast of 365 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 304.470
Low
210
Averages
315.05
High
365
Current: 304.470
Low
210
Averages
315.05
High
365
Rothschild & Co Redburn
Buy -> Neutral
downgrade
$271
AI Analysis
2026-01-21
Reason
Rothschild & Co Redburn
Price Target
$271
AI Analysis
2026-01-21
downgrade
Buy -> Neutral
Reason
Rothschild & Co Redburn downgraded FedEx to Neutral from Buy with a $271 price target. The firm says current valuation levels fairly reflect the potential value creation from the spinoff of FedEx's freight division. Investor perception toward the less-than-truckload sector has tilted positive, bringing into focus FedEx's June spinoff while also driving group valuation higher, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Rothschild & Co Redburn
Buy -> Neutral
downgrade
$317
2026-01-21
Reason
Rothschild & Co Redburn
Price Target
$317
2026-01-21
downgrade
Buy -> Neutral
Reason
Rothschild & Co Redburn downgraded FedEx to Neutral from Buy with a $317 price target which offers 3% upside. The firm says current valuation levels fairly reflect the potential value creation from the spinoff of FedEx's freight division. Investor perception toward the less-than-truckload sector has tilted positive, bringing into focus FedEx's June spinoff while also driving group valuation higher, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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