Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of FedEx Corp(FDX) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of FedEx Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
| FY2026Q1 | 2025-09-18 | After Hours | 3.65 | 3.83 | +4.93 | 21.65B | 22.24B | +2.73 | +2.32 | +3.20 |
| - | 2025-06-24 | After Hours | 5.93 | 6.07 | +2.36 | 21.70B | 22.22B | +2.40 | -3.27 | -0.96 |
| FY2025Q3 | 2025-03-20 | After Hours | 4.65 | 4.51 | -3.01 | 21.88B | 22.16B | +1.27 | -6.45 | -0.93 |
| FY2025Q2 | 2024-12-19 | - | 3.90 | 4.05 | +3.85 | 22.09B | 21.97B | -0.57 | +1.00 | +2.01 |
| FY2025Q2 | 2024-12-19 | After Hours | 3.90 | 4.05 | +3.85 | 22.09B | 21.97B | -0.57 | -0.05 | +1.62 |
| FY2025Q1 | 2024-09-19 | After Hours | 4.82 | 3.60 | -25.31 | 21.91B | 21.58B | -1.53 | -15.23 | -11.34 |
| FY2024Q4 | 2024-06-25 | - | 5.34 | 5.41 | +1.31 | 22.06B | 22.10B | +0.19 | -0.05 | +16.44 |
| FY2024Q3 | 2024-03-21 | - | 3.49 | 3.86 | +10.60 | 22.08B | 21.74B | -1.55 | +1.87 | +10.73 |
| FY2024Q2 | 2023-12-19 | - | 4.14 | 3.99 | -3.62 | 22.43B | 22.17B | -1.16 | -0.68 | -10.62 |
| FY2024Q1 | 2023-09-20 | - | 3.70 | 4.55 | +22.97 | 21.83B | 21.68B | -0.70 | +0.21 | +4.56 |
FDX Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, FedEx Corp reported performance for FY2026Q1, announced on 2025-09-18. The company achieved an EPS of 3.83, compared to analyst estimates of 3.65 by 4.93% . Revenue for the quarter reached 22.24B compared to expectations of 21.65B by 2.73% .
The stock price reacted with a 2.32% one-day change and a 3.20% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in FedEx Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
FDX Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, FedEx Corp(FDX) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q2 project quarter revenue of 22.78B and an EPS of 4.03.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been Revise Upward by 2.59%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -2.07%. For the upcoming Q2 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 2.5% . These revisions correlate with a 20.35% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in FedEx Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between FDX's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2026
Revise Upward
+2.59%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
-2.07%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q2 2026
Revise Upward
+2.5%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+20.35%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2026
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2026:91.36B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2026:18.15
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Stock Price274.05
FDX Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
FedEx Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2026Q1 (2025-09-18,After Hours):
EPS: 3.83 (Actual) vs.3.65 (Estimate) (4.93%)
Revenue: 22.24B (Actual) vs. 21.65B (Estimate) (2.73%)
Price Reaction: 2.32%(1-Day), 3.20%(5-Day)
(2025-06-24,After Hours):
EPS: 6.07 (Actual) vs.5.93 (Estimate) (2.36%)
Revenue: 22.22B (Actual) vs. 21.70B (Estimate) (2.40%)
Price Reaction: -3.27%(1-Day), -0.96%(5-Day)
FY2025Q3 (2025-03-20,After Hours):
EPS: 4.51 (Actual) vs.4.65 (Estimate) (-3.01%)
Revenue: 22.16B (Actual) vs. 21.88B (Estimate) (1.27%)
Price Reaction: -6.45%(1-Day), -0.93%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how FDX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, FDX sees a -1.35% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.74% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.42%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in AUG/2025, the stock changed 2.32% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 6.98% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
FedEx Corp (FDX) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-09-18
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Basic financial performance shows positive trends in revenue and EPS growth, but is offset by significant headwinds from global trade and reduced demand. Product development and market strategy are promising with Network 2.0 and data monetization, yet uncertainties remain. The Q&A highlights concerns about trade headwinds and lack of specific guidance. Despite positive shareholder returns, overall sentiment is neutral due to these uncertainties and challenges.
FedEx Corp (FDX) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-06-24
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While there are positive developments like DRIVE savings and new healthcare revenue, the lowered EPS outlook and flat-to-down revenue expectations are concerning. The Q&A reveals uncertainties, particularly around tariffs and trade barriers, and management's lack of clarity on savings attribution. Positive factors like shareholder returns and strategic acquisitions are offset by weak guidance and potential headwinds. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, reflecting a balance between positive strategic moves and financial uncertainties.
FedEx Corp (FDX) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-03-22
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 17% increase in EPS and significant cost savings. The company is executing strategic initiatives like Network 2.0 and DRIVE savings, showing operational improvements. While there are concerns about inflation and freight, optimistic guidance and strategic plans indicate a positive outlook. Share repurchases and healthcare revenue growth further support this sentiment. Despite some uncertainties, the overall tone and strategic direction suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.
FedEx Corp (FDX) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-20
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong financial performance with revenue and EPS growth, significant share repurchases, and strategic initiatives like DRIVE and Network 2.0. However, inflationary pressures, weather impacts, and freight revenue decline pose challenges. The Q&A reveals concerns about inflation and unclear guidance, but optimism about future savings and strategic plans. The lack of market cap information limits the assessment of stock volatility, but overall, the factors suggest a neutral stock price movement in the short term.
FedEx Corporation (FDX) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-12-20
The earnings call summary indicates positive momentum with revenue and operating income growth, stable margins, and a significant share repurchase program. Despite competitive pressures and supply chain challenges, the company's strategic alliance with Nimble and investment in e-commerce are potential growth drivers. Although management was vague on some Q&A specifics, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strong financial performance and optimistic guidance.
FedEx Corporation (FDX) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-09-20
The earnings call reveals several negative factors: competitive pricing pressures, international yield headwinds, operational adjustments, and economic challenges, leading to declining revenues and profits. Although the DRIVE program promises savings, it has under-delivered so far. Q&A reveals cautious optimism but lacks clarity on key issues, contributing to uncertainty. Despite stock repurchases, the overall sentiment is negative due to weak financial performance and vague guidance, likely resulting in a negative stock price movement.
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FAQ
What were the key highlights of FDX’s latest earnings report for FY2026Q1?
How did FDX’s stock price react after the FY2026Q1 earnings release?
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for FDX for 2026/Q2?
How does FDX’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
What should investors expect from FDX’s next earnings report?