The chart below shows how CNQ performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CNQ sees a -0.77% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.48% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.15%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Record Production Achievements: 1. Strong Production Levels: Achieved average production of approximately 1.363 million BOEs in Q3 2024, including a record monthly production of approximately 529,000 barrels per day of SCO in August.
Operating Cost Reduction: 2. Top-Tier Operating Costs: Reported quarterly operating costs of CAD20.67 per barrel in oil sands mining and upgrading, a 7% decrease compared to Q3 2023, reflecting higher production volumes and lower energy costs.
Free Cash Flow Generation: 3. Significant Free Cash Flow Generation: Generated adjusted funds flow of CAD3.9 billion in Q3 2024, demonstrating robust financial performance and ability to return value to shareholders.
Shareholder Return Enhancement: 4. Increased Shareholder Returns: Returned CAD1.9 billion to shareholders in Q3 2024 through dividends and share buybacks, with a year-to-date total of approximately CAD6.7 billion.
Dividend Growth Announcement: 5. Dividend Increase: Announced a 7% increase in the quarterly dividend to CAD56.25 per share, marking the 25th consecutive year of dividend increases, reflecting confidence in sustainable free cash flow generation.
Negative
Natural Gas Production Decline: 1. Declining Natural Gas Production: North American natural gas production averaged 2 Bcf during Q3 2024, a decrease of 5% compared to Q3 2023, primarily due to previously announced deferrals and natural field declines.
Pelican Lake Production Decline: 2. Reduced Pelican Lake Production: Pelican Lake production averaged approximately 45,100 barrels per day in Q3 2024, down 4% from Q3 2023, reflecting low field declines from this long-life asset.
Decline in Crude Production: 3. Lower North American Light Crude Oil Production: North American light crude oil and NGL production averaged approximately 106,300 barrels per day in Q3 2024, down 3% from Q3 2023, primarily due to temporary processing facility outages and rail transportation restrictions.
Thermal Production Decline: 4. Decreased Thermal In Situ Production: Thermal in situ operations averaged just over 271,500 barrels per day in Q3 2024, down 5% from Q3 2023, primarily due to cyclical production nature and natural field declines.
Natural Gas Well Reduction: 5. Reduced Natural Gas Well Drilling: The company is now targeting to drill a total of 74 net natural gas wells in 2024, which is 17 fewer compared to the original budget, reflecting continued low natural gas prices.
Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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