RCL Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how RCL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, RCL sees a -5.55% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.00% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +3.98%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
RCL Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
3.76B
12.86%
-23.05%
Gross Margin
34.60%
5.94%
-18.91%
Operating Margin
16.81%
-5.98%
-49.79%
Net Margin
14.87%
77.66%
-34.84%
EPS
2.02
149.38%
-52.02%
No Data Available
RCL Earnings Analysis
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd Corporation (RCL.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Memorable Vacations Delivered: Record 8,600,000 memorable vacations delivered in 2024 with high customer satisfaction scores, showcasing strong demand and operational excellence.
Net Yield Growth: Achieved 11.6% net yield growth in 2024, significantly contributing to overall revenue performance and financial health.
Strong Operating Cash Flow: Generated over $5 billion in operating cash flow, reflecting robust cash generation capabilities and financial stability.
Earnings Per Share Growth: Adjusted earnings per share grew by 74% year over year, demonstrating effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Record Booking Momentum: Strong bookings for 2025, with the best five booking weeks in company history, indicating positive momentum and consumer confidence.
Negative
Increased Cruise Costs: Net cruise costs excluding fuel increased 13.5% in constant currency, driven entirely by a 300 basis points impact from higher stock-based compensation due to the rise in the stock price.
Earnings Guidance Pressure: Adjusted earnings per share guidance for 2025 includes a $0.65 headwind from foreign exchange and fuel rates, indicating potential pressure on profitability compared to previous expectations.
Yield Growth Outlook Constraints: The 2025 yield growth outlook is constrained by a tough comparison to the previous year's 11.6% growth, suggesting a slowdown in revenue growth momentum.
Capacity Growth Outlook: Capacity growth for 2025 is expected to be 5.4%, but the first quarter will see a negative impact of 300 basis points due to increased dry dock days, limiting operational efficiency.
Fleet Expansion Slowdown: The introduction of new ships in 2025 represents only 4% of total capacity growth, down from 8% in 2024, indicating a slowdown in fleet expansion and potential revenue generation.
RCL FAQs
How does RCL typically perform around its earnings report dates?
Is Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
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RCL Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Royal Caribbean Q4 2024 beats EPS forecasts
RCL.N
-2.44%Positive
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with a 74% EPS increase and robust cash flow, despite increased cruise costs. The Q&A highlighted strategic expansion into the river cruise market and optimistic booking trends. However, management's avoidance of specific pricing details could raise minor concerns. The commitment to shareholder returns, despite lack of specifics, adds a positive note. Given these factors, the stock is likely to experience a positive movement, particularly if the market cap is small, which would amplify reactions to these developments.
