Shopify Inc Drops on Cyber Monday Outage Impacting Sales
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 03 2024
0mins
Should l Buy SHOP?
Source: SeekingAlpha
Shopify Inc shares fell by 5.01%, crossing down the 5-day SMA due to a significant outage on Cyber Monday that hindered transactions for merchants.
The outage occurred during a peak shopping period, coinciding with projected U.S. online sales of $14.2 billion, which could lead to lost revenue for Shopify's merchants. User reports indicated widespread issues, peaking at 4,000 around 11:00 a.m.
This disruption raises concerns about customer satisfaction and potential attrition, threatening Shopify's competitive position in the e-commerce market.
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Analyst Views on SHOP
Wall Street analysts forecast SHOP stock price to rise
31 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
13 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 118.620
Low
140.00
Averages
180.62
High
200.00
Current: 118.620
Low
140.00
Averages
180.62
High
200.00
About SHOP
Shopify Inc. (Shopify) is a Canada-based global commerce company. The Company provides essential Internet infrastructure for commerce, offering tools to start, grow, market and manage a retail business of any size. It provides platforms and services that are engineered and delivers a shopping experience for consumers online, in store and everywhere in between. Its software enables merchants to run their business across all of their sales channels, including Web and mobile storefronts, physical retail locations, social media storefronts, and marketplaces. The Company's Shopify platform provides merchants with a single view of their business across all of their sales channels and enables them to manage products and inventory, process orders and payments, fulfill and ship orders, build customer relationships, source products, leverage analytics and reporting, and access financing, all from one integrated back office. The Shopify's platform operates across 175 countries.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Video Release Timing: The warning video was published on March 30, 2026, aimed at alerting investors to exercise caution in their investment decisions, particularly in the current uncertain economic environment.
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- Market Correction Timing: The Nasdaq Composite is currently in a market correction, down over 10% from its all-time high, and historical data indicates that such corrections have led to an average five-year return of 146%, presenting a favorable investment opportunity.
- Concentration Risk Warning: While the Invesco QQQ Trust has a reasonable expense ratio of 0.18%, its top ten holdings account for nearly 50% of its performance, prompting investors to carefully consider the concentration risk and potential price volatility.
See More
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- Historical Returns: The Nasdaq-100 has achieved a 103% average five-year total return over the past two decades, indicating that investors could potentially double their money in the next five years, thus drawing increased investor interest.
- Market Correction Opportunity: The Nasdaq Composite fell into correction territory last month, which historically has been viewed as a good time to invest; after 13 market corrections, the Nasdaq-100's five-year total returns averaged 146%, suggesting a favorable outlook.
- AI-Driven Growth: The Invesco QQQ Trust is heavily invested in AI-related stocks, with over 80% of its assets concentrated in technology and consumer discretionary sectors, which are expected to perform well due to the rise of artificial intelligence, enhancing its investment appeal.
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- Technological Investment: Nebius will provide Meta with $12 billion worth of computing capacity using Nvidia's latest Vera Rubin chips, a technological choice that will significantly enhance Meta's competitiveness in the AI space, ensuring it stays ahead in technological advancements.
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See More
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- AI Infrastructure Partnership: Dutch company Nebius has signed a significant AI infrastructure deal worth up to $27 billion with Meta Platforms, ensuring Meta has sufficient computing power for its AI model development over the next five years, highlighting Meta's ambitions in the AI space.
- Market Validation: The contract's value exceeds Nebius's valuation from the previous day, solidifying its position as an emerging cloud service provider and demonstrating the viability of its business model, attracting more investor interest.
- Technological Investment: Meta will utilize Nvidia's latest Vera Rubin chips, expected to provide $12 billion worth of computing capacity starting in 2027, which not only enhances Meta's technological capabilities but also presents significant revenue growth potential for Nebius.
- Retail Performance Highlights: Dollar Tree reported $5.5 billion in revenue for Q4 2025, a 9% year-over-year increase, successfully attracting more consumers by introducing higher-priced items (such as $3, $5, and $7), demonstrating its resilience during economic uncertainty.
See More
Warning on Shopify Stock Overvaluation
- Investor Warning: I expressed concerns about Shopify's stock valuation, indicating that it may be overvalued heading into 2026, potentially exposing investors to risks, especially amid increasing market volatility.
- Market Price Analysis: As of the afternoon of March 28, 2026, Shopify's stock price reached elevated levels, reflecting an overly optimistic market expectation for its future growth that may not align with actual performance.
- Video Release Timing: The warning video was published on March 30, 2026, aimed at alerting investors to exercise caution in their investment decisions, particularly in the current uncertain economic environment.
- Long-term Impact Assessment: Should Shopify's stock fail to meet growth expectations, it could lead to a decline in investor confidence, adversely affecting its market performance and company valuation, thereby impacting the overall stability of investment portfolios.
See More
Affirm: Stability or Increased Uncertainty on the Horizon?
Company Overview: Affirm Holdings is a key player in the buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) sector, reporting significant growth in gross merchandise volume, revenue, and net income in its recent quarterly results.
Financial Performance: The company achieved a gross merchandise volume of $13.8 billion, a 36% increase year-over-year, with revenue climbing 30% to $1.12 billion and net income rising 61% to $130 million.
Market Position and Risks: Despite strong financials, analysts express caution due to potential credit risks and competition from established players like PayPal and Klarna, as well as rising delinquency rates in the credit market.
Investment Outlook: Affirm is seen as a high-risk, high-reward investment, with analysts generally bullish on its growth potential, but investors are advised to be wary of associated risks before investing.
See More
