HOG.N Hits 20-Day Low Amid Analyst Downgrades
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 27 2025
0mins
Should l Buy HOG?
Source: SeekingAlpha
Shares of HOG.N declined sharply today, hitting a 20-day low as investor sentiment soured following recent analyst downgrades. Morgan Stanley lowered its price target for Harley-Davidson from $25 to $21, maintaining an Underweight rating, which has contributed to the stock's bearish momentum. This technical breakdown signals a potential shift in market perception, with traders now closely monitoring further developments. The overall market environment remains mixed, as other stocks like Baidu and Eli Lilly received upgrades, contrasting with Harley-Davidson's struggles.
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Analyst Views on HOG
Wall Street analysts forecast HOG stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 20.350
Low
32.00
Averages
32.67
High
34.00
Current: 20.350
Low
32.00
Averages
32.67
High
34.00
About HOG
Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company of Harley-Davidson Motor Company and Harley-Davidson Financial Services. The Company operates through three segments: Harley-Davidson Motor Company (HDMC), LiveWire, and Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS). The HDMC segment designs, manufactures and sells Harley-Davidson motorcycles. The HDMC segment also sells motorcycle parts, accessories, and apparel as well as licenses its trademarks. The HDMC segment conducts business on a global basis, with sales in the United States, Canada, Europe/Middle East/Africa, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The LiveWire segment sells electric motorcycles, electric balance bikes for kids, parts and accessories and apparel in the United States and certain international markets. The HDFS segment is engaged in the business of financing and servicing wholesale inventory receivables and retail consumer loans, primarily for the purchase of Harley-Davidson and LiveWire motorcycles.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Payment Date: The dividend will be payable on March 17, 2026, to shareholders of record as of March 2, 2026, ensuring timely returns for shareholders and further solidifying the relationship between the company and its investors.
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See More
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- Inventory Management Challenges: While North American retail sales grew by 5%, dealer inventory fell by 17% year-over-year, failing to fully alleviate high inventory issues, leading management to express caution regarding future profitability and cost control.
- Cost-Saving Initiatives: Management anticipates achieving at least $150 million in annual savings starting in 2027, aimed at improving financial health through operational optimization and cost reduction, although short-term profit pressures remain a concern.
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See More
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- Revenue and Shipment Trends: Global motorcycle shipments decreased 4% year-over-year, with revenue down 10% due to lower volumes, net pricing, and higher incentive spending, as motorcycle revenue fell 16%, parts and accessories dropped 1%, apparel declined 13%, while licensing revenue surged 61%.
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See More
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See More
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- Market Overreaction: Following Algorhythm Holdings' claim that its AI platform could increase freight volumes by 300% to 400%, C.H. Robinson's stock plummeted 14.5%, marking its largest single-day loss in over six years, indicating a panic-driven sell-off that may not reflect the company's fundamentals.
- Leadership Confidence: C.H. Robinson CEO Dave Bozeman emphasized the company's leadership in AI, maintaining strong growth rates despite an ongoing freight recession, suggesting that the company is well-positioned for continued profitability over the next two years.
- Analyst Support: JPMorgan analyst Brian Ossenbeck reaffirmed confidence in C.H. Robinson post-sell-off, noting the company's differentiated business model, although AI-related risks may impact stock performance in the short term, the fundamentals remain intact.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: Bozeman expressed excitement about the next two years, highlighting the company's efforts to enhance operating profits through AI, indicating that C.H. Robinson will continue to play a significant role in the logistics sector.
See More
Harley-Davidson Announces Quarterly Dividend Increase
- Quarterly Dividend Increase: Harley-Davidson declares a quarterly dividend of $0.1875 per share, marking a 4.2% increase from the previous $0.1800, indicating the company's effort to maintain cash flow stability amid declining sales.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield stands at 3.67%, reflecting the company's commitment to shareholder returns despite facing strategic resets and sales challenges in the current economic climate.
- Dividend Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on March 17, with a record date of March 2 and an ex-dividend date also on March 2, ensuring shareholders receive timely returns and bolstering investor confidence.
- Future Strategic Adjustments: Harley-Davidson aims to achieve $150 million in cost savings by 2026 and is focusing on aligning retail and wholesale strategies to address inventory resets, aiming to improve overall financial performance.
See More
Harley-Davidson Announces Q1 2026 Cash Dividend
- Dividend Announcement: Harley-Davidson's Board of Directors has approved a cash dividend of $0.1875 per share for Q1 2026, reflecting the company's ongoing performance in maintaining stable cash flow and profitability, which enhances investor confidence.
- Payment Date: The dividend will be payable on March 17, 2026, to shareholders of record as of March 2, 2026, ensuring timely returns for shareholders and further solidifying the relationship between the company and its investors.
- Shareholder Value: By implementing this dividend policy, Harley-Davidson not only rewards its shareholders but also demonstrates confidence in its future financial health, potentially attracting more long-term investors.
- Company Overview: Harley-Davidson serves as the parent company of Harley-Davidson Motor Company and Harley-Davidson Financial Services, and this dividend reflects its leadership position in the motorcycle industry and robust financial foundation.
See More
Harley-Davidson Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Sales and Revenue Decline: Harley-Davidson reported a 28% year-over-year decline in consolidated revenue for Q4, totaling $4.5 billion, primarily driven by a 10% drop in HDMC revenue and a staggering 59% decrease in HDFS revenue, indicating significant market pressures.
- Inventory Management Challenges: While North American retail sales grew by 5%, dealer inventory fell by 17% year-over-year, failing to fully alleviate high inventory issues, leading management to express caution regarding future profitability and cost control.
- Cost-Saving Initiatives: Management anticipates achieving at least $150 million in annual savings starting in 2027, aimed at improving financial health through operational optimization and cost reduction, although short-term profit pressures remain a concern.
- 2026 Outlook: Management views 2026 as a transition year, forecasting operating income between $10 million and a loss of $40 million, while facing new tariff costs estimated between $75 million and $105 million, reflecting ongoing uncertainties ahead.
See More
Harley-Davidson Earnings Snapshot Highlights
- Global Sales Performance: Harley-Davidson's global motorcycle retail sales fell 1% year-over-year, with North America up 5% driven by touring models, while Latin America grew 10% supported by Brazil and Mexico; however, EMEA sales dropped 24% and APAC fell 1%, with China remaining soft.
- Revenue and Shipment Trends: Global motorcycle shipments decreased 4% year-over-year, with revenue down 10% due to lower volumes, net pricing, and higher incentive spending, as motorcycle revenue fell 16%, parts and accessories dropped 1%, apparel declined 13%, while licensing revenue surged 61%.
- Financial Losses: The segment reported a gross loss of $30 million compared to a $3 million loss a year ago, primarily due to rising tariffs and ongoing pricing and incentive pressures, indicating challenges in cost management for the company.
- Share Buyback Plan: Harley-Davidson announced a $200 million accelerated share repurchase agreement with Goldman Sachs, with final settlement expected in Q2 2026, reflecting the company's proactive approach to shareholder returns despite facing operational losses.
See More
HARLEY CEO: MANAGEMENT TEAM IS FOCUSING THE COMPANY ON A DEFINITE PRIORITY
- Leadership Focus: The CEO of Harley is emphasizing the importance of reorienting the leadership team to align with the company's core priorities.
- Strategic Direction: The leadership team is tasked with clarifying and prioritizing the company's goals to enhance overall performance and direction.
See More
