Arm Holdings Licensing Revenue Misses Estimates, Shares Drop
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 09 2026
0mins
Should l Buy ARM?
Source: CNBC
Arm Holdings PLC shares fell 6.10% in pre-market trading, hitting a 20-day low, following disappointing licensing revenue results.
Despite reporting a 26% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.24 billion for Q3, Arm's licensing revenue of $505 million fell short of Wall Street's expectations of $519.9 million. This shortfall raised concerns about future growth, particularly as the company faces challenges in smartphone production and relies heavily on royalties from consumer products.
The market reaction indicates skepticism about Arm's ability to meet its projected licensing revenue growth of up to 20% in Q4, amid a cautious economic climate. Investors are closely monitoring the company's efforts to diversify into AI chips for data centers, which may provide some support for future revenue growth.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy ARM?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on ARM
Wall Street analysts forecast ARM stock price to rise
24 Analyst Rating
19 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 127.240
Low
120.00
Averages
160.58
High
201.00
Current: 127.240
Low
120.00
Averages
160.58
High
201.00
About ARM
Arm Holdings plc is engaged in operating a global computing platform. It architects, develops, and licenses high-performance and energy-efficient Arm compute platforms. The Company’s principal operations and activities are the licensing, marketing, research and development of central processing unit (CPU) design intellectual property (IP), graphics processors, system IP, market optimized platform IP, and associated software, tools and other related services. Its complementary products include GPU and NPU accelerators, interconnect, and others. Its primary product offerings are CPU products that address diverse performance, power, and cost requirements. It offers a family of GPU and NPU products providing efficient computing acceleration and an optimal visual experience across a wide range of devices. Its CPU, GPU, and System IP products integrated into a foundational compute platform optimized for a specific end market.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Druckenmiller Sells AI Stocks, Boosts Alphabet Stake
- AI Stock Reductions: Druckenmiller sold shares of four hot AI stocks, including 76,100 shares of Meta, 166,235 of Sandisk, 85,900 of Seagate, and 167,900 of Arm Holdings during Q4, indicating a preference for profit-taking and potential concerns about an AI bubble.
- Portfolio Adjustments: At the end of the quarter, Druckenmiller's portfolio consisted of 62 positions held for an average of about 7.5 months, demonstrating his flexible strategy to navigate market volatility and mitigate risks.
- Increased Alphabet Holdings: Druckenmiller significantly increased his stake in Alphabet by purchasing 282,800 shares, a 277% increase, reflecting his confidence in the company's long-term growth potential, particularly in advertising and cloud computing.
- Cloud Computing Growth: Alphabet's cloud segment achieved 48% sales growth in Q4, expected to become a core cash flow driver in the coming years, further solidifying its competitive position in the market.
See More
Nvidia Plans $30 Billion Investment in OpenAI Amid Funding Round
- Massive Investment: Nvidia is in discussions to invest up to $30 billion in OpenAI, potentially valuing the AI startup at $730 billion, reflecting strong market confidence in AI technologies.
- Complex Investment Background: This investment is separate from the $100 billion infrastructure agreement announced in September, which involves Nvidia gradually investing in OpenAI to support the rollout of its supercomputing facilities over the coming years.
- Investment Uncertainty: Although Nvidia's $30 billion investment is not finalized and details are still subject to change, company executives have indicated a commitment to participate in OpenAI's next funding round, highlighting ongoing interest in the AI sector.
- Accelerated Fundraising Discussions: OpenAI is also engaging with other investors for fundraising discussions, with total funding potentially reaching $100 billion, indicating strong market interest and confidence in its future development.
See More
US Stock Market Under Pressure Amid AI Outlook Concerns
- Market Weakness: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.26%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 0.28%, and the Nasdaq 100 by 0.34%, reflecting market concerns over the outlook for artificial intelligence, particularly with poor performances from chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks.
- Mixed Economic Data: Initial jobless claims in the US fell by 23,000 to 206,000, marking a 5-week low and indicating a strong labor market; however, the December trade deficit widened to $70.3 billion, exceeding expectations and suggesting challenges in economic recovery.
- Earnings Season Nearing End: Over 75% of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 75% exceeding expectations, and Q4 earnings growth is projected at 8.4%, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth, demonstrating resilience in corporate earnings.
- Geopolitical Risks Intensify: WTI crude oil prices rose over 2% to a three-week high due to military buildup in the Middle East, potentially increasing inflationary pressures, which could affect market sentiment and investor confidence.
See More
US Stocks Decline Amid AI Outlook Concerns
- Market Decline: The S&P 500 Index fell by 0.44%, the Dow Jones by 0.57%, and the Nasdaq 100 by 0.66%, reflecting market concerns over the outlook for artificial intelligence, particularly impacting chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks.
- Mixed Economic Data: Weekly initial jobless claims dropped to 206,000, a five-week low, indicating a strong labor market; however, the December trade deficit widened to $70.3 billion, exceeding expectations, suggesting economic pressures that could affect market confidence.
- Earnings Season Nearing End: Over 75% of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 75% exceeding expectations, and Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, providing some support for the market, although overall sentiment remains cautious.
- Geopolitical Risks Intensify: WTI crude oil prices rose over 1% to a three-week high due to U.S. military buildup in the Middle East, heightening inflation concerns and potentially increasing expectations for Fed rate hikes.
See More
Fed Meeting Minutes Reveal Policy Divisions Among Officials
- Fed Policy Divisions: The minutes released on Wednesday indicate that most Federal Reserve officials agreed to hold interest rates steady at the January meeting, yet there were disagreements on the future monetary policy path, with some prioritizing labor market support over inflation control, potentially impacting future rate decisions.
- Market Expectation Shifts: Traders estimate a roughly 50% chance of the Fed cutting rates in June, suggesting a shift in market expectations regarding future interest rate movements, which could influence investor decisions and market volatility.
- AI Summit Highlights: At the AI Impact Summit in India, business leaders including OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai attended, with Adani announcing a $100 billion investment in AI data centers in India, showcasing a strong commitment to the AI sector.
- ECB Leadership Change: European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde plans to resign before her term ends in October 2027, allowing French President Emmanuel Macron to influence her successor, a move that has led to the Stoxx 600 index hitting a record high, reflecting market optimism about future policies.
See More
Federal Reserve Minutes Reveal Policy Divisions
- Rate Policy Disagreement: The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes reveal divisions among officials, with some prioritizing labor market support over inflation control, indicating potential uncertainty in market expectations regarding future rate movements.
- Positive Market Reaction: Major U.S. indexes rose on Wednesday, driven by tech stocks, with Nvidia shares climbing after Meta announced it would utilize the chipmaker's next-generation systems, highlighting the tech sector's strong performance's positive impact on the overall market.
- Oil Price Surge: Oil prices jumped over 4% after U.S. Vice President JD Vance stated that Iran is not yet willing to acknowledge certain
See More
Druckenmiller Sells AI Stocks, Boosts Alphabet Stake
- AI Stock Reductions: Druckenmiller sold shares of four hot AI stocks, including 76,100 shares of Meta, 166,235 of Sandisk, 85,900 of Seagate, and 167,900 of Arm Holdings during Q4, indicating a preference for profit-taking and potential concerns about an AI bubble.
- Portfolio Adjustments: At the end of the quarter, Druckenmiller's portfolio consisted of 62 positions held for an average of about 7.5 months, demonstrating his flexible strategy to navigate market volatility and mitigate risks.
- Increased Alphabet Holdings: Druckenmiller significantly increased his stake in Alphabet by purchasing 282,800 shares, a 277% increase, reflecting his confidence in the company's long-term growth potential, particularly in advertising and cloud computing.
- Cloud Computing Growth: Alphabet's cloud segment achieved 48% sales growth in Q4, expected to become a core cash flow driver in the coming years, further solidifying its competitive position in the market.
See More
Nvidia Plans $30 Billion Investment in OpenAI Amid Funding Round
- Massive Investment: Nvidia is in discussions to invest up to $30 billion in OpenAI, potentially valuing the AI startup at $730 billion, reflecting strong market confidence in AI technologies.
- Complex Investment Background: This investment is separate from the $100 billion infrastructure agreement announced in September, which involves Nvidia gradually investing in OpenAI to support the rollout of its supercomputing facilities over the coming years.
- Investment Uncertainty: Although Nvidia's $30 billion investment is not finalized and details are still subject to change, company executives have indicated a commitment to participate in OpenAI's next funding round, highlighting ongoing interest in the AI sector.
- Accelerated Fundraising Discussions: OpenAI is also engaging with other investors for fundraising discussions, with total funding potentially reaching $100 billion, indicating strong market interest and confidence in its future development.
See More
US Stock Market Under Pressure Amid AI Outlook Concerns
- Market Weakness: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.26%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 0.28%, and the Nasdaq 100 by 0.34%, reflecting market concerns over the outlook for artificial intelligence, particularly with poor performances from chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks.
- Mixed Economic Data: Initial jobless claims in the US fell by 23,000 to 206,000, marking a 5-week low and indicating a strong labor market; however, the December trade deficit widened to $70.3 billion, exceeding expectations and suggesting challenges in economic recovery.
- Earnings Season Nearing End: Over 75% of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 75% exceeding expectations, and Q4 earnings growth is projected at 8.4%, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth, demonstrating resilience in corporate earnings.
- Geopolitical Risks Intensify: WTI crude oil prices rose over 2% to a three-week high due to military buildup in the Middle East, potentially increasing inflationary pressures, which could affect market sentiment and investor confidence.
See More
US Stocks Decline Amid AI Outlook Concerns
- Market Decline: The S&P 500 Index fell by 0.44%, the Dow Jones by 0.57%, and the Nasdaq 100 by 0.66%, reflecting market concerns over the outlook for artificial intelligence, particularly impacting chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks.
- Mixed Economic Data: Weekly initial jobless claims dropped to 206,000, a five-week low, indicating a strong labor market; however, the December trade deficit widened to $70.3 billion, exceeding expectations, suggesting economic pressures that could affect market confidence.
- Earnings Season Nearing End: Over 75% of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 75% exceeding expectations, and Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, providing some support for the market, although overall sentiment remains cautious.
- Geopolitical Risks Intensify: WTI crude oil prices rose over 1% to a three-week high due to U.S. military buildup in the Middle East, heightening inflation concerns and potentially increasing expectations for Fed rate hikes.
See More
Fed Meeting Minutes Reveal Policy Divisions Among Officials
- Fed Policy Divisions: The minutes released on Wednesday indicate that most Federal Reserve officials agreed to hold interest rates steady at the January meeting, yet there were disagreements on the future monetary policy path, with some prioritizing labor market support over inflation control, potentially impacting future rate decisions.
- Market Expectation Shifts: Traders estimate a roughly 50% chance of the Fed cutting rates in June, suggesting a shift in market expectations regarding future interest rate movements, which could influence investor decisions and market volatility.
- AI Summit Highlights: At the AI Impact Summit in India, business leaders including OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai attended, with Adani announcing a $100 billion investment in AI data centers in India, showcasing a strong commitment to the AI sector.
- ECB Leadership Change: European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde plans to resign before her term ends in October 2027, allowing French President Emmanuel Macron to influence her successor, a move that has led to the Stoxx 600 index hitting a record high, reflecting market optimism about future policies.
See More
Federal Reserve Minutes Reveal Policy Divisions
- Rate Policy Disagreement: The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes reveal divisions among officials, with some prioritizing labor market support over inflation control, indicating potential uncertainty in market expectations regarding future rate movements.
- Positive Market Reaction: Major U.S. indexes rose on Wednesday, driven by tech stocks, with Nvidia shares climbing after Meta announced it would utilize the chipmaker's next-generation systems, highlighting the tech sector's strong performance's positive impact on the overall market.
- Oil Price Surge: Oil prices jumped over 4% after U.S. Vice President JD Vance stated that Iran is not yet willing to acknowledge certain
See More
