Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Q4 Earnings Miss Expectations
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals' stock fell 3.67% as it hit a 20-day low amid disappointing earnings results.
The company reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.25, missing expectations by $0.25, which raises concerns about profitability and investor confidence. Additionally, revenue growth of 83.8% year-over-year to $1.09 billion fell short of expectations by $70 million, indicating weaker market demand than anticipated. Despite projecting total TTR net product revenues between $4.4 billion and $4.7 billion for 2026, the cautious outlook reflects ongoing market dynamics that could impact future strategies.
These results may lead to a reassessment of Alnylam's market position, especially as it prepares for future earnings announcements and navigates investor sentiment.
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- Evolving M&A Strategies: Pharmaceutical companies are increasingly prioritizing clinical-stage and late-stage programs, particularly those supported by clear human data, indicating a market preference for mature assets that demonstrate safety and efficacy.
- OT-101 IP Expansion: Oncotelic Therapeutics recently announced the expansion of international intellectual property coverage for OT-101, enhancing protection across neurology, oncology, and CNS drug delivery technologies, thereby solidifying its market position in these areas.
- Importance of Clinical Validation: Biopharmaceutical deal activity reflects a growing preference for programs that have achieved clinical validation, particularly in oncology and CNS, highlighting investors' focus on reducing development risks associated with drug discovery.
- Cross-Applicability Platforms: Oncotelic's TGF-β modulation strategy illustrates its broad application potential across oncology and neurological diseases, indicating the company's pursuit of greater market opportunities across multiple indications, thereby enhancing its long-term strategic value.
- Price Target Adjustment: Morgan Stanley lowered Alnylam Pharmaceuticals' price target from $408 to $360 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating, indicating increased confidence in the company's fourth-quarter revenue and 2026 TTR sales guidance despite near-term pressures.
- RBC Capital's Downgrade: On the same day, RBC Capital reduced its price target from $465 to $450, keeping an Outperform rating, acknowledging strong commercial execution in 2025 while noting the company faces near-term headwinds but remains a high-quality firm.
- Market Opportunity: RBC Capital highlighted that 80% of the 300,000 global TTR-CM patients remain undiagnosed, presenting a significant market opportunity for Alnylam to capture and expand its market share.
- Business Expansion Strategy: Alnylam aims to grow beyond its TTR franchise by targeting treatments for Huntington's disease, obesity, and HHT, demonstrating the company's strategic intent to diversify its product offerings.
- Analyst Upgrade: Ilya Zubkov of Freedom Capital Markets upgraded Alnylam's rating from hold to buy, despite lowering the price target to $410, reflecting confidence in the company's growth potential, particularly driven by strong sales of the Amvuttra drug.
- Stock Price Surge: On the first day of the holiday-shortened trading week, Alnylam's stock rose over 6% to $332.66, indicating a positive market reaction to the analysts' bullish comments, which bolstered investor confidence in the company's outlook.
- Performance Discrepancy: Although Alnylam exceeded earnings expectations for Q4 and full-year 2025, the revenue fell short of consensus estimates, disappointing investors; analysts believe the market's reaction was overly harsh.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Whitney Ijem from Canaccord Genuity also raised Alnylam's price target to $429, emphasizing the strong sales momentum of Amvuttra, which is expected to continue driving growth for the company, despite potential pricing pressures in the future.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported nearly $1.1 billion in Q4 2025 revenue, nearly doubling year-over-year, indicating strong performance in the biotech sector, yet falling short of the $1.15 billion analyst forecast.
- Substantial Net Income Increase: The company’s non-GAAP net income soared to $169.8 million, or $1.25 per share, a significant rise from just over $8 million a year ago, surpassing the analyst estimate of $1.19 per share, reflecting a marked improvement in profitability.
- Key Product Sales Driver: The net sales of Amvuttra accounted for 83% of the company’s net product revenue, with the drug receiving FDA approval in March 2025 for treating transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy, driving robust sales and demonstrating strong market demand.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Alnylam projects total revenue for 2026 to be between $5.3 billion and $5.8 billion, with the analyst consensus at $5.55 billion, but did not provide a net income forecast, indicating uncertainty regarding future profitability.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported nearly $1.1 billion in revenue for Q4 and full-year 2025, nearly doubling year-over-year, although it fell short of the $1.15 billion analyst forecast, indicating strong performance in the biotech sector.
- Substantial Net Income Increase: The company's non-GAAP net income surged to approximately $169.8 million, or $1.25 per share, compared to just over $8 million last year, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.19 per share, reflecting improved profitability.
- Amvuttra Revenue Driver: The net sales of Amvuttra accounted for 83% of Alnylam's net product revenue, highlighting the strong market demand for this drug in treating transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy, which is crucial for the company's growth.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Alnylam is guiding for total revenue between $5.3 billion and $5.8 billion for 2026, with the analyst consensus at $5.55 billion, indicating confidence in the sales potential of its new indication despite not providing a net income forecast.

- Financial Overview: The total net product revenue for the company is projected to be between $4.9 billion and $5.3 billion.
- Market Expectations: This revenue forecast indicates a positive outlook for the company's performance in the pharmaceutical sector.








