The Unexpected Advantage Credit Card Companies Find in Economic Recessions
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 11 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Credit Card Functionality: Credit cards serve as a revolving credit facility for consumers, allowing them to make purchases with the promise of future repayment, while banks issue the cards and process transactions through companies like Visa and Mastercard, which do not bear credit risk.
Impact of Economic Downturns: While Visa and Mastercard are not immune to recessions, they may benefit from increased transaction volume as consumers rely on credit cards during tough financial times, making them more resilient compared to banks and other credit card issuers that carry credit risk.
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Analyst Views on COF
Wall Street analysts forecast COF stock price to rise
19 Analyst Rating
16 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 185.730
Low
256.00
Averages
280.42
High
310.00
Current: 185.730
Low
256.00
Averages
280.42
High
310.00
About COF
Capital One Financial Corporation is a diversified financial services holding company with banking and non-banking subsidiaries. The Company offers a broad spectrum of financial products and services to consumers, small businesses and commercial clients through a variety of channels. It operates through three segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking and Commercial Banking. The Credit Card segment consists of its domestic consumer and small business card lending, and international card businesses in the United Kingdom and Canada. The Consumer Banking segment consists of its deposit gathering and lending activities for consumers and small businesses, and national auto lending. The Commercial Banking segment consists of its lending, deposit gathering, capital markets and treasury management services to commercial real estate and commercial and industrial customers. Its principal operating subsidiary is Capital One, National Association, which offers banking products and financial services.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Ownership Analysis: This acquisition positions Globalstar to account for 4.14% of the fund's 13F reportable assets, although it does not rank among the top five holdings, it still signifies its importance within the investment portfolio.
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- Dividend History: The dividend history chart for COF.PRN shows a fixed dividend rate of 4.25%, providing a stable income source for investors, which may still attract those seeking fixed returns despite the current price decline.
- Market Reaction: The slight decline in preferred shares contrasts with the stable performance of common shares, potentially reflecting a shift in investor risk assessment, particularly in the context of increasing market uncertainty.
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See More
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- Dividend History: The dividend history chart for COF.PRL illustrates its historical dividend payments, highlighting its potential for providing stable cash flow, especially during heightened market volatility, which could enhance the appeal of preferred shares.
- Market Sentiment: Despite the relatively better performance of preferred shares, the overall market sentiment remains negative, reflecting investor concerns about economic prospects, which may lead to capital outflows and increased stock price volatility.
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See More
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- Ownership Analysis: This acquisition positions Globalstar at 4.14% of the fund's 13F reportable assets, although it does not rank among the top five holdings, it still signifies its importance within the investment portfolio.
- Strong Market Performance: As of February 13, 2026, Globalstar's share price stood at $60.06, reflecting a remarkable 171.8% increase over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 by 160 percentage points, showcasing optimistic market expectations for future growth.
- Broad Industry Outlook: As a leading provider of mobile satellite services, Globalstar's focus on expanding 5G and IoT capabilities positions it to benefit from the ongoing demand for remote connectivity, particularly in critical sectors such as maritime transport and energy operations.
See More
140 Summer Partners LP Acquires Stake in Globalstar
- New Investment Disclosure: On February 13, 2026, 140 Summer Partners LP disclosed a new stake in Globalstar, acquiring 917,500 shares valued at approximately $56 million, indicating confidence in the company's prospects.
- Ownership Analysis: This acquisition positions Globalstar to account for 4.14% of the fund's 13F reportable assets, although it does not rank among the top five holdings, it still signifies its importance within the investment portfolio.
- Stock Performance: As of February 13, 2026, Globalstar's shares were priced at $60.06, reflecting a 171.8% increase over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 by 160 percentage points, showcasing strong market optimism for its future growth.
- Market Positioning: As a leading provider of mobile satellite services, Globalstar focuses on expanding its 5G and IoT capabilities to meet mission-critical connectivity needs, underscoring its strategic significance in the satellite communications landscape.
See More
Olema Pharmaceuticals and Capital One See High Options Trading Volume
- Olema Options Volume: Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc saw options trading volume of 6,864 contracts, equating to approximately 686,400 shares, which represents about 55.1% of its average daily trading volume of 1.2 million shares over the past month, indicating heightened market interest in its future performance.
- High Put Option Activity: Notably, the $14 strike put option expiring on April 17, 2026, has seen 2,044 contracts traded today, representing around 204,400 underlying shares, suggesting increased investor expectations for a price decline.
- Capital One Options Trading: Capital One Financial Corp experienced options trading volume of 27,954 contracts, translating to approximately 2.8 million shares, or about 51.7% of its average daily trading volume of 5.4 million shares over the past month, reflecting market attention on its stock volatility.
- Active Put Option Trading: Particularly, the $220 strike put option expiring on March 20, 2026, has recorded 4,806 contracts traded today, representing about 480,600 underlying shares, indicating a cautious outlook from investors regarding Capital One's future performance.
See More
Analysis of Capital One Financial Corp's Preferred Shares Performance
- Stock Performance: Capital One Financial Corp's 4.25% preferred shares (COF.PRN) are down approximately 0.5% in Monday trading, while common shares (COF) remain flat, indicating relative weakness of preferred shares amid market fluctuations.
- Dividend History: The dividend history chart for COF.PRN shows a fixed dividend rate of 4.25%, providing a stable income source for investors, which may still attract those seeking fixed returns despite the current price decline.
- Market Reaction: The slight decline in preferred shares contrasts with the stable performance of common shares, potentially reflecting a shift in investor risk assessment, particularly in the context of increasing market uncertainty.
- Investor Perspectives: While the author's views do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, the market's perception of Capital One Financial's preferred shares could influence future investment decisions, especially regarding dividend payments and capital preservation.
See More
Analysis of Capital One Preferred Shares Performance
- Stock Performance: On Monday, Capital One Financial Corp's 4.375% preferred shares (COF.PRL) fell approximately 0.8%, while common shares (COF) dropped about 3.8%, indicating the preferred shares' relative resilience, which may attract investors seeking stable income.
- Dividend History: The dividend history chart for COF.PRL illustrates its historical dividend payments, highlighting its potential for providing stable cash flow, especially during heightened market volatility, which could enhance the appeal of preferred shares.
- Market Sentiment: Despite the relatively better performance of preferred shares, the overall market sentiment remains negative, reflecting investor concerns about economic prospects, which may lead to capital outflows and increased stock price volatility.
- Investor Perspectives: The views and opinions expressed in the article do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc., suggesting that investors should consider multiple information sources when making decisions to comprehensively assess investment risks.
See More
Layoff Wave Intensifies Economic Concerns
- Morgan Stanley Layoffs: Morgan Stanley announced layoffs of approximately 2,500 employees, representing 3% of its global workforce, reflecting pressures in investment banking and wealth management that could impact its future market competitiveness.
- Oracle's Planned Cuts: Oracle is reportedly planning significant layoffs across multiple divisions, driven by rising costs associated with its AI data center buildout, indicating the company's struggle to balance technology investment with cost control.
- Capital One Job Reductions: Capital One laid off over 1,100 employees at its former Discover headquarters in Illinois, marking the second wave of cuts following last year's acquisition of Discover, highlighting challenges in merger integration that may affect its market share.
- Deteriorating Employment Data: February's nonfarm payrolls fell by 92,000, significantly worse than the expected 50,000, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.4%, indicating a weak economic recovery and exacerbating market concerns about the economic outlook.
See More
