Stock Market Movers: Marvell, Gap, Costco, Guidewire, Nutex, Samsara, and Others
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy COST?
Source: Barron's
- Stock Market Trends: Stock futures were declining on Friday as investors were cautious ahead of the U.S. jobs report for February.
- Oil Prices Impact: There was a notable spike in oil prices, contributing to the market's volatility.
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Analyst Views on COST
Wall Street analysts forecast COST stock price to rise
24 Analyst Rating
19 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 998.100
Low
769.00
Averages
1061
High
1205
Current: 998.100
Low
769.00
Averages
1061
High
1205
About COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation (Costco) operates membership warehouses and e-commerce sites that offer a selection of nationally branded and private-label products in a wide range of categories. The Company buys the majority of its merchandise directly from suppliers and route it to cross-docking consolidation points (depots) or directly to its warehouses. It operates 891 warehouses, including 614 in the United States and Puerto Rico, 108 in Canada, 40 in Mexico, 35 in Japan, 29 in the United Kingdom, 19 in Korea, 15 in Australia, 14 in Taiwan, seven in China, five in Spain, two in France, and one each in Iceland, New Zealand and Sweden. It also operates e-commerce sites in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Korea, Taiwan, Japan and Australia. The Company provides wide selection of merchandise, plus the convenience of specialty departments and exclusive member services.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Investment Comparison Between Walmart and Costco
- Walmart's Performance Growth: In fiscal Q4 2026, Walmart's revenue rose 5.6% year-over-year, with adjusted EPS at $0.74, up over 12%, indicating improved profitability from its digital transformation, and management expects operating income to grow 6% to 8% going forward.
- Costco's Sales Performance: Costco reported net sales of $68.2 billion for fiscal Q2 2026, a 9.1% year-over-year increase, with adjusted comparable sales up 6.7%, reflecting strong customer loyalty and a stable revenue stream from membership fees, which grew 13.6% to $1.36 billion.
- E-commerce and Advertising Growth: Walmart's global e-commerce sales surged 24% in the quarter, now representing 23% of total net sales, while its advertising business jumped 37%, indicating a significant shift towards higher-margin revenue streams that is positively impacting its financial performance.
- Valuation Comparison: While Walmart trades at about 44 times earnings, lower than Costco's 54 times, its diversified revenue streams and growth in advertising make it a more attractive investment in the current market, necessitating careful evaluation of both companies' growth potential against market expectations.
See More
Investment Comparison: Walmart vs. Costco
- Walmart's Performance Growth: In its fiscal Q4 2026, Walmart reported a 5.6% year-over-year revenue increase, with adjusted earnings per share at $0.74, reflecting over 12% growth, showcasing its ongoing digital transformation and profitability enhancement.
- E-commerce Surge: Walmart's global e-commerce sales soared 24% in the quarter, now representing 23% of total net sales, while its advertising business jumped 37%, indicating a shift towards higher-margin revenue streams that drove a 10.8% increase in operating income.
- Costco's Steady Performance: Costco achieved net sales of $68.2 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, up 9.1% year-over-year, with adjusted comparable sales rising 6.7%, demonstrating strong customer loyalty and a stable revenue stream from membership fees.
- Digital Sales Growth: Costco's digitally enabled comparable sales surged 21.7% in Q2 and maintained a 20.8% growth in February, although its price-to-earnings ratio stands at 54, reflecting the market's high expectations for continued growth.
See More
Costco's Success and Investment Strategy
- Unconventional Retail Model: Costco's business model focuses on selling a wide range of products at low prices, with an average gross margin of only 11%, yet it generates $1.4 billion in high-margin recurring revenue through its membership model, enhancing customer loyalty and frequent visits.
- Significant Scale Advantage: In the latest fiscal quarter, Costco reported net sales of $68.2 billion, and despite carrying only 4,000 SKUs compared to 30,000 at typical supermarkets, this limited selection gives it strong negotiating power with suppliers, maintaining low prices and high customer traffic.
- Stock Valuation Misalignment: While Costco is known for its low-price strategy, its stock trades at a high P/E ratio of 52.6, indicating that the market values its stability and predictability, even though its diluted EPS has grown by 16.4% over the past five years, suggesting its valuation may not be justified compared to faster-growing tech stocks.
- Outstanding Market Performance: As of March 5, Costco's trailing 10-year total return reached 691%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 index; however, investors should carefully consider whether its high valuation is reasonable to avoid potential investment risks.
See More
Iran War Pressures Off-Price Retailers Amid Rising Oil Prices
- Oil Price Surge Impact: Since the onset of the U.S.-Iran conflict earlier this month, crude oil prices have surged to levels not seen since 2022, with WTI and Brent crude nearing $120 per barrel, leading to a 70 basis point decline in consumer spending among lower-income shoppers, exacerbating economic pressures.
- Retailer Pressure: According to Wolfe Research, off-price retailers like Dollar General and Walmart, which primarily serve low-income consumers, are expected to face greater pressure as rising oil prices may force these shoppers to tighten their budgets, impacting sales performance.
- Stock Price Declines: Dollar General's shares have fallen 5% over the past week, while Walmart and Advance Auto Parts have seen declines of nearly 3% and 7%, respectively, indicating a market sensitivity to rising energy prices and their impact on consumer confidence.
- Challenges from Import Dependence: Retailers reliant on Chinese imports, particularly in flooring and decor, may face significant headwinds as the Shanghai Containerized Index rises due to logistical issues in Southeast Asian ports, further complicating product shipments to the Middle East.
See More
JPMorgan Turns Bearish on Market Amid U.S.-Iran Tensions
- Market Sentiment Shift: JPMorgan traders have turned tactically bearish as the U.S.-Iran tensions show no signs of easing, indicating a neutral positioning that lacks extreme de-risking, which could lead to increased market volatility in the short term.
- Energy Sector Sell-off: Last week, the energy sector was the most net-sold, as investors took profits ahead of the weekend, anticipating de-escalation; however, crude prices surged, with West Texas Intermediate futures briefly exceeding $110 per barrel, marking the highest levels since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
- Future Outlook: JPMorgan traders express optimism towards defense stocks, oil refiners, and grocery companies, while remaining bullish on crude, natural gas, and energy producers, suggesting potential investment opportunities amidst the current crisis.
- Volatility Expectations: Morgan Stanley's chief U.S. equity strategist believes that despite market volatility, stocks are closer to the end of this rolling correction over the next 6-12 months, particularly as the pace of oil and dollar increases will determine the duration of volatility.
See More
BJ's Wholesale Adopts Bold Strategy Amid Cautious Consumer Behavior
- Sales Growth Struggles: BJ's Wholesale reported a 2.6% year-over-year increase in comparable club sales for Q4 2025, while operating income fell by 0.2%, indicating a lag behind competitors Costco and Sam's Club amid heightened market pressures.
- Cautious Consumer Spending: A recent EY-Parthenon survey revealed that approximately 25% of U.S. consumers felt worse off financially in December, with 70% expressing concerns over rising living costs, compelling retailers to focus more on value and pricing discipline.
- Retail Network Expansion: In 2025, BJ's opened 14 new clubs, achieving over 30% membership growth, with these new locations delivering sales and profits above expectations, demonstrating the company's commitment to growth in a competitive landscape.
- Future Growth Plans: BJ's aims to open 25 to 30 new clubs in 2025 and 2026, projecting a 2% to 3% year-over-year increase in comparable club sales for fiscal year 2026, which poses a significant challenge to Costco and Sam's Club's market positions.
See More
Investment Comparison Between Walmart and Costco
- Walmart's Performance Growth: In fiscal Q4 2026, Walmart's revenue rose 5.6% year-over-year, with adjusted EPS at $0.74, up over 12%, indicating improved profitability from its digital transformation, and management expects operating income to grow 6% to 8% going forward.
- Costco's Sales Performance: Costco reported net sales of $68.2 billion for fiscal Q2 2026, a 9.1% year-over-year increase, with adjusted comparable sales up 6.7%, reflecting strong customer loyalty and a stable revenue stream from membership fees, which grew 13.6% to $1.36 billion.
- E-commerce and Advertising Growth: Walmart's global e-commerce sales surged 24% in the quarter, now representing 23% of total net sales, while its advertising business jumped 37%, indicating a significant shift towards higher-margin revenue streams that is positively impacting its financial performance.
- Valuation Comparison: While Walmart trades at about 44 times earnings, lower than Costco's 54 times, its diversified revenue streams and growth in advertising make it a more attractive investment in the current market, necessitating careful evaluation of both companies' growth potential against market expectations.
See More
Investment Comparison: Walmart vs. Costco
- Walmart's Performance Growth: In its fiscal Q4 2026, Walmart reported a 5.6% year-over-year revenue increase, with adjusted earnings per share at $0.74, reflecting over 12% growth, showcasing its ongoing digital transformation and profitability enhancement.
- E-commerce Surge: Walmart's global e-commerce sales soared 24% in the quarter, now representing 23% of total net sales, while its advertising business jumped 37%, indicating a shift towards higher-margin revenue streams that drove a 10.8% increase in operating income.
- Costco's Steady Performance: Costco achieved net sales of $68.2 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, up 9.1% year-over-year, with adjusted comparable sales rising 6.7%, demonstrating strong customer loyalty and a stable revenue stream from membership fees.
- Digital Sales Growth: Costco's digitally enabled comparable sales surged 21.7% in Q2 and maintained a 20.8% growth in February, although its price-to-earnings ratio stands at 54, reflecting the market's high expectations for continued growth.
See More
Costco's Success and Investment Strategy
- Unconventional Retail Model: Costco's business model focuses on selling a wide range of products at low prices, with an average gross margin of only 11%, yet it generates $1.4 billion in high-margin recurring revenue through its membership model, enhancing customer loyalty and frequent visits.
- Significant Scale Advantage: In the latest fiscal quarter, Costco reported net sales of $68.2 billion, and despite carrying only 4,000 SKUs compared to 30,000 at typical supermarkets, this limited selection gives it strong negotiating power with suppliers, maintaining low prices and high customer traffic.
- Stock Valuation Misalignment: While Costco is known for its low-price strategy, its stock trades at a high P/E ratio of 52.6, indicating that the market values its stability and predictability, even though its diluted EPS has grown by 16.4% over the past five years, suggesting its valuation may not be justified compared to faster-growing tech stocks.
- Outstanding Market Performance: As of March 5, Costco's trailing 10-year total return reached 691%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 index; however, investors should carefully consider whether its high valuation is reasonable to avoid potential investment risks.
See More
Iran War Pressures Off-Price Retailers Amid Rising Oil Prices
- Oil Price Surge Impact: Since the onset of the U.S.-Iran conflict earlier this month, crude oil prices have surged to levels not seen since 2022, with WTI and Brent crude nearing $120 per barrel, leading to a 70 basis point decline in consumer spending among lower-income shoppers, exacerbating economic pressures.
- Retailer Pressure: According to Wolfe Research, off-price retailers like Dollar General and Walmart, which primarily serve low-income consumers, are expected to face greater pressure as rising oil prices may force these shoppers to tighten their budgets, impacting sales performance.
- Stock Price Declines: Dollar General's shares have fallen 5% over the past week, while Walmart and Advance Auto Parts have seen declines of nearly 3% and 7%, respectively, indicating a market sensitivity to rising energy prices and their impact on consumer confidence.
- Challenges from Import Dependence: Retailers reliant on Chinese imports, particularly in flooring and decor, may face significant headwinds as the Shanghai Containerized Index rises due to logistical issues in Southeast Asian ports, further complicating product shipments to the Middle East.
See More
JPMorgan Turns Bearish on Market Amid U.S.-Iran Tensions
- Market Sentiment Shift: JPMorgan traders have turned tactically bearish as the U.S.-Iran tensions show no signs of easing, indicating a neutral positioning that lacks extreme de-risking, which could lead to increased market volatility in the short term.
- Energy Sector Sell-off: Last week, the energy sector was the most net-sold, as investors took profits ahead of the weekend, anticipating de-escalation; however, crude prices surged, with West Texas Intermediate futures briefly exceeding $110 per barrel, marking the highest levels since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
- Future Outlook: JPMorgan traders express optimism towards defense stocks, oil refiners, and grocery companies, while remaining bullish on crude, natural gas, and energy producers, suggesting potential investment opportunities amidst the current crisis.
- Volatility Expectations: Morgan Stanley's chief U.S. equity strategist believes that despite market volatility, stocks are closer to the end of this rolling correction over the next 6-12 months, particularly as the pace of oil and dollar increases will determine the duration of volatility.
See More
BJ's Wholesale Adopts Bold Strategy Amid Cautious Consumer Behavior
- Sales Growth Struggles: BJ's Wholesale reported a 2.6% year-over-year increase in comparable club sales for Q4 2025, while operating income fell by 0.2%, indicating a lag behind competitors Costco and Sam's Club amid heightened market pressures.
- Cautious Consumer Spending: A recent EY-Parthenon survey revealed that approximately 25% of U.S. consumers felt worse off financially in December, with 70% expressing concerns over rising living costs, compelling retailers to focus more on value and pricing discipline.
- Retail Network Expansion: In 2025, BJ's opened 14 new clubs, achieving over 30% membership growth, with these new locations delivering sales and profits above expectations, demonstrating the company's commitment to growth in a competitive landscape.
- Future Growth Plans: BJ's aims to open 25 to 30 new clubs in 2025 and 2026, projecting a 2% to 3% year-over-year increase in comparable club sales for fiscal year 2026, which poses a significant challenge to Costco and Sam's Club's market positions.
See More
