Exxon, Chevron, and Other Oil Stocks Decline: Expect This Trend to Continue.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy FANG?
Source: Barron's
- Market Outlook: The stock market is anticipated to experience a significant rally on Wednesday.
- Energy Sector Challenges: Despite the overall market optimism, the energy sector is expected to face difficulties.
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Analyst Views on FANG
Wall Street analysts forecast FANG stock price to fall
19 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 186.470
Low
158.00
Averages
180.94
High
218.00
Current: 186.470
Low
158.00
Averages
180.94
High
218.00
About FANG
Diamondback Energy, Inc. is an independent oil and natural gas company, focused on the acquisition, development, exploration and exploitation of unconventional, onshore oil and natural gas reserves primarily in the Permian Basin in West Texas. The Company's activities are primarily directed at the horizontal development of the Wolfcamp and Spraberry formations in the Midland Basin and the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations in the Delaware Basin within the Permian Basin. Its subsidiary, Viper Energy, Inc., is focused on owning and acquiring mineral interests and royalty interests in oil and natural gas properties primarily in the Permian Basin and derives royalty income and lease bonus income from such interests. The Company has approximately 859,203 net acres, which primarily consists of 742,522 net acres in the Midland Basin and 116,681 net acres in the Delaware Basin. Its subsidiaries include Diamondback E&P LLC, Rattler Midstream GP LLC, Rattler Midstream LP and QEP Resources, Inc.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
U.S.-Iran Tensions Ease, Market Rally Follows
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- Interest Rate Expectations: With a sharp decline in the 10-year treasury yield, the market anticipates lower interest rates, which are crucial for reviving the housing market, particularly benefiting companies like Home Depot that thrive in low-rate environments.
- Strong Performance from Leaders: Stocks such as Sherwin-Williams, Caterpillar, Home Depot, and Goldman Sachs led the rally, indicating investor confidence in these companies and suggesting expectations for economic recovery.
- Weakness in Oil Stocks: Despite the overall market rebound, oil companies like Chevron and Diamondback faced significant pressure, highlighting investor concerns over Middle Eastern supply disruptions and the ongoing uncertainty in the sector.
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- Crude Oil Price Plunge: The ceasefire news led to a more than 15% drop in crude oil prices to a 1.5-week low, alleviating inflation concerns and sparking a rally in global government bond markets, with the German 10-year Bund yield falling to a 3-week low, indicating a more optimistic outlook for the economy.
- Fed Policy Expectations: Although the market discounts only a 1% chance of a 25 bp rate hike at the upcoming April 28-29 FOMC meeting, the minutes from the March FOMC indicated heightened concerns among participants regarding upside risks to inflation and downside risks to employment, suggesting a more cautious approach to future monetary policy.
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- Crude Oil Price Plunge: The ceasefire news led to a more than 15% drop in crude oil prices to a 1.5-week low, alleviating inflation concerns and sparking a rally in global government bond markets, with the German 10-year Bund yield falling to a 3-week low, reflecting market expectations of a potential economic slowdown.
- US Treasury Yields Decline: The 10-year US Treasury yield fell to 4.228%, a 3-week low, as concerns over inflation eased, indicating increased demand for safe-haven assets, while also supporting the upcoming $39 billion auction of 10-year notes.
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- Market Rally: The S&P 500 rose by 2.35%, the Dow Jones by 2.78%, and the Nasdaq 100 by 2.89%, all reaching four-week highs, reflecting optimistic market sentiment following the easing of geopolitical tensions.
- Crude Oil Plunge: Crude oil prices fell over 17% to a 1.5-week low after the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, alleviating inflation concerns and sparking a rally in global government bond markets.
- Declining Bond Yields: The 10-year US Treasury yield dropped to a three-week low of 4.228%, as easing inflation worries are expected to influence future monetary policy, particularly ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting.
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- Price Target Increase: Although price targets for these six stocks were raised, analysts noted that expected gains are limited as current prices are near 52-week highs, with oil prices likely to fall to $70 per barrel in the near term.
- Market Reaction: Following the U.S. and Iran's temporary ceasefire agreement, all six energy stocks saw premarket declines of 6% to 9%, indicating market sensitivity to falling oil prices, with Brent crude futures dropping 15% to around $92.
- Supply Recovery Expectations: Analysts expect oil prices to decline rapidly with the end of the Iran conflict, and most shut-in oilfields are anticipated to resume production within days or weeks, leading to a quick alleviation of market supply shortages.
See More
U.S.-Iran Tensions Ease, Market Rally Follows
- Market Rally: Following President Trump's announcement to suspend attacks on Iran, the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 2.85%, the S&P 500 rose 2.51%, and the Nasdaq jumped 2.8%, reflecting investor optimism about market stabilization.
- Interest Rate Expectations: With a sharp decline in the 10-year treasury yield, the market anticipates lower interest rates, which are crucial for reviving the housing market, particularly benefiting companies like Home Depot that thrive in low-rate environments.
- Strong Performance from Leaders: Stocks such as Sherwin-Williams, Caterpillar, Home Depot, and Goldman Sachs led the rally, indicating investor confidence in these companies and suggesting expectations for economic recovery.
- Weakness in Oil Stocks: Despite the overall market rebound, oil companies like Chevron and Diamondback faced significant pressure, highlighting investor concerns over Middle Eastern supply disruptions and the ongoing uncertainty in the sector.
See More
Global Stock Markets Surge on Iran Ceasefire Agreement
- Market Sentiment Rebound: Global stock markets surged on Wednesday as the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, with the S&P 500 rising 2.51%, the Dow Jones up 2.85%, and the Nasdaq 100 increasing by 2.90%, reflecting a positive market response to easing geopolitical tensions.
- Crude Oil Price Plunge: The ceasefire news led to a more than 15% drop in crude oil prices to a 1.5-week low, alleviating inflation concerns and sparking a rally in global government bond markets, with the German 10-year Bund yield falling to a 3-week low, indicating a more optimistic outlook for the economy.
- Fed Policy Expectations: Although the market discounts only a 1% chance of a 25 bp rate hike at the upcoming April 28-29 FOMC meeting, the minutes from the March FOMC indicated heightened concerns among participants regarding upside risks to inflation and downside risks to employment, suggesting a more cautious approach to future monetary policy.
- Strong Tech Stock Performance: Chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks saw significant gains on Wednesday, with Intel rising over 11%, driving the Nasdaq 100's increase, highlighting the tech sector's crucial role in the market recovery and further boosting investor confidence in technology stocks.
See More
Meta's AI Model Launch Sparks 9% Stock Surge
- Meta AI Model Launch: Meta Platforms unveiled its new AI model, Muse Spark, leading to a stock surge of over 9%, as this model will power the digital assistant in the Meta AI app and desktop website, with a rollout planned for Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger in the coming weeks, thereby enhancing user experience and platform attractiveness.
- Kimberly-Clark Stock Rebound: Kimberly-Clark's shares rebounded by 3% after a previous drop of over 4% due to a warehouse fire in California, with the company confirming no injuries, alleviating market concerns about supply chain disruptions and likely restoring investor confidence.
- Housing Market Stocks Rise: Stocks linked to the housing market saw gains as Treasury yields retreated, with the 10-year yield dropping about 7 basis points to 4.273%, resulting in Zillow Group shares rising over 2% and Rocket Companies gaining 4%, indicating a growing optimism about housing demand.
- Travel Stocks Surge: Travel-related stocks surged as oil prices fell, with United Airlines and Carnival Corporation shares jumping over 10%, reflecting increased market confidence in consumer spending recovery and signaling a potential rebound in the travel industry.
See More
Global Stock Markets Surge on Iran Ceasefire Agreement
- Market Sentiment Rebounds: Global stock markets surged as the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, with the S&P 500 rising 2.04%, the Dow Jones up 2.25%, and the Nasdaq 100 increasing by 2.52%, indicating a renewed investor confidence in risk assets.
- Crude Oil Price Plunge: The ceasefire news led to a more than 15% drop in crude oil prices to a 1.5-week low, alleviating inflation concerns and sparking a rally in global government bond markets, with the German 10-year Bund yield falling to a 3-week low, reflecting market expectations of a potential economic slowdown.
- US Treasury Yields Decline: The 10-year US Treasury yield fell to 4.228%, a 3-week low, as concerns over inflation eased, indicating increased demand for safe-haven assets, while also supporting the upcoming $39 billion auction of 10-year notes.
- Strong Performance in Tech Stocks: Amid the positive market sentiment, technology stocks performed strongly, with Amazon, Meta, and Alphabet all rising over 3%, showcasing sustained investor confidence in the tech sector, which may drive future investment inflows.
See More
Global Stock Markets Surge on Iran Ceasefire Agreement
- Market Rally: The S&P 500 rose by 2.35%, the Dow Jones by 2.78%, and the Nasdaq 100 by 2.89%, all reaching four-week highs, reflecting optimistic market sentiment following the easing of geopolitical tensions.
- Crude Oil Plunge: Crude oil prices fell over 17% to a 1.5-week low after the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, alleviating inflation concerns and sparking a rally in global government bond markets.
- Declining Bond Yields: The 10-year US Treasury yield dropped to a three-week low of 4.228%, as easing inflation worries are expected to influence future monetary policy, particularly ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting.
- Airline Stocks Surge: With lower fuel costs, Alaska Air Group surged over 16% and Carnival Cruises rose over 13%, indicating a positive impact of falling oil prices on the airline and cruise industries, potentially enhancing overall profitability.
See More
Energy Stocks Face Limited Upside After Ceasefire
- Rating Downgrade: Roth Capital downgraded Diamondback Energy, Permian Resources, Matador Resources, SM Energy, Magnolia Oil and Gas, and Talos Energy from buy to neutral, reflecting a cautious outlook on their future performance.
- Price Target Increase: Although price targets for these six stocks were raised, analysts noted that expected gains are limited as current prices are near 52-week highs, with oil prices likely to fall to $70 per barrel in the near term.
- Market Reaction: Following the U.S. and Iran's temporary ceasefire agreement, all six energy stocks saw premarket declines of 6% to 9%, indicating market sensitivity to falling oil prices, with Brent crude futures dropping 15% to around $92.
- Supply Recovery Expectations: Analysts expect oil prices to decline rapidly with the end of the Iran conflict, and most shut-in oilfields are anticipated to resume production within days or weeks, leading to a quick alleviation of market supply shortages.
See More
