Disney Could Outperform Netflix in Streaming
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy DIS?
Source: Fool
- Netflix's Impressive Growth: As of 2025, Netflix boasts 325 million paying subscribers, with annual revenue hitting $45.2 billion and operating income at $13.3 billion, underscoring its dominant position and robust growth potential in the streaming industry.
- Disney's Investment Appeal: With a forward P/E ratio of 14.5 compared to Netflix's 31.4, Disney's shares are trading at a 54% discount, suggesting a potential 40% upside if it reaches the S&P 500's forward P/E of 20.3, making it a more attractive investment option.
- Earnings Growth Catalyst: Disney's direct-to-consumer segment, including Disney+ and Hulu, reported a 72% year-over-year increase in operating income to $450 million in Q1 of fiscal 2026, with a projected operating margin of 10% for the full year, indicating strong profitability.
- Competitive Edge: Disney's extensive intellectual property allows for continuous fresh content production, and with a combined 191 million subscribers on Disney+ and Hulu by the end of fiscal 2025, it demonstrates significant competitive strength in the streaming market, potentially outperforming Netflix by April 2031.
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Analyst Views on DIS
Wall Street analysts forecast DIS stock price to rise
19 Analyst Rating
16 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 102.590
Low
123.00
Averages
137.29
High
152.00
Current: 102.590
Low
123.00
Averages
137.29
High
152.00
About DIS
The Walt Disney Company is a diversified worldwide entertainment company. The Company's segments include Entertainment, Sports and Experiences. The Entertainment segment generally encompasses its non-sports focused global film and episodic content production and distribution activities. The lines of business within the Entertainment segment along with their business activities include Linear Networks, Direct-to-Consumer, and Content Sales/Licensing. The Sports segment encompasses its sports-focused global television and direct-to-consumer (DTC) video streaming content production and distribution activities. The lines of business within the Sports segment include ESPN and Star. The Experiences segment includes Parks and Experiences and Consumer Products. Parks and Experiences consists of Walt Disney World Resort in Florida, Disneyland Resort in California, Disney Cruise Line, and others. Consumer Products includes licensing of its trade names, characters, visual, literary and other IP.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Call Schedule: Disney is set to host a live webcast on May 6, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET to discuss its fiscal Q2 2026 financial results, reflecting the company's commitment to transparency and investor communication.
- Pre-Report Release: The company will release its financial results before the start of regular trading, providing timely information on its performance to assist investors in their decision-making processes.
- Webcast Access: Investors can access the webcast via Disney's official website, ensuring broad participation and information dissemination, which enhances engagement with stakeholders.
- Forward-Looking Information: The earnings materials and webcast may include forward-looking statements, indicating the company's strategic intent regarding financial transparency and future outlook.
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- Strategic Partnership: Disney announced a $1.5 billion investment in 2024 to partner with Epic Games, aiming to integrate Star Wars and Marvel characters into Fortnite, thereby enhancing its standing in the gaming industry and increasing brand value and market competitiveness.
- Market Challenges: While 2026 is expected to be a strong year for Disney's theatrical business, the company faces significant pressures in its media networks segment due to post-pandemic performance issues and the rise of streaming, particularly with declining ESPN subscription numbers.
- Interactive Entertainment Transformation: Disney aims to leverage platforms like Fortnite through its partnership with Epic to create social platforms that support its characters and franchises, providing fans with new interactive experiences and driving long-term growth.
- Low-Risk Strategy: Although Disney has the potential for significant success in gaming, its reliance on partnerships means that other developers will bear much of the responsibility, which may limit its direct control in the gaming market and reflect a cautious approach to expansion.
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- ETF Target Price Analysis: The SPDR SSGA US Sector Rotation ETF (XLSR) has an implied analyst target price of $69.36 per unit, while trading at $61.19, indicating a 13.35% upside, reflecting a positive market outlook for the ETF's future performance.
- Key Holdings Performance: Major holdings include Walt Disney Co. (DIS), Alphabet Inc. (GOOG), and Apple Inc. (AAPL), with DIS having a target price of $131.64, representing a 28.32% upside from its current price of $102.59, showcasing analysts' confidence in its growth potential.
- Potential of Google and Apple: GOOG's current price of $330.53 has a target price of $378.34, suggesting a 14.46% upside; similarly, AAPL's target price of $295.09 is 14.03% above its current price of $258.79, indicating optimism in tech stocks.
- Need for Investor Research: While analysts maintain an optimistic stance on these stocks' target prices, investors must conduct thorough research to assess whether these targets are justified or reflect overly optimistic market expectations.
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- Investment in Epic Games: Disney announced a $1.5 billion investment in Epic Games in 2024 to strengthen its position in the gaming sector, indicating the company's commitment to the gaming market and potential new revenue streams.
- Entertainment Division Integration: Disney is integrating its gaming division into its core entertainment division, aiming to revitalize key IPs like Star Wars and Marvel by incorporating them into popular games like Fortnite, thereby enhancing overall business growth potential.
- Market Challenges: While Disney's theatrical business is expected to rebound strongly in 2026, the company faces multiple challenges due to underperformance post-pandemic and pressures from the rise of streaming, particularly in its media networks segment.
- Low-Risk Strategy: By partnering with Epic Games, Disney is pursuing a relatively low-risk strategy that allows other developers to take on more responsibility while leveraging gaming as a new platform for audience engagement, thereby enhancing brand influence.
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- Layoff Plan: Disney is set to cut approximately 1,000 positions, primarily within its marketing department, as part of a broader review led by newly appointed CEO Josh D’Amaro aimed at improving efficiency, indicating a strategic shift in response to the rapidly evolving media landscape.
- Historical Layoff Context: Under former CEO Bob Iger, Disney has already eliminated over 8,000 roles, and this latest round of layoffs represents D’Amaro's first significant workforce decision, intended to streamline operations across various departments further.
- Market Reaction: Despite the layoff announcement, Disney's stock rose over 1% in afternoon trading on Tuesday, reflecting some market confidence in the company's restructuring efforts, although the stock has declined more than 9% year-to-date.
- Financial Performance: Disney's Q1 earnings report revealed record revenue from theme parks driven by strong visitor spending and new attractions, while streaming operations continued to post positive operating income, although traditional television and sports divisions are under pressure from rising content costs.
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- Layoff Announcement: Disney plans to eliminate approximately 1,000 jobs, primarily in its marketing division, marking a significant move under new CEO Josh D’Amaro, reflecting the company's restructuring efforts amid rising industry competition and costs.
- Industry Context: According to a Challenger report, U.S. employers have announced 217,362 job cuts in Q1 2026, which, while down 56% from the same period in 2025, still highlights the instability in the economic recovery, particularly in the entertainment and leisure sectors.
- Integration Strategy: Disney is working to integrate its streaming platforms, Disney+ and Hulu, with plans to launch a unified app by the end of 2026, which will provide consumers with a richer content selection and create new advertising sales opportunities, enhancing market competitiveness.
- Digital Transformation: Disney has entered into an agreement with WEBTOON to develop a digital comics platform featuring over 35,000 comic titles, aimed at attracting new audiences and deepening fan engagement, although the layoffs indicate challenges faced during this transformation process.
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