Should You Buy Walt Disney Co (DIS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
109.560
1 Day change
-0.95%
52 Week Range
124.690
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Buy DIS now for a beginner long-term investor. The stock is trading near key support (~109.5) with an oversold-leaning RSI and broadly bullish Wall Street positioning (targets mostly 130–152). Near-term earnings/CEO-succession headlines may add volatility, but the risk/reward at current levels favors initiating a position rather than waiting.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Setup: Near-term trend is bearish-to-neutral. Price is below the pivot (111.608) and sitting right on first support (S1 109.511), which is typically a decent long-term entry zone if it holds.
Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.532) and expanding lower, confirming downside momentum is still present.
RSI: RSI_6 at 31.558 is close to oversold conditions, suggesting selling pressure may be getting stretched and a bounce is plausible.
Moving Averages: Converging moving averages point to consolidation/transition rather than a strong uptrend right now.
Key Levels: Support at 109.511 (S1) then 108.215 (S2). Resistance at 111.608 (pivot) then 113.705 (R1).
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: Put/Call ratios below 1 (OI=0.81, Volume=0.82) indicate more call interest than puts overall—mildly bullish sentiment.
Volatility: 30D IV 26.57 vs historical vol 29.45 suggests options are not overpriced vs realized volatility. IV percentile 58 is mid-range (not extreme fear/greed).
Activity: Today’s option volume (37,267) is only ~57% of the 30-day average, implying sentiment is positive but not aggressively positioned today.
Technical Summary
Sell
12
Buy
3
Positive Catalysts
- Earnings on 2026-02-02 (pre-market): a solid print vs EPS est. 1.56 could re-rate the stock quickly.
- CEO succession decision expected soon, which could remove an overhang if the market likes the choice.
- ESPN/streaming focus: analysts expect attention on ESPN Unlimited growth; streaming execution remains a key upside lever.
- Abu Dhabi theme park resort plan: incremental long-term growth and global brand expansion narrative.
- Profitability trend: latest quarter showed sharp YoY improvement in net income and EPS, supporting the long-term turnaround case.
- Parks concerns: multiple analyst notes cite potential softening/deceleration in domestic parks, which is a major profit driver.
- Fubo acquisition headwinds (per Citi) could weigh on sentiment/near-term numbers.
- Technical momentum is still negative (bearish MACD), so the stock can remain weak short-term if support breaks.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q4. Revenue fell slightly to $22.464B (-0.49% YoY), but profitability improved materially: Net Income rose to $1.313B (+185.43% YoY) and EPS increased to $0.73 (+192% YoY). Gross margin improved to 31.39% (+0.38% YoY). Overall: modest top-line pressure but strong earnings/margin momentum, consistent with an efficiency/streaming profitability improvement story.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Predominantly positive ratings (Buy/Overweight/Outperform) with some price target trims after prior earnings and on specific concerns (parks softness, deal headwinds). Citi kept Buy while trimming PT to $140; Wells Fargo remains notably bullish (Overweight, $152) and has highlighted DIS as a top pick/tactical idea; JPMorgan maintained Overweight ($138) citing underappreciated DTC positives.
Wall Street pros: improving direct-to-consumer economics, resilient parks demand (especially peak periods), box office support, and potential rerating catalysts (earnings + succession clarity).
Wall Street cons: parks deceleration risk, near-term guidance/second-half weighting uncertainty, and deal-related headwinds.
Influential trading check: No recent congress trading data for DIS was provided; the political trading mention in the news (Nancy Pelosi) was not about Disney. Hedge funds/insiders are reported as neutral with no significant recent trend.
Wall Street analysts forecast DIS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DIS is 137.29 USD with a low forecast of 123 USD and a high forecast of 152 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
19 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast DIS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DIS is 137.29 USD with a low forecast of 123 USD and a high forecast of 152 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
16 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 110.610
Low
123
Averages
137.29
High
152
Current: 110.610
Low
123
Averages
137.29
High
152
Citi
Buy
downgrade
$145 -> $140
AI Analysis
2026-01-16
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$145 -> $140
AI Analysis
2026-01-16
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Citi lowered the firm's price target on Disney to $140 from $145 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares ahead of the fiscal Q1 report on February 2. The firm sees headwinds from the Fubo acquisition but expects the focus to be on ESPN Unlimited's growth.
Wells Fargo
Overweight
maintain
$152
2026-01-05
Reason
Wells Fargo
Price Target
$152
2026-01-05
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Wells Fargo added Disney to the firm's Q1 2026 Tactical Ideas List. Wells says Disney's Q1 is heavy on peak days at Parks, which will showcase strong demand and assuage fears. The box office supports higher FY26 EPS, and a succession announcement is due, Wells adds. Taken together, the firm sees the stock higher on estimates plus a rerating. Wells has an Overweight rating on the shares with a price target of $152.
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