Citi Initiates Buy Rating on Lucid with $17 Price Target
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 19 2026
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Should l Buy LCID?
Source: CNBC
- Buy Rating Initiation: Citi has initiated coverage on Lucid with a buy rating and a $17 price target, indicating a nearly 71% upside from Wednesday's close, reflecting confidence in the electric vehicle manufacturer.
- Positive Inflection Point: Analyst Michael Ward noted that Lucid is at a 'positive inflection point' and projected revenue to reach $2.4 billion by 2026, primarily driven by increased production of the Gravity model, highlighting the company's growth potential.
- New Models and Partnerships: Lucid's plans for a robotaxi and its partnership with Uber to launch an autonomous vehicle service are expected to drive revenue growth in the coming years, further solidifying its position in the electric vehicle market.
- High-Risk Warning: Despite the optimistic outlook, Citi flagged risks including high debt levels, negative operating cash flow, and the need for additional funding, emphasizing the capital-intensive and competitive nature of the auto industry, necessitating solutions to meet customer demands.
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Analyst Views on LCID
Wall Street analysts forecast LCID stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 7.300
Low
10.00
Averages
17.00
High
30.00
Current: 7.300
Low
10.00
Averages
17.00
High
30.00
About LCID
Lucid Group, Inc. is a technology company, which designs, engineers, and manufactures electric vehicles (EVs), EV powertrains, and battery systems in-house using its equipment and factories. It sells vehicles directly to consumers through its retail sales network and through online channels. Its vehicles include Lucid Air and Lucid Gravity. Lucid Air is an advanced sedan, featuring powertrain technology. It offers 420 miles of Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)-estimated range, with an 84-kWh battery pack. The Lucid Air Sapphire is the highest-performance version of the Lucid Air, boasting 1,234 horsepower from three motors, 427 miles of an EPA-estimated range. The Lucid Gravity provides the interior space and practicality of a full-size sport utility vehicle (SUV) within the exterior footprint of a mid-size SUV. It provides space for up to seven adults. It has engineered the Lucid Gravity Grand Touring to deliver up to 450 miles of EPA-estimated range.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Potential and Valuation Gap: Lucid Group's market cap stands at approximately $2.7 billion, while Rivian is valued at nearly $20 billion and Tesla exceeds $1 trillion, indicating significant upside potential for Lucid; however, its stock has plummeted by about two-thirds over the past year, exacerbating this valuation disparity.
- Lack of Profitability: Since going public in 2021, Lucid has never posted a profit or achieved positive gross margins, leading to waning market confidence in its future profitability, particularly as competition intensifies in the electric vehicle sector.
- Delayed New Model Launches: Lucid aims to produce a mid-sized model at its Saudi facility by the end of 2026, with two additional affordable models planned for 2028 and 2030, yet the scarcity of details raises uncertainty that could impact its market performance and investor confidence.
- Capital-Intensive Challenges: The electric vehicle industry demands substantial capital investment with long return cycles; Lucid's investors, including Uber and Saudi Arabia's sovereign wealth fund, have motives beyond mere financial gain, adding further challenges to Lucid's financing and market confidence.
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- Market Performance Review: Major U.S. indexes closed lower on Monday, with the Nasdaq Composite falling 0.26% to 24,404.39, and the S&P 500 slipping 0.24% to 7,109.14, indicating a market correction after three consecutive weeks of gains.
- CEO Transition Impact: Apple announced that CEO Tim Cook would transition to executive chairman, with John Ternus succeeding him; however, this news led to a decline in AAPL shares, reflecting investor caution regarding leadership changes.
- Escalating Middle East Tensions: Tensions in the Middle East intensified as the U.S. Navy fired on and seized an Iranian ship, raising concerns about upcoming peace talks, which could influence market sentiment and investment decisions.
- Retail Sales Data Expectations: Investors are looking forward to the upcoming March retail sales figures, which are expected to show an overall increase, potentially providing market support amid the backdrop of the Senate Banking Committee's hearing for the Federal Reserve chair nomination.
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- Strategic Investment Upgrade: Uber intends to purchase at least 35,000 Lucid vehicles for use as robotaxis on its platform and has committed an additional $200 million investment, bringing its total investment in Lucid to $500 million, demonstrating strong confidence in the electric vehicle market.
- Increased Stake: Uber currently owns nearly 37.8 million shares of Lucid, representing an 11.5% stake, which reflects the deepening partnership between Uber and Lucid and may enhance its competitive position in the electric vehicle sector.
- Expanded Partnership Agreement: The partnership between Uber and Lucid was first signed in July 2025, initially planning to deploy at least 20,000 Gravity SUVs, now expanded to include vehicles based on Lucid's upcoming smaller midsize platform, further promoting the integration of autonomous driving technology.
- Positive Market Reaction: Despite Lucid's stock losing about 71% over the past 12 months, Uber's stock gained 6%, indicating optimistic sentiment in the market regarding the prospects of Uber's collaboration with Lucid, particularly among retail investors, where sentiment around Lucid remains in the 'extremely bullish' territory.
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- Passive Stake Increase: Uber disclosed an 11.52% stake in Lucid Group, equating to over 37.75 million shares held through its wholly-owned subsidiary SMB Holding, indicating Uber's ongoing commitment to the electric vehicle market.
- Capital Raising Initiative: Lucid completed a $300 million public offering on April 14, part of a larger $1.05 billion capital raise, with investments from Uber and Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund enhancing Lucid's financial strength.
- Future Collaboration Commitment: Uber has committed to purchasing at least 35,000 Lucid vehicles designed for its global robotaxi service, which not only boosts Lucid's market demand but also lays a foundation for Uber's future business expansion.
- Total Investment Increase: Uber's total investment in Lucid has reached $500 million, with an additional $200 million investment reflecting Uber's confidence in Lucid's growth potential and its strategic positioning in the electric vehicle sector.
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- Oversold Signal: Lucid Group (Ticker: LCID) saw its RSI drop to 27.2 during Monday's trading, indicating the stock has entered oversold territory, potentially attracting bullish investors looking for buying opportunities.
- Stock Performance: LCID shares hit a low of $6.75, matching its 52-week low, while the 52-week high stands at $33.70, highlighting the extreme downturn in current stock price.
- Market Comparison: Compared to the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) with an RSI of 69.1, LCID's oversold condition may suggest that recent selling pressure is waning, prompting investors to reassess its investment value.
- Investor Sentiment: Despite the current price slump, investors might view this as a potential buying opportunity, especially as market sentiment gradually shifts towards bullishness.
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- Market Potential and Valuation Gap: Lucid Group's current market cap of approximately $2.7 billion is significantly lower than Rivian's $20 billion and Tesla's over $1 trillion, indicating potential long-term growth while also reflecting investor skepticism about its future profitability.
- Reasons for Stock Decline: Over the past year, Lucid's stock has fallen by about 66%, primarily due to the company failing to post profits since going public in 2021, with consistently negative gross margins leading to diminished market confidence in its profitability outlook.
- Urgency for Affordable Models: Lucid's management plans to produce a mid-sized model at its Saudi Arabia facility by the end of 2026, with two additional affordable models expected in 2028 and 2030, but the lack of specific details raises doubts about its ability to deliver on these promises.
- Investor Confidence and Capital Needs: Although Lucid has secured funding from investors like Uber and Saudi Arabia's sovereign wealth fund, these backers have motives beyond mere financial returns, with Uber aiming to enhance its supply chain for autonomous vehicles and Saudi Arabia pursuing internal economic and power signaling interests.
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