Analysis and Insights
Recent Price Performance:
Unum Group (UNM) closed at $77.33 on March 10, 2025, with a slight decline in both pre-market (-1.18%) and regular trading (-2.16%). The stock is currently trading at $76.86 as of the latest update.
Positive News and Analyst Upgrades:
UNM recently announced a $3.4 billion long-term care reinsurance transaction with Fortitude Re, which has been well-received by the market. This deal could improve the company's risk profile and excess capital position, making it more attractive to investors.
Several analysts have upgraded their ratings on UNM. Raymond James upgraded the stock to Strong Buy with a $108 price target, citing attractive group insurance businesses and expectations of continued de-risking of its long-term care insurance block. BMO Capital also raised its price target to $102, highlighting the company's excess capital and favorable risk/reward for LTC.
Insider and Institutional Activity:
There has been some insider selling, with a director selling 4,423 shares (13.9% of their holdings). However, this is a single transaction and may not indicate a broader trend. Institutional investors are mixed, with 307 adding shares and 325 reducing their positions in the latest quarter.
Technical Analysis:
UNM's stock is trading near its 50-day moving average of $77.16, with an RSI of 50.11, indicating a neutral position in the short term.
Valuation Metrics:
UNM's valuation appears reasonable, with a forward P/E ratio of 9.1 and a dividend yield of 2.20%.
Analyst Sentiment:
The average analyst price target for UNM is $89.25, with a high of $108 and a low of $79. This suggests a potential upside of 16.3% from current levels.
Conclusion:
Given the positive news, analyst upgrades, and reasonable valuation, UNM stock appears to be a good buy at current levels. The recent insider selling is a minor concern but does not outweigh the positive fundamentals.