TOL Stock: Price, Forecast, Financials & AI Analysis

High

Open

VWAP

Vol

Mkt Cap

Low

Amount

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

Total Shares

EV/OCF(TTM)

P/S(TTM)

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2026Q1

FY2026Q2

FY2026Q3

1.86B

-0.13%

2.116

+20.92%

2.40B

-12.38%

2.847

-18.65%

2.80B

-4.84%

3.491

-6.4%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) for FY2026, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -2.36% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 12.93%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2026

Revise Downward

-2.36%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2026

Revise Downward

-7.65%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+12.93%

In Past 3 Month

9 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast TOL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TOL is 150.56 USD with a low forecast of 110.00 USD and a high forecast of 183.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

4 Buy

4 Hold

1 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 0.000

Low

110.00

Averages

150.56

High

183.00

Current: 0.000

Low

110.00

Averages

150.56

High

183.00

Citizens

Outperform

initiated

$175

2026-01-07

New

Reason

Citizens

Price Target

$175

2026-01-07

New

initiated

Outperform

Reason

Citizens initiated coverage of Toll Brothers with an Outperform rating and $175 price target. The firm believes the company's focus on active adult and move-up customers has resulted in a demand base that is less rate sensitive than peers. Citizens also sees Toll returning cash to shareholders via buybacks and dividends "as another sign of its positive trajectory."

JPMorgan

Overweight -> Buy

downgrade

$161 -> $141

2025-12-12

Reason

JPMorgan

Price Target

$161 -> $141

2025-12-12

downgrade

Overweight -> Buy

Reason

JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on Toll Brothers to $141 from $161 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares following the earnings report. The company's fiscal 2026 closings and gross margin guidance came in below estimates, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm reduced estimates but keeps a relative buy rating on the shares.

Keefe Bruyette

Jade Rahmani

Market Perform -> Market Perform

downgrade

$145 -> $143

2025-12-11

Reason

Keefe Bruyette

Jade Rahmani

Price Target

$145 -> $143

2025-12-11

downgrade

Market Perform -> Market Perform

Reason

Keefe Bruyette analyst Jade Rahmani lowered the firm's price target on Toll Brothers to $143 from $145. Toll Brothers is well-positioned vs. entry-level builders, but the challenging environment keeps the firm at Market Perform, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Citi

Neutral

downgrade

$147 -> $141

2025-12-11

Reason

Citi

Price Target

$147 -> $141

2025-12-11

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

Citi lowered the firm's price target on Toll Brothers to $141 from $147 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm says the company reported solid fiscal Q4 results but is facing a softer housing market.

RBC Capital

Mike Dahl

Outperform

downgrade

$145 -> $144

2025-12-10

Reason

RBC Capital

Mike Dahl

Price Target

$145 -> $144

2025-12-10

downgrade

Outperform

Reason

RBC Capital analyst Mike Dahl lowered the firm's price target on Toll Brothers to $144 from $145 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares after its Q4 earnings miss. The firm is also cutting its FY26 EPS view by about 2%, reflecting a softer margin outlook, as the management seeks to offset a shrinking backlog to find a proper pace/ price balance, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Goldman Sachs

Susan Maklari

Neutral

downgrade

$142 -> $140

2025-12-10

Reason

Goldman Sachs

Susan Maklari

Price Target

$142 -> $140

2025-12-10

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

Goldman Sachs analyst Susan Maklari lowered the firm's price target on Toll Brothers to $140 from $142 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Toll's FY26 guide reflects the ongoing uncertainty in housing, with potential upside driven by company-specifics as well as demand in the selling season, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm further notes that on the call, the management noted incentives were elevated in the quarter, though consumers are also said to be responding with deposits in the last six weeks coming in flat y/y following a tough comp of 22% in Q1.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Toll Brothers Inc (TOL.N) is 10.56, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 7.54. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Toll Brothers Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

5Y Average PE

7.54

Current PE

10.56

Overvalued PE

9.60

Undervalued PE

5.48

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

6.27

Current EV/EBITDA

7.96

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

7.63

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

4.90

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

5Y Average PS

0.91

Current PS

1.23

Overvalued PS

1.18

Undervalued PS

0.64

Financials

Annual

Quarterly

N/A

Total Revenue

N/A

Operating Profit

N/A

Net Income after Tax

N/A

EPS - Diluted

N/A

Free Cash Flow

N/A

Gross Profit Margin - %

N/A

FCF Margin - %

N/A

Net Margin - %

N/A

ROIC

Trading Trends

Insider

Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

Bought

Hedge Fund

Hedge Funds areBuying! The buying amount has increased 289.76% over the last quarter.

Sold

Bought

Congress Trading

Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

Bought

Insider

Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

Bought

TOL News & Events

Events Timeline

No data

News

8.5

01-07Globenewswire

PinnedToll Brothers Launches Vintage Grove Community in Fuquay-Varina Starting at $1 Million

4.5

00:04 AMNASDAQ.COM

US Stock Market Rallies, S&P 500 Hits All-Time High

8.0

01-09NASDAQ.COM

Toll Brothers (TOL) Options Trading Volume Hits 5,126 Contracts, 44% of Average Daily Volume

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) stock price today?

The current price of TOL is 145.38 USD — it has increased 7.24 % in the last trading day.

What is Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)'s business?

Toll Brothers, Inc. is a builder of luxury homes. The Company designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges financing for an array of luxury residential single-family detached homes, attached homes, master-planned, and urban low, mid, and high-rise communities. It caters to luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester (move-down), active-adult and second-home buyers in the United States, as well as urban and suburban renters under the brand names Toll Brothers Apartment Living and Toll Brothers Campus Living. The Company also develops master-planned and golf course communities as well as operates, in certain regions, its own lumber distribution, house component assembly and manufacturing operations. It operates its own architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology and landscaping subsidiaries. The Company owns or controls through options approximately 76,800 home sites.

What is the price predicton of TOL Stock?

What is Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Toll Brothers Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 3.42B USD, increased 2.70 % YoY.

What is Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Toll Brothers Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 4.58 USD, decreased -1.08 % YoY.

What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)'s fundamentals?

How many employees does Toll Brothers Inc (TOL). have?

Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) has 4900 emplpoyees as of January 10 2026.

What is Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) market cap?

Today TOL has the market capitalization of 13.81B USD.