Should You Buy Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/26
Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has positive catalysts such as hedge fund buying and recognition in its industry, the mixed financial performance, neutral technical indicators, and lack of strong trading signals suggest holding off on immediate investment. The stock may be worth revisiting after its upcoming earnings report or if clearer bullish signals emerge.
Technical Analysis
The stock's technical indicators are mixed. The MACD is positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 49.926, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its pivot level of 145.226, with support at 140.187 and resistance at 150.264. Overall, there is no strong technical signal for immediate action.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Analyst ratings are mixed. Recent upgrades include Citizens initiating coverage with an Outperform rating and a $175 price target, and BofA raising its price target to $160 with a Buy rating. However, several firms, including JPMorgan, Keefe Bruyette, and Citi, have lowered price targets, citing challenges in the housing market and weaker fundamentals for 2026.
Wall Street analysts forecast TOL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TOL is 150 USD with a low forecast of 110 USD and a high forecast of 181 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast TOL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TOL is 150 USD with a low forecast of 110 USD and a high forecast of 181 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 144.990

Current: 144.990
