TOL Price Prediction Next Week
Technical Analysis: Based on the technical indicators, TOL shows bearish signals in the short term:
- RSI (14) at 37.71 indicates a weakening momentum
- MACD is negative at -2.85 with bearish divergence
- Stochastic (14,3,3) at 17.67 suggests oversold conditions
- Price is trading below key moving averages (SMA 5,10,20)
News Impact:
- TOL is scheduled to report Q1 FY2025 earnings on February 18th after market close
- Analysts expect revenue of $1.92B and EPS of $2.06
- Insider sentiment appears bearish with 20 sales and 0 purchases in past 6 months
- Institutional investors show mixed activity: 316 increased positions while 398 decreased
Fibonacci Analysis: Current price levels align with key Fibonacci zones:
- Resistance: $134.32 (R1)
- Support: $121.36 (S1)
- Critical support: $117.36 (S2)
Price Prediction for Next Week: Based on technical analysis and upcoming earnings:
- Bearish scenario (60% probability): Price likely to test $121.36 support level
- Target price range: $119-122
- Key resistance at $125 level with significant options activity
Trading Recommendation: SELL Rationale:
- Bearish technical indicators
- Heavy insider selling
- Pre-earnings uncertainty
- Price below key moving averages
- Negative MACD momentum
Set stop-loss above $125 level where significant call options activity exists.
TOL Similar Chart Price Prediction
The price of TOL is predicted to go up -3.21%, based on the high correlation periods with HSBC. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 96.45%.
TOL
HSBC
Down: -3.21%Similarity: 96.45%
TOL Revenue Forecast
TOL EPS Forecast
TOL FAQs
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TOL VS S&P500
The housing supply/demand imbalance will take years to address and should support pricing power for homebuilders.
The aging baby boomer population could spur demand for Toll Brothers' empty-nester and active-adult products.
Toll Brothers' targeted customers are wealthier, have stronger credit profiles, and are more likely to make all-cash payments than the typical homebuyer.
TOL Analyst's Forecast
Matthew Bouley
Barclays
Sell
2025-01-16
Price Target
$135 → $115
Downside
-14.38%
Barclays analyst Matthew Bouley lowered the firm's price target on Toll Brothers to $115 from $135 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. The firm prefers building products to homebuilders in Q4. Investor expectations are "subdued" across both subsectors into earnings, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says that as both subsectors declined over the past six weeks, building products stocks have seen greater dislocations versus fundamentals, leaving better entry points.
John Lovallo
UBS
Strong Buy
2025-01-08
Price Target
$192 → $185
Upside
+45.63%
Anthony Pettinari
Citigroup
Hold
2025-01-06
Price Target
$155 → $137
Upside
+8.64%
