TOL Earning Date, Earning Analysis and Earning Prediction
Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Toll Brothers Inc(TOL) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Toll Brothers Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q4
2025-12-08
After Hours
4.87
4.58
-5.95
3.32B
3.42B
+3.18
-2.36
+2.17
FY2025Q3
2025-08-19
After Hours
3.59
3.73
+3.90
2.86B
2.95B
+3.06
-0.57
+4.86
FY2025Q2
2025-05-20
After Hours
2.86
3.50
+22.38
2.49B
2.74B
+9.92
-0.48
+3.27
FY2025Q1
2025-02-18
After Hours
1.99
1.75
-12.06
1.91B
1.86B
-2.85
-5.87
-6.10
FY2024Q4
2024-12-09
After Hours
4.30
4.63
+7.67
3.17B
3.33B
+5.16
-6.95
-13.99
FY2024Q3
2024-08-20
After Hours
3.28
3.60
+9.76
2.71B
2.73B
+0.72
+5.62
+7.65
FY2024Q2
2024-05-21
-
4.13
3.38
-18.16
2.66B
2.84B
+6.69
-0.64
-8.39
FY2024Q1
2024-02-20
-
1.77
2.25
+27.12
1.88B
1.95B
+3.74
+1.34
+10.16
FY2023Q4
2023-12-05
-
3.66
4.11
+12.30
2.79B
3.02B
+8.26
-
+6.56
FY2023Q3
2023-08-22
-
2.86
3.73
+30.42
2.40B
2.69B
+12.18
+1.16
+2.68
TOL Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Toll Brothers Inc reported performance for FY2025Q4, announced on 2025-12-08. The company achieved an EPS of 4.58, compared to analyst estimates of 4.87 by -5.95% . Revenue for the quarter reached 3.42B compared to expectations of 3.32B by 3.18% .
The stock price reacted with a -2.36% one-day change and a 2.17% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Toll Brothers Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
TOL Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, Toll Brothers Inc(TOL) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q1 project quarter revenue of 1.86B and an EPS of 2.05.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been Revise Downward by -1.38%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -7.37%. For the upcoming Q1 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 0.92% . These revisions correlate with a -1.01% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Toll Brothers Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between TOL's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
-1.38%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
-7.37%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q1 2026
Revise Upward
+0.92%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
-1.01%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2026:10.56B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2026:12.94
—
Stock Price140.21
TOL Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
Toll Brothers Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q4 (2025-12-08,After Hours):
EPS: 4.58 (Actual) vs.4.87 (Estimate) (-5.95%)
Revenue: 3.42B (Actual) vs. 3.32B (Estimate) (3.18%)
Price Reaction:-2.36%(1-Day), 2.17%(5-Day)
FY2025Q3 (2025-08-19,After Hours):
EPS: 3.73 (Actual) vs.3.59 (Estimate) (3.90%)
Revenue: 2.95B (Actual) vs. 2.86B (Estimate) (3.06%)
Price Reaction:-0.57%(1-Day), 4.86%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-05-20,After Hours):
EPS: 3.50 (Actual) vs.2.86 (Estimate) (22.38%)
Revenue: 2.74B (Actual) vs. 2.49B (Estimate) (9.92%)
Price Reaction:-0.48%(1-Day), 3.27%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how TOL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TOL sees a -0.70% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.74% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.06%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in OCT/2025, the stock changed -2.36% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 2.94% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of TOL's latest earnings report for FY2025Q4?
TOL reported its FY2025Q4 earnings on 2025-12-08, showcasing a revenue of 3.42B against an estimate of 3.32B, resulting in a 3.18% surprise. The EPS was 4.58, surpassing the expected 4.87 by -5.95% . The stock experienced a -2.36% price change on the earnings day and a 2.17% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did TOL's stock price react after the FY2025Q4 earnings release?
Following TOL's FY2025Q4 earnings announcement on 2025-12-08, the stock price moved by -2.36% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 2.17% change. Historically, TOL's stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.70% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +1.74% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for TOL for 2026/Q1?
For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate TOL’s annual revenue to reach 1.86B, while the EPS is projected at 2.05. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -1.38% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 0.92% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does TOL's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between TOL's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were Revise Downward by -1.38%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 0.92% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from TOL's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, TOL's stock price typically moves by -0.70% in the 10 days before its earnings and +1.74% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 2.05 and revenue of 1.86B.
What is the sentiment in Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative elements. While there was a strong backlog and liquidity, the decline in gross margins and higher incentives pose risks. The Q&A revealed cautious guidance and uncertainties in first-quarter orders, but also highlighted strategic exits and focus on core homebuilding. The sentiment is neutral due to balanced positives like strong shareholder returns and negatives like declining margins.
