The chart below shows how GMAB performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, GMAB sees a +3.58% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.94% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.50%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Impressive Revenue Surge: 1. Strong Revenue Growth: Genmab reported total revenue of over DKK 15 billion for the first nine months of 2024, representing a 29% increase compared to the previous year.
Recurring Revenue Surge: 2. Significant Recurring Revenue Increase: Recurring revenues grew by 37%, driven by strong royalties from DARZALEX, Kesimpta, and the performance of EPKINLY and TIVDAK.
Sales Growth Achievement: 3. EPKINLY Sales Performance: EPKINLY achieved $82 million in net sales globally during Q3, marking a 17% growth in the quarter and $203 million in year-to-date sales.
TIVDAK Sales Momentum: 4. TIVDAK Demand Growth: TIVDAK demonstrated its 12th consecutive quarter of demand growth, achieving $32 million in sales, supported by positive feedback from physicians regarding its efficacy.
Operating Profit Surge: 5. Increased Operating Profit: Genmab reported an operating profit of over DKK 4.5 billion, reflecting a growth of more than 27% despite increased investments in R&D and commercialization efforts.
Negative
Pipeline Program Terminations: 1. Pipeline Discontinuations: Genmab has decided to terminate early-stage clinical programs GEN1047, GEN3017, and Gen1056, as well as halt Phase 3 development for TIVDAK in second line plus head and neck cancer, indicating a strategic shift in focus.
Rising Operating Expenses: 2. Increased Operating Expenses: Total operating expenses rose to approximately DKK 9.9 billion, up 23% year-over-year, primarily driven by R&D investments, which accounted for 74% of total expenses, reflecting a significant financial commitment without immediate returns from the deprioritized programs.
Effective Tax Rate Analysis: 3. High Effective Tax Rate: The company reported a tax expense of around DKK 1.6 billion, resulting in an effective tax rate of 28.1%, which may experience volatility due to ongoing evaluations related to the integration of ProfoundBio operations.
TIVDAK Market Concerns: 4. Limited Patient Population for TIVDAK: The decision to discontinue TIVDAK's Phase 3 trial suggests concerns about the potential market size and patient population, which may limit future revenue opportunities in the head and neck cancer segment.
GEN1042 Development Uncertainty: 5. Uncertain Future for GEN1042: Genmab is still collecting data on GEN1042, with no clear timeline for next steps, indicating potential delays in advancing this program and uncertainty in its future development.
Genmab A/S (GMAB) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call Transcript
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