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PGY

Pagaya Technologies Ltd
$
28.670
-1.95(-6.368%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings
Line
Line
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Candle
Candle
1D
5D
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
High
33.040
Open
32.200
VWAP
29.49
Vol
5.97M
Mkt Cap
2.20B
Low
28.380
Amount
175.93M
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
26.45
Total Shares
70.90M
EV
3.02B
EV/OCF(TTM)
24.66
P/S(TTM)
2.07
Pagaya Technologies Ltd is an Israel-based company. It is primarily engaged in financial technology (FinTech) industry. The Company develops data science, machine learning and AI technology (Artificial Intelligence) analytics, enabling accurate, real-time customer credit assessments. Company's customers are lending companies that, by connecting to the AI Pagaya network, have the opportunity to discover and approve new customers that meet their credit criteria. Thanks to the Company's solutions, its customers gains a customer without undue risk. Pagaya Technologies Ltd delivers technology that provides loan assistance such as personal, car and credit card loans. The Company serves its clients all over the world.
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2026Q1
FY2025Q4
FY2025Q3
333.37M
+14.96%
0.667
-3.27%
352.59M
+26.2%
0.681
+300.7%
323.50M
+25.76%
0.599
+36.12%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 2.76% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 96.64%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+2.76%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+10.63%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
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+96.64%
In Past 3 Month
9 Analyst Rating
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14.13% Upside
Wall Street analysts forecast PGY stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PGY is 32.72 USD with a low forecast of 13.75 USD and a high forecast of 46.00  USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
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14.13% Upside
Current: 28.670
sliders
Low
13.75
Averages
32.72
High
46.00
Citi
Buy
upgrade
$40
2025-07-21
Reason
Citi raised the firm's price target on Pagaya to $40 from $16.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm cites higher network growth assumptions on better private credit momentum for the target increase. Pagaya remains Citi's top pick in the lending technology group.
Benchmark
analyst
Buy
maintain
$25 -> $42
2025-07-18
Reason
Benchmark raised the firm's price target on Pagaya to $42 from $25 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Improved sentiment had been based primarily on the strength of the company's Q1 report, but many investors were still looking for affirmation that Pagaya was poised for sustained profitable growth and the company's preliminary Q2 operating results that were better-than- expected across the board "clearly provided the validation that many had been seeking," the analyst says.
Citizens JMP
David Scharf
Outperform
maintain
$20 -> $26
2025-06-24
Reason
Citizens JMP analyst David Scharf raised the firm's price target on Pagaya to $26 from $20 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Pagaya's "exceptional" unit economics and operating leverage is translating into very strong EBITDA margins, and its B2B2C model that integrates directly into other lenders' platforms for underwriting turn-downs allows it to grow by step functions by adding new lenders, enjoys barriers to entry with these partners, the analyst tells investors in a research note. By already achieving a measure of scale in auto and point-of-sale, Pagaya has demonstrated its ability to diversify beyond personal loans, the firm argues.
Stephens
Kyle Joseph
Overweight
initiated
$22
2025-06-11
Reason
Stephens analyst Kyle Joseph initiated coverage of Pagaya with an Overweight rating and $22 price target. The firm recommends specialty finance stocks with "funding advantages and superior customer-acquisition models," saying these companies are the most insulated from economic downturns and heightened competition. Pagaya enables lenders to sustain relationships with customers they would normally turn down, while simultaneously offloading the credit risk to third-partie, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Stephens like Pagaya's "unique model, vast addressable markets, value proposition to the lender and growth prospects."
Citizens Capital Markets
David Scharf
Hold
Reiterates
$26
2025-03-25
Reason
Last week it was announced that Klarna (KLAR) will displace Affirm (AFRM) as the provider of POS installment loans through Walmart's (WMT) OnePay digital wallet offering, Citizens JMP analyst David Scharf tells investors in a research note. The firm says Pagaya (PGY) has emerged from this development as an "unambiguous winner," because as the white-labeled underwriter of Klarna's three-month and longer installment loans for Klarna, the Walmart business represents a significant tailwind, and the company also stands to benefit from Klarna's further push into longer-duration loan products within the U.S. Citizens reiterated its Outperform rating and $26 price target on Pagaya shares.
B. Riley Securities
Hal Goetsch
Strong Buy
Maintains
$36
2025-03-17
Reason
Buy Now Pay Later provider Klarna (KLAR) on Monday announced that it will become Walmart's (WMT) exclusive provider of BNPL services, replacing current BNPL provider Affirm (AFRM), B. Riley analyst Hal Goetsch tells investors in a research note. Klarna is Pagaya's (PGY) leading logo/customer in BNPL, the firm says, adding that it believes that the Klarna/Walmart partnership will bring new application flow to Pagaya at very little, if any, incremental cost. The firm, which reiterates a Buy rating and $36 price target on Pagaya shares, thinks Pagaya is well-positioned to grow efficiently in 2025 and 2026.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Pagaya Technologies Ltd (PGY.O) is 10.56, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -43.26. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Pagaya Technologies Ltd 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PE
-43.26
Current PE
10.56
Overvalued PE
133.90
Undervalued PE
-220.42

Forward EV/EBITDA

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-24.64
Current EV/EBITDA
8.23
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
109.36
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
-158.64

Forward PS

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
1.51
Current PS
1.70
Overvalued PS
4.74
Undervalued PS
-1.71

Financials

Annual
Quarterly
FY2025Q2
YoY :
+30.97%
317.71M
Total Revenue
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-1854.87%
47.79M
Operating Profit
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-120.03%
16.56M
Net Income after Tax
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-119.23%
0.20
EPS - Diluted
FY2025Q2
YoY :
+381.95%
53.55M
Free Cash Flow
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-0.60%
39.74
Gross Profit Margin - %
FY2025Q2
YoY :
+54.56%
8.98
FCF Margin - %
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-115.29%
5.21
Net Margin - %

Trading Trends

Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
17.4M
USD
24
3-6
Months
15.1M
USD
12
6-9
Months
1.2M
USD
6
0-12
Months
5.7M
USD
10
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
1
248.2K
USD
Months
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
Volume
0
3-6
Months
0.0
Volume
0
6-9
Months
0.0
Volume
0
0-12
Months
0.0
Volume
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
Volume
Months
3-6
1
49.3K
Volume
Months
6-9
0
0.0
Volume
Months
0-12
0
0.0
Volume
Months
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
USD
0
3-6
Months
0.0
USD
0
6-9
Months
0.0
USD
0
0-12
Months
0.0
USD
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months

PGY News & Events

Events Timeline

2025-08-07 (ET)
2025-08-07
08:11:48
Pagaya raises FY25 revenue view to $1.25B-$1.33B from $1.19B-$1.3B
select
2025-08-07
08:09:29
Pagaya sees Q3 revenue $330M-$350M, consensus $318.52M
select
2025-08-07
08:08:06
Pagaya reports Q2 EPS 64c, consensus 67c
select
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News

9.5
08-07SeekingAlpha
PinnedPagaya Technologies reports mixed Q2 results; initiates Q3 and updates FY outlook
8.0
08-07NASDAQ.COM
Noteworthy Thursday Option Activity: MA, PGY, TTD
7.0
08-07SeekingAlpha
Pagaya raises 2025 revenue guidance to up to $1.325B while expanding product suite and funding capacity
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FAQ

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The current price of PGY is 28.67 USD — it has decreased -6.37 % in the last trading day.

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