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PGY Earnings

Pagaya Technologies Ltd
$
33.930
+2.38(7.544%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings

Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Pagaya Technologies Ltd(PGY) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Pagaya Technologies Ltd earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
FY2025Q22025-08-07Pre-Market0.670.64-4.48324.85M326.40M+0.48-2.36+0.61
FY2025Q12025-05-07Pre-Market0.460.69+50.00285.11M289.99M+1.71-2.09+33.59
FY2024Q42025-02-13Pre-Market0.150.17+13.33265.14M279.39M+5.38+24.28+36.33
FY2024Q22024-08-09Pre-Market-0.04-0.15-275.00239.25M250.34M+4.64-5.83-19.27
FY2024Q12024-05-09--0.11-0.03+72.73227.77M245.28M+7.68+20.00+16.00
FY2023Q42024-02-21-0.010.00-100.00222.64M218.04M-2.06+6.15+15.38
-2023-05-16--0.02-0.04-100.00----11.51+20.43
-2023-02-15--0.05-0.03+40.00---+0.75-17.91

PGY Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Pagaya Technologies Ltd reported performance for FY2025Q2, announced on 2025-08-07. The company achieved an EPS of 0.64, compared to analyst estimates of 0.67 by -4.48% . Revenue for the quarter reached 326.40M compared to expectations of 324.85M by 0.48% .
The stock price reacted with a -2.36% one-day change and a 0.61% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Pagaya Technologies Ltd growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

PGY Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Pagaya Technologies Ltd(PGY) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q3 project quarter revenue of 338.95M and an EPS of 0.67.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 4.49%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 10.45%. For the upcoming Q3 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 5.2% . These revisions correlate with a 126.80% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Pagaya Technologies Ltd long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between PGY's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+4.49%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+10.45%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q3 2025
Revise Upward
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+5.2%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
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+126.80%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.29B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.61
Stock Price33.93

PGY Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Pagaya Technologies Ltd revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-07,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.64 (Actual) vs.0.67 (Estimate) (-4.48%)
Revenue: 326.40M (Actual) vs. 324.85M (Estimate) (0.48%)
Price Reaction: -2.36%(1-Day), 0.61%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.69 (Actual) vs.0.46 (Estimate) (50.00%)
Revenue: 289.99M (Actual) vs. 285.11M (Estimate) (1.71%)
Price Reaction: -2.09%(1-Day), 33.59%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-02-13,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.17 (Actual) vs.0.15 (Estimate) (13.33%)
Revenue: 279.39M (Actual) vs. 265.14M (Estimate) (5.38%)
Price Reaction: 24.28%(1-Day), 36.33%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how PGY performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, PGY sees a -11.83% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.02% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +3.68%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in JUN/2025, the stock changed -6.37% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 10.81% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

Transcript Summary

Pagaya Technologies Ltd (PGY) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-07
The earnings call highlighted record high revenue and strong financial metrics, with a 30% YoY revenue increase and significant margin improvements. The Q&A session revealed positive sentiment about new growth areas like BNPL and strategic initiatives. The oversubscribed bond offering and strong credit performance further support a positive outlook. Despite the lack of market cap data, the overall positive financial performance and optimistic guidance suggest a positive stock price movement.
Pagaya Technologies Ltd (PGY) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-08
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with increased EPS, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the company remains confident in its risk management and self-funding strategy. The forward flow agreement and ABS issuance highlight robust capital raising. Positive guidance and strategic initiatives like the prescreen product suggest growth potential. The Q&A reveals no immediate economic impact concerns, and management's cautious but optimistic tone supports a positive outlook. Overall, the company's strong financials and strategic moves are likely to lead to a stock price increase.
Pagaya Technologies Ltd (PGY) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-07
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with increased revenue and profitability. Key positive factors include a forward flow agreement with Blue Owl Capital, a significant reduction in net credit-related losses, and a strong balance sheet. While there are concerns about market volatility and competitive pressures, management's responses in the Q&A suggest a strategic focus on growth and risk management. The announcement of a forward flow agreement and improved financial metrics outweigh the concerns, indicating a likely positive stock price movement.
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-12
The earnings call summary presents a positive sentiment overall. The company reported strong financial performance with a 21% revenue increase and improved EBITDA margins. Despite a net loss, adjusted net income was positive, indicating underlying strength. The Q&A session highlighted management's confidence in growth and profitability, although some concerns about credit impairments remain. No shareholder return plan was announced, but the focus on future profitability suggests potential for future returns. The positive financial results and optimistic outlook outweigh the risks, leading to a positive stock price prediction.

FAQ

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What were the key highlights of PGY’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q2?

PGY reported its FY2025Q2 earnings on 2025-08-07, showcasing a revenue of 326.40M against an estimate of 324.85M, resulting in a 0.48% surprise. The EPS was 0.64, surpassing the expected 0.67 by -4.48% . The stock experienced a -2.36% price change on the earnings day and a 0.61% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did PGY’s stock price react after the FY2025Q2 earnings release?

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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for PGY for 2025/Q3?

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How does PGY’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

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What should investors expect from PGY’s next earnings report?

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What is the sentiment in Pagaya Technologies Ltd (PGY) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary?